Guy Shrubsole

When the hard-right GB News recognise reality and talk about a "Donald Trump problem" for Nigel Farage & Reform UK they really are in major trouble.

If you want to beat them, figure out how to organize a bloc of economic actors whose material interests are served by the transition. Organize a bloc with *more power* and then *defeat* them. That's how this works. You're not going to fucking seduce them with your clever verbiage!

I just got an email pushing a new book, and ... I'm not going to call out the book itself, cause I don't wanna ruin anyone's day, but ... I am going to subtweet it.

It's yet another book on how the problem with climate change is ... the way we talk about it! "Framing"! "Messaging"!

NEW - The Hereditary Peers Bill has passed in the House of Lords, finally passing the government’s major reform that has been fought every step of the way, despite being manifesto pledge.

It passes now only because the government offered the Tories more life peerages.

Communities must be given the right to own environmental assets like rivers, woods & peat bogs

Thanks to @jenny4suffcoast.bsky.social & other MPs for writing this letter to Ministers, urging them to amend Community Right to Buy rules whilst there's still time:
www.wildlifetrusts.org/sites/defaul...

Get off fossil fuels. Keep us safe from mad dictators. 👇🏾

How much more evidence do we need? The ultra-rich and the governments supporting them will destroy everything for the sake of profit, power and pride. Nothing is precious to them - not human life, not the living world - except their own wealth and status. Our survival depends on resisting them.

As an IR professor, it's depressing that this is outperforming all others as the best theory of US foreign policy

People in Britain need to be really clear that the reason they are about to be worse off is Donald Trump and his enablers.

Oil Prices Tumble After Trump Says Iran War ‘Very Complete’ Oil futures, which surged as much as 31% Sunday night to more than $100 a barrel, have tumbled back down, a stunning reversal that gained momentum after President Trump told CBS that the war he launch...

If true that Trump is signalling an end in sight, then what we’ve learned from this fiasco is that the Iranian regime does not collapse even under intense pressure & the rest of the world can’t endure closure of the straits of Hormuz for very long at all www.wsj.com/livecoverage...

Farage & right-wing populism will pay an electoral price for their pro-Trump views. 67% of people are anti-Trump; a mere 4% very pro-Trump. While Farage's Reform are seen by 70% as pro-Trump; the Greens by 56% as anti-Trump. Putting Farage in an electoral ghetto. Via YouGov.

Opposition to the United States' military action against Iran has risen by 10pts among Britons over the last week

Support: 25% (-3 from 2 March)
Oppose: 59% (+10)

yougov.com/en-gb/daily-...

Help a toad across the road – and five more ways to save these endangered amphibians Britain’s toads have begun their spring migration, putting them at even greater risk than usual. Here’s how – and why – we should look after them

Help a toad across the road – and five more ways to save these endangered amphibians

This is really excellent - the creation of a register of 'options over land' will help show if developers are land banking, and allow communities and councils to better understand who controls land in their area.

Good work @matthewpennycookmp.bsky.social & MHCLG Land team!

bsky.app/profile/matt...

Today, we’re introducing new rules to boost land market transparency.

This will allow communities to better understand what land is controlled and may come forward for development.

Large tortoiseshell butterfly confirmed no longer extinct in UK Early spring sightings show colourful insect is a resident species for first time in decades, says conservation charity

Amidst the gloom, a small shaft of light: Large tortoiseshell butterflies confirmed no longer extinct in the UK!

Lovely piece by @patrickbarkham.bsky.social:

www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Ill fares the land? Holding large landowners to account for nature destruction - and restoration YouTube video by Leverhulme Centre for Nature Recovery

Thanks for a fabulous talk on Friday @guyshrubsole.bsky.social. If anyone missed it, you can catch Guy's talk: Ill fares the land? Holding large landowners to account for nature destruction & restoration, on our YouTube now.

@ecioxford.bsky.social @oxfordgeography.bsky.social

Change is afoot in Wales!

For a long time, the way the countryside is managed, the way our environmental politics have been influenced, the future of our landscapes, have been dominated by a singular vision.

Kind of weird when you can watch the global market collectively go "oh shit he is that crazy".

Meanwhile, Spain's massive investment in renewables is paying dividends now: with prices for Spanish industry and consumers low and stable compared with other European economies.

www.ft.com/content/ac77...

8/ Now Full blown panic in Trump WH. Their schemes afoot to:
(1) Insure more tankers with DFC
(2) Provide US navy escorts to ships that are too scared;
(3) Keep prices down (by trading in oil futures)
(4) Increase supply (waived india russia sanctions for 30 days)
bsky.app/profile/70sb...

This is the largest oil supply shock in history in mb/d
The enemy gets a vote. Iran is now delivering pain to Trump via multiple paths
(1) Gulf Kings
(2) Financial meltdown
(3) AI tech oligarchs
(4) Fuel, fertilizer, food disruptions
Read our Polycrisis Dispatch:
buttondown.com/polycrisisdi...

Polls have closed in the first of this year's five German state elections, in prosperous Baden-Württemberg. It's looking like a remarkable win-from-behind by the Greens under @oezdemir.de. Full results over the course of the evening.

It’s not just that little can be done by this autumn. Little can be done this side of 2030 and it’s highly probably little can be done, full stop, given the maturity of the N Sea basin. This much shared Carbon Brief graph says it all.

This is what ecocide looks like.

It’s nonsense. 75% of our gas imports come from Norway, 17% from the US & just 1-2% from Qatar, so trying to squeeze a tiny bit more from North Sea fields that’ve been declining for decades will make no odds to security, global prices or tax receipts. assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/688a09...

It’s nonsense. 75% of our gas imports come from Norway, 17% from the US & just 1-2% from Qatar, so trying to squeeze a tiny bit more from North Sea fields that’ve been declining for decades will make no odds to security, global prices or tax receipts. assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/688a09...

We already know the winner in the war with Iran and that's Russia. The closure of the Straits of Hormuz has swung Russian crude from pariah to prized commodity. Urals oil price is the highest since right after the Ukraine invasion. Putin is loving this...
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/markets-in...

Hitting desalination plants is so bad. Not just evil but strategically incomprehensible. Without desalination 75% of the entire population of the Middle East will be refugees. Israel and Kuwait depend on desalination for 90% of their water and other Middle East states aren’t far behind.

Humanity heating planet faster than ever before, study finds Researchers identify sharp rise to about 0.35C every decade, after excluding natural fluctuations such as El Niño

It doesn’t matter whether the rate of global warming is increasing. It’ll never cease to amaze me that people don’t care that it’s happening at all. It should be the most alarming thing ever.