Thanks for reading!
@chriscooperwcu
Professor of Political Science & Public Affairs at Western Carolina University. American politics, state politics, North Carolina politics, southern politics, elections. Recent book: Anatomy of a Purple State (UNC Press 2024). http://www.chriscooperwcu.com
Thanks for reading!
Posted some thoughts on last week's #ncpol primary:
open.substack.com/pub/chriscoo...
We hope the article is helpful for scholars, students, & observers of parties in America.
We also hope that it's written in such a way that it could be used in the undergraduate classroom. If you're teaching an UG parties class and are looking for a reading on 3rd parties, please check it out
3/3
We use survey data from the Meredith Poll, voter reg & party switching data from the NCSBE to document what people thought abt No Labels & how they responded to the new partisan kid on the block
The findings aren't particularly promising for 3rd party advocates as these pull quotes illustrate (2/3)
Pleased that "Much Ado About Nothing: The Birth, Life, & Death of the No Labels Party in a Purple State" (@bowtiepolitics.bsky.social, @whitneymnz.bsky.social, David McLennan, Susan Roberts & me) is available in @pspolisci.bsky.social.
#ncpol #polisky
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
(1/3)
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@wesmediaproject.bsky.social
is out w/ their report on midterm campaign spending.
Despite being 1 of the 3 earliest primaries in the nation, #ncsen & #ncpol congressional candidates are not among the biggest TV ad spenders thus far.
mediaproject.wesleyan.edu/releases-030...
The late great Townes Van Zandt was born this day in 1944.
Here's my favorite cover of my favorite Townes song Gillian Welch, David Rawlings & Norah Jones):
www.youtube.com/watch?v=1rN5...
If you don't know his music, but you want to, start with Live at the Old Quarter.
In the latest sign that Florida Republicans will go through with re-gerrymandering the congressional map when they reconvene on April 20 for a special session called by Gov. Ron DeSantis, legislators have advanced a bill to delay the candidate filing period from April to June
#ncpol
. @bowtiepolitics.bsky.social doing a predictably great job as the keynote speaker at the Citadel Symposium on Southern Politics.
I have no answers π€£
Thanks, Michael!
A couple of folks have asked whether Page or Berger could simply run again an independent. The answer is no.
For the history, see this clip from chapter 8 of Anatomy of a Purple State ‡οΈ
#ncpol
Late night thoughts on the #ncpol primaries:
open.substack.com/pub/chriscoo...
Insane
2 precincts left & a 172 vote margin. This is a fine print election: canvass and recounts are going to decide it--not whatever we see tonight.
#nc26 #ncpol
Just going to put this right here for future reference.
#sd26 #recount
www.ncleg.net/enactedlegis...
Back to the big one. Page up, but (and it's a big but), Rockingham has completely reported, Guilford has not.
Page is doing much better in Rockingham than Guilford.
#ncpol
Berger looking like he's doing well with Guilford early votes, as expected. No Rockingham votes thus far.
8:36 pm.
#ncpol #sd26
votes starting to populate in #ncpol
Have we ever done a live Substack before? No.
Do we know what we're doing? Arguably, also no.
Will it be fun to talk #ncpol with @bowtiepolitics.bsky.social you bet!
Curious what to watch in the NC primary tonight? Iβve got an election night cheat sheet at the bottom of this link β¬οΈ
Itβs 4 pages and results will come in around 8:30, so if you read a page every 15 minutes, youβll have time leftover for a nice evening run.
#ncpol
Make that around 8:30. Your thumbs can stand down until then
A little after 7:30 pm, all of #ncpol will begin posting election results in progress
There is no secret portal to better or newer information. Everyone is just navigating to er.ncsbe.gov & pressing refresh as fast as their thumbs will allow
So, join the fun. No experience required.
Lack of space and the need to draw a line somewhere. Both are smart additions
It's primary day in North Carolina!
To celebrate, here's some early voting data, some thoughts on the role of party elites in a primary, and & links (I know how to party). There's also a short guide to following tonight's primary linked towards the bottom
#ncpol
open.substack.com/pub/chriscoo...
#ncpol
PSA for #WNC skiers: itβs not too late to get a few turns in this year, as long as youβre ok skiing on mashed potatoes.
Alsoβthis is the time to get your season pass on for next year at Cataloochee
Thanks, Burial Beer for finding the beer name for this moment.
Feb. 28 π€early voting update for #ncpol
π³οΈ ~622k ballots cast (99.8% accepted)
π³οΈ ~23% higher than 2022. U up the most, followed by D, then R
π³οΈ 55% of U voters choosing the D ballot w/ huge variation
π³οΈ #sd26: Rockingham continuing to dominate, but the gap is closing a little