@jurado
Political Scientist at the Institute of Public Goods and Policies (IPP), Spanish National Research Council (CSIC). Fellow at the European Studies Centre (St Antony's College) D.Phil University of Oxford. Interested in too many things with too little time.
Los bebés afectados por la DANA durante el embarazo tuvieron más riesgo de ser prematuros🤰
En @piedrasdepapel.bsky.social, @nereabelloiglesias.bsky.social y yo mostramos resultados de nuestra investigación en curso sobre los efectos de la DANA en la salud infantil: www.eldiario.es/piedrasdepap...
El sábado pasado, Alauda Ruiz de Azúa recordó que en 40 años solo 3 mujeres habían ganado el Goya a Mejor Dirección antes que ella.
¿Hay algo sistemático detrás?
Analizando 2.000 reseñas de cine en medios españoles, los resultados indican que algo hay. 🧵
Hoy @sandraleon.bsky.social nos trae un interesantísimo análisis sobre la atribución de responsabilidades políticas en el caso de la DANA de Valencia.
www.eldiario.es/132_c6fa7a?u...
BJPolS abstract discussing the surge of far-right parties in recent decades, investigating the implications when left-wing governments are in power.
From January 2026 -
Left-Wing Governments and Far-Right Success - https://cup.org/3NpBdXI
- Albert Falcó-Gimeno, @jurado.bsky.social & @markuswagner.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Good lord. What an abject failure the Blue Labour strategy has been.
Aragón fue nuestro Ohio, pero hoy todavía nos enseña algunas lecciones:
"una derecha aún en disputa y una izquierda atrapada entre fragmentación, desmovilización y fuga hacia opciones autonómicas"
✍️ Hoy en el blog @jurado.bsky.social
www.eldiario.es/132_c6644f?u...
The political effects of X's feed algorithm https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-10098-2 Received: 16 December 2024 Accepted: 4 January 2026 Published online: 18 February 2026 Open access • Check for updates Germain Gauthier,5, Roland Hodler?5, Philine Widmer35 & Ekaterina Zhuravskaya3,4,5 m Feed algorithms are widely suspected to influence political attitudes. However, previous evidence from switching off the algorithm on Meta platforms found no political effects'. Here we present results from a 2023 field experiment on Elon Musk's platform X shedding light on this puzzle. We assigned active US-based users randomly to either an algorithmic or a chronological feed for 7 weeks, measuring political attitudes and online behaviour. Switching from a chronological to an algorithmic feed increased engagement and shifted political opinion towards more conservative positions, particularly regarding policy priorities, perceptions of criminal investigations into Donald Trump and views on the war in Ukraine. In contrast, switching from the algorithmic to the chronological feed had no comparable effects. Neither switching the algorithm on nor switching it off significantly affected affective polarization or self-reported partisanship. To investigate the mechanism, we analysed users' feed content and behaviour. We found that the algorithm promotes conservative content and demotes posts by traditional media. Exposure to algorithmic content leads users to follow conservative political activist accounts, which they continue to follow even after switching off the algorithm, helping explain the asymmetry in effects. These results suggest that initial exposure to X's algorithm has persistent effects on users' current political attitudes and account-following behaviour, even in the absence of a detectable effect on partisanship.
A new paper shows that less than 2 months of exposure to Twitter’s algorithmic feed significantly shifts people’s political views to the right.
Moving from chronological feed to the algorithmic feed also increases engagement.
This is one of the most concerning papers I’ve read in awhile.
Looking forward to being there!
New publication with the fantastic @nereabelloiglesias.bsky.social 🎉
We discuss the biological pathways through which natural disasters increase prenatal maternal stress, the role of socioeconomic and institutional factors, and implications for child outcomes
link.springer.com/chapter/10.1...
New article out in @bjpols.bsky.social 🎉
Why do elections remain widely supported even as democratic checks and balances erode around the world?
Last days for this call.
