NEW PUBLICATION π¨ "Street mobilisation during election campaigns in multilevel systems: a supplyβdemand analysis" with @leonhardschmidt.bsky.social β now out in @wepsocial.bsky.social
π doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2026.2634027
1/6
NEW PUBLICATION π¨ "Street mobilisation during election campaigns in multilevel systems: a supplyβdemand analysis" with @leonhardschmidt.bsky.social β now out in @wepsocial.bsky.social
π doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2026.2634027
1/6
Not every day you get to present at PBC, looking forward to it!
VERY excited for the inaugural @epssnet.bsky.social conference where I will be finally finally (π€) debuting a corpus of interwar British political speeches I've been working on digitizing for SIX YEARS. Excited to work with @paugrau.bsky.social on the first of (hopefully) many papers with the data.
π£ Call for Papers:
ποΈ 23-24 April 2026 at LSE
Submit full papers: forms.office.com/e/9qVWeNTK0p
Please share with colleagues & early-career researchers!
Thank you to everyone who applied to present at our Political Behaviour Colloquium for the Spring 2026 term.
We are now pleased to announce the full schedule:
sites.google.com/site/euipolb...
π¨ Applications Now Open for the EUI PhD Programmes 2026-2027!
π Economics |βοΈ Law |π History | π Political and Social Sciences
Join the EUI's 50th PhD cohort!
Apply by 15 January 2026 (14:00 CET) for the academic journey of a lifetime! π: eui.eu/phd
#EUIPhD #PhDOpportunity
I found the ones by Jesse Sadler very informative when working with non-decimal currencies, more on the economic side of history, probably: www.jessesadler.com/project
The @compactmagazin.bsky.social article relies on cherry-picked data.
Looking at ~5M employee records from public universities, we find:
There isn't a secret cabal of white men pulling the strings β the *top* diversified the most.
The tenure track hasn't been taken over by female or Black profs.
This by the excellent @jburnmurdoch.ft.com confirms my view that political trends are being driven by the halting of the upward economic conveyor belt - striking charts: www.ft.com/content/30a4... Welcome to the age of zero-sum politics
This is an impressive project. My reaction to what it shows though is that survey experiments have gotten out of hand in polisci. I will blog more on this, but I do not think survey experiments are emblematic of the credibility revolution. Some are already interpreting as such, which is a problem.
A hidden gem for PolSci in an Econ journal: mainstream right-wing parties seem to capture only a fraction (!) of the far-right vote when the latter don't run in an election. Crucially, left parties seem to gain votes! A key finding for understanding potential coalitions doi.org/10.1016/j.jp...
Gaza: Study Reveals Unprecedented Losses of Life & Life Expectancy
Researchers from MPIDR & the Centre for Demographic Studies (CED) investigated the impact of the conflict in Gaza on mortality. Life expectancy 2024 fell to nearly half the level expected without the war. www.demogr.mpg.de/go/GazaLE
I personally think this is a "harder problem" than we care to admit.
So, are you a (social) scientist struggling with this situation? A break between what you _want_ to study (a causal process) and what you feel you _can_ credibly study (a correlation)?
Here are some readings that might help. π
What is the most profitable industry in the world, this side of the law? Not oil, not IT, not pharma.
It's *scientific publishing*.
We call this the Drain of Scientific Publishing.
Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820
Background: doi.org/10.1162/qss_...
Thread @markhanson.fediscience.org.ap.brid.gy π
We have just advertised a Full Prof position in the Political and Social Sciences department at the EUI (@eui-sps.bsky.social). Here are the details. Please spread the word, and get in touch if you have any questions.
www.eui.eu/Documents/Se...
Barcelona this week! Today at @politiquesupf.bsky.social (IPA) Iβm presenting joint work with Alejandro LΓ³pez PeceΓ±o and @eliasdinas.bsky.social on how Civil War refugees mobilized the left in postwar France. Next Thursday @ IBEI JCPOP: career incentives vs. ideology in Fascist Italyβs surveillance.
Forthcoming in the AER: "Gender Differences in Economics Seminars" by Pascaline Dupas, Amy Handlan, Alicia Sasser Modestino, Muriel Niederle, Mateo SerΓ©, Haoyu Sheng, Justin Wolfers, and Seminar Dynamics Collective. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
Regrettably relevant research today
Disguised Repression: Targeting Opponents with Nonpolitical Crimes to Undermine Dissent
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Colleagues have backed up the point with data and infographics. The answer is no: political violence in the US is if anything declining, not rising. The far right commits more than the far left, but both are rare, and fewer than 10% of Americans endorse violence for political goals.
"Sweeteners can harm cognitive health equivalent to 1.6 years of ageing, study finds"
Or does it? Let's take a look at this "study"...
www.theguardian.com/food/2025/se...
π§ͺ We ran a preregistered endorsement experiment with 4,000+ Spaniards.
We tested whether VOX voters support funding for cultural orgs, including the Francisco Franco Foundation (which glorifies the dictatorship).
Please share this thread. It is important that political scientists, in Europe and across the world, understand why EPSS exists and why we are encouraging people to attend our inaugural conference, in Belfast next June.
Been a busy year in the data mines.π Just published my mid-year roundup: 29 data visualizations on the state of US democracy, tracking everything from judicial resistance to billionaire influence to why Dems have a mobilization crisis, not a moderation problem.
All charts free to use:
"This paper finds that Jews are included in βthe peopleβ when this is ideologically conducive to the parties, when it can appear to justify Islamophobia and anti-immigration sentiment, and when antisemitism can be used to argue that βthe eliteβ are ignorant and incompetent"
Currently in FirstView: In βThe Modifiable Areal Unit Problem in Political Science,β @dwlee.bsky.social, @melissazrogers.bsky.socialβ¬, and Hillel David Soifer discuss the MAUP and how the size of spatial units and the location of their borders affect empirical results.
On the one hand, a complex sense of how race, ethnicity, nationalism, migration, bias, displacement, intermarriage and acculturation forge an identity and, on the other, puzzlement that decades of this history doesnβt fit cleanly in a five-item box.
July 4th, 2025
New WP w/ @riazsascha.bsky.social: via >42 million placebo tests, we show type I error inflation in Unexpected Event during Survey Designs (UESD), propose an adjustment, implement via new R package uesdRobust, and demonstrate utility by replicating two top UESD studies.
osf.io/preprints/os...
1/9
What shapes repression levels? We argue that bureaucrats' incentives play a major role.
Come to the presentation of the work with Lorenzo Vicari and Andrea Xamo at #EPSA2025 today.
ποΈ Friday 11:20-13:00
π Room -1.A.03 | Panel P7-S164
This is fantastic. Very excited by this development in European Political Science.
Please come and join us. Get involved. Sign up to the listserv. Etc