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Tony Stark

@tonystark

Author of the novel, EX SUPRA. Buy it here: https://www.amazon.com/Ex-Supra-Tony-Stark/dp/B0B6L9TD6J/ref=nodl_?dplnkId=f9e567ed-9cbb-4a51-9ebe-37646193cff5 Sequel: Duality, coming soon. Substack: Breaking Beijing. Podcast: Second Breakfast (ChinaTalk)

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Latest posts by Tony Stark @tonystark

“how about we send the kurds to de-mine the strait” - the greatest thread in the history of CENTCOM, locked by C/NAVCENT after 12,239 pages of heated debate

10.03.2026 22:16 👍 267 🔁 30 💬 7 📌 1

Oh what’s that? You need hardened stand off weapons and forces capable of close combat?

Huh. Wonder who has those…

11.03.2026 00:42 👍 20 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Sorry Navy either you control the SLOCs or Army is the lynchpin of the Pacific.

11.03.2026 00:39 👍 41 🔁 3 💬 3 📌 0

Tho I will say from a policy standpoint it would set a bad precedent for a future a Taiwan crisis if the expectation is that the USN will escort shipping bc they will be too busy trying to escort themselves.

11.03.2026 00:26 👍 31 🔁 2 💬 3 📌 0

“We exist to control SLOCs”

“Not like that”

11.03.2026 00:25 👍 95 🔁 4 💬 4 📌 0

USCENTCOM’s entire reason for existence for the last forty years has been to prevent exactly THIS ONE THING from happening

and yet

10.03.2026 20:04 👍 724 🔁 151 💬 17 📌 2

I'm gonna say unilateral ceasefire attempt by Wednesday.

09.03.2026 00:00 👍 56 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0

Should we rebrand Second Breakfast to WarTalk?

09.03.2026 15:46 👍 7 🔁 0 💬 3 📌 0

Anthropic sues to block the DOD from designating it a supply chain risk, says the designation is unlawful and violates its free speech and due process rights (Jack Queen/Reuters)

Main Link | Techmeme Permalink

09.03.2026 15:12 👍 33 🔁 11 💬 1 📌 1
Preview
OpenAI Is Opening the Door to Government Spying Whether it means to or not

The Pentagon can likely get away with using OpenAI’s technology for mass surveillance of Americans under the terms of their contract, legal experts told @matteowong.bsky.social.

08.03.2026 04:15 👍 83 🔁 51 💬 7 📌 3

I'm reposting this before even watching because Frank Kendall is always on my watch list and any decent administration next will have him front of the line to be SECDEF.

That & the China Talk/2d Breakfast team always kills it.

07.03.2026 13:57 👍 30 🔁 5 💬 1 📌 0
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Second Breakfast: Iran and the DIB with Fmr SECAF Frank Kendall Spotify video

I sadly missed the recording this week but former SECAF Frank Kendall joined Second Breakfast this week!

open.spotify.com/episode/1xHh...

07.03.2026 12:55 👍 28 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 2

TBI: totally based Instagram

07.03.2026 12:24 👍 8 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Russia is providing Iran intelligence to target U.S. forces, officials say The targeting information has included the locations of American warships and aircraft in the Middle East, the officials said.

You can see why Russia sees an opportunity to settle scores. "Russia is providing Iran with targeting information to attack American forces in the Middle East, the first indication that another major U.S. adversary is participating — even indirectly" www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

06.03.2026 12:21 👍 217 🔁 81 💬 15 📌 15

This actually isn’t surprising in the slightest from an American POV. The only people trying to actually learn from this war are like Mike kofman, Rob Lee, 4 rando freelancers, and 7 people on here

06.03.2026 01:26 👍 780 🔁 117 💬 31 📌 4

Back when divisions had SHORAD Battalions, most AR/CAV Battalion Commanders would make the mistake of looking at his ADA platoon and seeing 5 Bradleys instead of 5 MANPAD defense platforms during a CTC rotation, with terrible yet foreseeable results. Defenses need defending, too.

06.03.2026 02:20 👍 25 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 0

“What Guam Defense System doing?”

06.03.2026 02:14 👍 30 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

Actually iirc we talked about this specific problem on the CUAS episode last fall too.

06.03.2026 01:59 👍 8 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I said yesterday that torpedo strike would keep Beijing up and this should keep INDOPACOM wide awake (it already does, now just more evidence)

06.03.2026 01:57 👍 54 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0

If only there was a war that highlighted this for the last few years

06.03.2026 01:56 👍 71 🔁 2 💬 3 📌 0

Almost like you need defenses for the exquisite systems themselves.

06.03.2026 01:56 👍 192 🔁 18 💬 7 📌 0
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Probably first major US loss of the conflict when it comes to ballistic missile defense. One of TPY-2 radars belonging to the THAAD battery deployed to Muwaffaq Salti Airbase in Jordan seems to have been struck. The full radar set goes over $200M.

06.03.2026 01:38 👍 637 🔁 185 💬 16 📌 37

lol

05.03.2026 18:36 👍 48 🔁 5 💬 3 📌 0
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ICO writes to Meta over 'concerning' AI smart glasses report Videos, including of glasses-wearers using the toilet or having sex, are sometimes reviewed by a Kenya-based subcontractor.

Last year when I was checking into a hotel, the desk person was wearing Meta glasses. I kindly asked them to take them off. They were annoyed. I said, “I do not consent to you looking at my credit card and ID with Meta glasses on.” My instincts were correct: www.bbc.com/news/article...

05.03.2026 15:27 👍 6134 🔁 2445 💬 93 📌 184

…do I want to air bnb or is it big haunted

05.03.2026 03:44 👍 7 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

My entire career is Mad Libs. There’s no part of my life that doesn’t sound fake.

05.03.2026 03:39 👍 19 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

Once again, you are the Forrest Gump of GWOT

05.03.2026 03:24 👍 35 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

We are doing THE PITT commentary this week and our guest is going to suffer it.

05.03.2026 02:34 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The US every time someone comes up with a new tactic that doesn’t match their idea of combat:

05.03.2026 02:32 👍 77 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 2

The problem with Americans and doctrine isn’t that we don’t read it. It’s that we’ve become so self assured we’re convinced nobody else can think of and employ a good idea.

05.03.2026 02:29 👍 72 🔁 5 💬 2 📌 0