Postdoc position within the ERC project CONSENT.
If you are interested in the consent of the losers and more broadly democratic backsliding and resilience, apply!
Here is your opportunity to work in a fantastic research environment in Madrid (at @ipp-csic.bsky.social ) under the leadership of @jurado.bsky.social
Major post-doc opportunity on a great project in Madrid :) Apply!
Postdoc call‼️
I am opening a call for a postdoctoral position within my ERC project CONSENT.
Come to Madrid to be part of my research team and more broadly of the @ipp-csic.bsky.social community.
Application deadline: December 10th.
Call details: tinyurl.com/yfu83p9m
Happy that our paper with @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, and @lstoetze.bsky.social found a home at @thejop.bsky.social. You can read it here 👇
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
Don't miss my stellar coauthor presenting our book!
Hoy @sandraleon.bsky.social nos habla de los sesgos en la política.
"Juzgamos la política desde la trinchera, salvo cuando la realidad no deja margen."
www.eldiario.es/132_c22707?u...
HOY @jurado.bsky.social y @fdelacuesta.bsky.social nos cuentan un estudio que muestra que la construcción de carreteras fortalecen los lazos con el gobierno que las construye.
¡No os lo perdáis!
www.eldiario.es/132_c14aa4?u...
New publication (4+ years in the making): “The Diffusion and Reach of (Mis)Information on Facebook”. shorturl.at/VE2fU
We analyze the propagation of 1B+ posts across content moderation regimes, with @davidlazer.bsky.social @jatucker.bsky.social @taliastroud.bsky.social @annenbergpenn.bsky.social
🚨 New @apsrjournal.bsky.social Paper! 🚨
In “When Migrants Mobilize against Labor Exploitation: Evidence from the Italian Farmlands,” I study how empowering undocumented migrants can reduce labor exploitation and even weaken organized crime.
Thread : 🧵
Thanks to all of you that have contributed to this for your help and support! This achievement is also yours.
And thanks to the European Research Council for this opportunity! I am grateful and excited to start this project on the losers' consent. Stay tuned!
#ERCCoG
erc.europa.eu/news-events/...
Are you interested in democratic backsliding?
With @honoratam.bsky.social and Joep van Lit we are organizing a workshop on "Early Signs of Democratic Recession in Established and Backsliding Democracies"
Join us at the @ecpr.bsky.social joint sessions
polisky
ecpr.eu/Events/Event...
Congratulations!
New paper now conditionally accepted at @thejop.bsky.social
With @elizabethsim0n.bsky.social - one of the best (& nicest) people in polisky - we ran a meta analysis looking at effects of educational group-based biases in candidate choice experiments.
👉https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/hrufe
Check out this new special issue in Electoral Studies: www.sciencedirect.com/journal/elec... It contains 7 cool articles on the nature and causes of AP - using observational and experimental data, focusing on measurement, elites and ideology, and an important theoretical piece as well.
We start the academic year with a warm farewell to Hadas Mandel (Tel-Aviv Univ.) after 9 months with us,and a welcome to Harris Mylonas (@harrismylonas.bsky.social), Beatriz Magaloni, & Alberto Díaz-Cayeros who will be spending the upcoming months with us!
We will keep you posted here of our events
Guess I should post something here, so I’m linking my job market paper! I examine the effects of ideological polarization on local politics through the lens of police union endorsements. tinyurl.com/2s7kdpem
Geopolitical change, de-risking policies, and backlash politics: My econ colleague David Dorn and I discuss the current challenges to globalization.
Since so many more people have joined, just a reminder that @fortunato.bsky.social and I are recruiting a two-year postdoc for our project on legislative capacity. Come to beautiful Copenhagen and work on a fun project. PSJMinfo
First post on Blue Sky!
Thought I’d start it with a thread laying out the chapters in The Oxford Handbook of Historical Political Economy (the proofs are finally in!)
The Handbook comes out in November