Formula One, the Military and Adapting in Periods of Disruption
Both Formula One and military organisations are fighting an intellectual battle to come to grips with a new era in their respective endeavours.
“Both Formula One and military organisations are fighting an intellectual battle to come to grips with a new era in their respective endeavours.” What might each offer the other so that they can remain at the leading edge during a disruptive period. mickryan.substack.com/p/formula-on...
10.03.2026 00:40
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Making it up as they go along
Where does the war in Iran go from here?
“A bombastic celebration of military strength can only take you so far when there is no obvious strategy for bringing the war to a satisfactory conclusion.” @ldfreedman.bsky.social
samf.substack.com/p/making-it-...
08.03.2026 21:40
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Thanks. I try!
08.03.2026 21:04
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Orphaned Tactics
Oops we did it again
“The war with Iran is little more than the joint targeting process unleashed. The Frankenstein’s monster that is the operational level of war, unsatiated after eating strategy, is now feasting on policy”. @bafriedman.bsky.social
08.03.2026 20:45
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Defense Tech Monthly — February.pdf
The latest edition of the Snake Island Institute monthly update is here, and includes: Gerbera and Shahed as “motherships,” launching FPVs mid-flight; & Russia connecting interfamily drones in a single airborne network using Chinese mesh modems. drive.google.com/file/d/1fnzz...
08.03.2026 21:03
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Intel report warns large-scale war ‘unlikely’ to oust Iran’s regime
A classified U.S. report doubts that Iran’s opposition would take power following either a short or extended U.S. military campaign.
“A classified report by the National Intelligence Council found that even a large-scale assault on Iran launched by the United States would be unlikely to oust the Islamic republic’s entrenched military and clerical establishment.”
wapo.st/4lcrq3M
08.03.2026 02:38
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Selective Belligerence and Unconditional Surrender
What the Iran War May Be Telling President Xi in Beijing and Putin in Moscow
"As the 2nd week of Epic Fury dawns, it is worth pausing the tactical scorecard and asking a tough question. What signal is this war, and political decision-making around it, sending to the leaders of China and Russia?" mickryan.substack.com/p/selective-...
08.03.2026 02:12
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An extraordinary social media post from one "ally" to another.
08.03.2026 02:11
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Selective Belligerence and Unconditional Surrender
What the Iran War May Be Telling President Xi in Beijing and Putin in Moscow
"As the 2nd week of Epic Fury dawns, it is worth pausing the tactical scorecard — destroyed missile launchers & sunken Iranian navy ships — and asking a tough question. What signal is this war sending to the leaders of China and Russia?" mickryan.substack.com/p/selective-...
07.03.2026 03:22
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Opinion | Putin is failing. These charts prove it.
Data from the battlefield show Ukraine is holding its own.
“U.S. pressure on Ukraine is encouraging Putin to keep fighting and refrain from making compromises necessary for an enduring peace….The way to end this war is not to rescue Putin from a failing campaign, but to help Ukraine make it fail faster.”
wapo.st/4rS0tF6
05.03.2026 23:16
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White House rationale for war keeps shifting
The president and top aides have offered varying justifications for attacking Iran — from regime change to preemption to eliminating its nuclear program and ballistic missiles.
"The Trump administration gave shifting rationales for its decision to attack Iran, even as U.S. officials with access to intelligence reports said they saw no sign the country had posed an imminent threat to the United States." wapo.st/4aM6zB1
03.03.2026 20:17
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How Trump Decided to Go to War
An interesting look at the Trump administration’s road to war with Iran. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/02/u...
02.03.2026 20:08
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Decapitation, Epic Fury and the Unknown
Insights and questions from the initial phase of the new U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran.
"This poses an existential threat to the Iranian regime, and they will throw everything at America & Israel. They will be seeking to survive as a regime. If they do, it will be a victory for them. It would also be a problem for the Trump administration." mickryan.substack.com/p/decapitati...
02.03.2026 06:12
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I just finished this. A terrific book.
28.02.2026 03:36
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Iran and Unexpected Long Wars
Short wars and interventions, regardless of the intentions of those who design and order them, can easily become long wars. Having clear strategic objectives helps.
This week, J.D. Vance stated "the idea that we’re going to be in a Middle Eastern war for years with no end in sight — there is no chance that will happen." But short wars, regardless of the intentions of those who order them, can easily become long wars. mickryan.substack.com/p/iran-and-u...
28.02.2026 03:20
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Is Donbas key to ending Ukraine-Russia war?
YouTube video by Kyiv Independent
As peace talks continue and the U.S. pushes for compromise, one proposal keeps returning: Ukraine should withdraw from the remainder of Ukrainian-controlled Donetsk Oblast.
The Kyiv Independent’s Francis Farrell explains why the Battle of Donbas remains at the center of the peace process.
27.02.2026 19:59
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There’s a lot of things that need to be said today. But there’s one main one:
Thank you Ukraine.
We see you.
We know what you’ve done for us.
We know what we owe you.
We know you will win and take your place as a central defender of the free world.
24.02.2026 13:22
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The Danger in the Middle: Will Xi’s Purges Increase the Risk of War?
Chinese leader Xi Jinping has purged dozens of senior People’s Liberation Army officers since mid-2023, including two in January, but will this increase
“The key will be directly influencing Xi’s calculus. Military deterrence, exercises & the revelation of new capabilities, will be of little use if China’s military leadership is either too confident to be intimidated, or too intimidated by Xi to deliver bad news.”
warontherocks.com/2026/02/the-...
25.02.2026 00:50
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The Russia–Ukraine conflict: 1461 days of war
It is the human spirit, not hi-tech warfare, that has produced the most valuable lesson from four years on the battle front.
"We must look past the drones, algorithms and other technological artefacts for the essential lesson from this war...Ukraine has shown us what humans, as flawed as we are, can achieve in their finest hour. This is the essential lesson from 1461 days of war." www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpre...
23.02.2026 22:06
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“We’re not the Ukrainians. We don’t need to be exactly like them, but these kinds of insights are valuable for military organisations that want to fight 21st-century wars, not lose by fighting 20th-century wars.” My discussion in The @australian about learning from #Ukraine.
archive.is/VeLHj
23.02.2026 10:32
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make that Pauline Shanks Kaurin, @queenofthinair.bsky.social 🙂
23.02.2026 02:21
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Russia is building their own, helped by Iranian and Chinese engineers.
22.02.2026 05:18
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