Significant acceleration of global warming since 2015, finds news PIK study with @rahmstorf.bsky.social
Recent warming: around ~0.35°C per decade.
1970–2015 average: just under 0.2°C per dec.
➡️Current rate is higher than in any decade since records began in 1880.
www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...
06.03.2026 14:59
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"The software detected 18 cases in the first 600 datasets that were serious enough to report...based on that limited sample, around 3% of papers contain these types of errors."
😭
06.03.2026 12:12
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hey siri whats it like doing a phd
19.02.2026 18:36
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Sensory sharpening and semantic prediction errors unify competing models of predictive processing in human speech comprehension
Speech comprehension relies on predictive mechanisms, but models disagree on whether the brain prioritizes expected or unexpected information. This study shows that sharpening of sensory representatio...
Same sound, different perception: Do expectations change what you hear?👂🧠
We paired faces w topics and played the same ambiguous speech w different faces. The brain sharpened sensory signals toward predictions and showed gated prediction errors at higher levels.
Read @plosbiology.org. Blueprint👇
12.01.2026 10:34
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GitHub - FabulousFabs/MVPy: Multivariate pattern analysis for neuroscience with full GPU support in python.
Multivariate pattern analysis for neuroscience with full GPU support in python. - FabulousFabs/MVPy
PS: The computational cost of some of our analyses required writing a lot of custom code to put everything on GPUs. We are now working to consolidate this tooling into MVPy. If you'd like to contribute (features, docs, tests, benchmarks), come say hi!
12.01.2026 10:34
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For a quick glance at our key findings, see our quoted preprint thread.
Elated to finally see this published. Huge thanks to @helenblank.bsky.social, the Predictive Cognition Lab, and colleagues at @isnlab.bsky.social. This project truly took a village. 👏
12.01.2026 10:34
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Sensory sharpening and semantic prediction errors unify competing models of predictive processing in human speech comprehension
Speech comprehension relies on predictive mechanisms, but models disagree on whether the brain prioritizes expected or unexpected information. This study shows that sharpening of sensory representatio...
Same sound, different perception: Do expectations change what you hear?👂🧠
We paired faces w topics and played the same ambiguous speech w different faces. The brain sharpened sensory signals toward predictions and showed gated prediction errors at higher levels.
Read @plosbiology.org. Blueprint👇
12.01.2026 10:34
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WARN-D machine learning competition is live » Eiko Fried
If you share one single thing of our team in 2026—on social media or per email with your colleagues—please let it be this machine learning competition. It was half a decade of work to get here, especi...
After 5 years of data collection, our WARN-D machine learning competition to forecast depression onset is now LIVE! We hope many of you will participate—we have incredibly rich data.
If you share a single thing of my lab this year, please make it this competition.
eiko-fried.com/warn-d-machi...
07.01.2026 19:39
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Introducing CorText: a framework that fuses brain data directly into a large language model, allowing for interactive neural readout using natural language.
tl;dr: you can now chat with a brain scan 🧠💬
1/n
03.11.2025 15:17
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IMAGINE-decoding-challenge
Predict which words participants were hearing, based upon brain activity recordings of visually seeing these items?
How well do classifiers trained on visual activity actually transfer to non-visual reactivation?
#Decoding studies often rely on training in one (visual) condition and applying it to another (e.g. rest-reactivation). However: How well does this work? Show us what makes it work and win up to 1000$!
24.10.2025 06:55
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What do representations tell us about a system? Image of a mouse with a scope showing a vector of activity patterns, and a neural network with a vector of unit activity patterns
Common analyses of neural representations: Encoding models (relating activity to task features) drawing of an arrow from a trace saying [on_____on____] to a neuron and spike train. Comparing models via neural predictivity: comparing two neural networks by their R^2 to mouse brain activity. RSA: assessing brain-brain or model-brain correspondence using representational dissimilarity matrices
In neuroscience, we often try to understand systems by analyzing their representations — using tools like regression or RSA. But are these analyses biased towards discovering a subset of what a system represents? If you're interested in this question, check out our new commentary! Thread:
05.08.2025 14:36
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Cool! May I join?
01.08.2025 15:17
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Thanks Peter!! :-)
For anyone looking for a brief summary, here's a quick tour of our key findings: bsky.app/profile/fabi...
01.08.2025 11:32
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3. Prediction errors are not computed indiscriminately and appear to be gated by likelihood, potentially underlying robust updates to world models (where extreme prediction errors might otherwise lead to deleterious model updates).
01.08.2025 11:24
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Redirecting
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2. Priors sharpen representations at the sensory level, and produce high-level prediction errors.
While this contradicts traditional predictive coding, it aligns well with recent views by @clarepress.bsky.social, @peterkok.bsky.social, @danieljamesyon.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1016/j.ti...
01.08.2025 11:24
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So what are the key takeaways?
1. Listeners apply speaker-specific semantic priors in speech comprehension.
This extends previous findings showing speaker-specific adaptations at the phonetic, phonemic and lexical levels.
01.08.2025 11:24
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In fact, neurally we find a double dissociation between type of prior and congruency: Semantic prediction errors are apparent relative to speaker-invariant priors IFF word is highly unlikely given speaker prior, but emerge relative to speaker-specific priors otherwise!
01.08.2025 11:24
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Interestingly, participants take longer to respond to words incongruent with the speaker, but response times are a function of word probability given the speaker only for congruent words. This may also suggest some kind of gating, incurring a switch cost!
01.08.2025 11:24
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So is there some process gating which semantic prediction errors are computed?
In real time, we sample particularly congruent and incongruent exemplars of a speaker for each subject. We present unmorphed but degraded words and ask for word identification.
01.08.2025 11:24
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Conversely, here we find that only speaker-specific semantic surprisal improves encoding performance. Explained variance clusters across all sensors between 150-630ms, consistent with prediction errors at higher levels of the processing hierarchy such as semantics!
01.08.2025 11:24
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What about high-level representations? Let's zoom out to the broadband EEG response.
To test for information theoretic measures, we encode single-trial responses from acoustic/semantic surprisal, controlling for general linguistic confounds (in part through LLMs).
01.08.2025 11:24
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How are they altered? Our RSMs naturally represent expected information. Due to their geometry, a sign flip inverts the pattern to represent unexpected information.
Coefficients show clear evidence of sharpening at the sensory level, pulling reps. towards predictions!
01.08.2025 11:24
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We find that similarity structure of sensory representations is best explained by combining speaker-invariant and -specific acoustic predictions. Critically, purely semantic predictions do not help.
Semantic predictions alter sensory representations at the acoustic level!
01.08.2025 11:24
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We compute similarity between reconstructions for both speakers and original words from morph creation. We encode observed sensory RSMs from speaker-invariant and -specific acoustic and semantic predictions, controlling for raw acoustics and general linguistic predictions.
01.08.2025 11:24
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Let's zoom in on the sensory level: We train stimulus reconstruction models to decode auditory spectrograms from EEG recordings.
If predictions shape neural representations at the sensory level, we should find reconstructed representational content shifted by speakers.
01.08.2025 11:24
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Indeed, participants report hearing words as a function of semantic probability given the speaker, scaling with exposure.
But how? Predictive coding invokes prediction errors, but Bayesian inference requires sharpening. Does the brain represent un-/expected information?
01.08.2025 11:24
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We played morphed audio files (e.g., sea/tea) and had participants report which of the two words they had heard. Critically, the same morphs were played in different speaker contexts, with speaker-specific feedback reinforcing robust speaker-specific semantic expectations.
01.08.2025 11:24
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