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Bobby Kogan

@bbkogan

Senior Director of Federal Budget Policy for the Center for American Progress doing budget, tax, and econ. Formerly: Biden OMB, Biden Transition Team, Senate Budget Committee (Murray and Sanders). CBO and OMB’s biggest fan! Personal account.

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Latest posts by Bobby Kogan @bbkogan

In the same bill where Trump and Republicans provided $153 billion of additional dollars for the military and $191 billion for DHS, they cut $187 billion from food assistance for the hungry and more than $1 trillion from health care for the sick

This stuff is always a choice, and they chose poorly

10.03.2026 14:33 👍 56 🔁 22 💬 1 📌 0

The military budget is $217 billion higher than it was a decade ago (after adjusting for inflation).

A significant chunk of that money comes from OBBBA & is still unused and earmarked for things Trump is likely to ask for in the supp. For the rest, there's flexibility to move some funds around.

10.03.2026 14:22 👍 175 🔁 66 💬 6 📌 4

The best reason to be against money for war in Iran is morality

I explain budgetary reasons against:
1) There's already funding from OBBBA, much of which is still unused
2) The military budget is huge & has flexibility to move some funds around

Congress should not provide additional funds for war

10.03.2026 14:16 👍 115 🔁 22 💬 0 📌 1
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Few people asked for this and few people like it. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/10/u...

10.03.2026 11:10 👍 391 🔁 87 💬 16 📌 12
Defense funding has gone up 26% since Obama left office, after adjusting for inflation. That works out to $217 billion this year.

Defense funding has gone up 26% since Obama left office, after adjusting for inflation. That works out to $217 billion this year.

The best reason to be against a war supp is the war is immoral.

But even just looking at dollars, there's no need for a supp. The military budget has grown a ton in the last decade, & it just got a huge ⬆️ in OBBBA. Those funds, plus existing transfer authority, mean there's no need for more money.

09.03.2026 19:56 👍 64 🔁 19 💬 4 📌 4

Yes, I said the system as a whole was progressive. The extremely progressive income tax swamps regressive parts to leave a very progressive structure that's much more progressive than Europe, just like I said.

09.03.2026 15:44 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

I agree and sorry if I was unclear! I am worried we're slowly moving towards that, and this is part of it. I think viewing this in concert with the Biden 400k current policy pledge, and as part of a broader movement among the No Tax Ons, I am super worried we're slowwalking towards it.

09.03.2026 15:43 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 3 📌 0
Line still go up

Line still go up

Sure! If you include regressive state and local, you get this:
itep.org/who-pays-tax...

09.03.2026 15:40 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

yeah, it absolutely rules. give all of what we need! source here: home.treasury.gov/system/files...

09.03.2026 15:24 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Yeah, there are a lot of elements of our code that need to be fixed particularly to address specific kinds of tax avoidance by the rich, but our tax code is significantly more progressive than most of Europe and that rules. They have far flatter codes.

09.03.2026 13:43 👍 9 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Households that take the standard deduction write it off, as if they never made the money — this includes households making $800k. This helps at your marginal rate. So relative to paying taxes on it the richest get 37% back, whereas the poorest had no tax liability & typical households get 12% back

09.03.2026 13:14 👍 21 🔁 0 💬 3 📌 1

Major part of the reason it’s difficult to change DST is where you are in the time zone really affects what’s optimal.

Permanent DST is best for people in the eastern part of the time zone. No DST ever is best for folks in the western part. Folks in the middle benefit from hours changing.

08.03.2026 17:55 👍 47 🔁 1 💬 10 📌 1
Preview
At Largest ICE Detention Camp, Staff Bet on Detainee Suicides, AP Reports Camp East Montana has received several 911 calls in the span of five months about immigrants trying to harm themselves.

Staff at the nation’s largest Immigration and Customs Enforcement detention facility have placed bets on which detainee will be the next to die by suicide, according to new reporting from the Associated Press based on 911 calls and detainee accounts.

07.03.2026 21:00 👍 9271 🔁 6049 💬 605 📌 1535

cannot be said enough that all these people who cosplay Warriors who are ready to Sacrifice for Family and Nation never go to war themselves and instead offer up other people’s lives so they can feel like badasses vicariously through other people’s deaths

07.03.2026 21:49 👍 85 🔁 13 💬 2 📌 0
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They blew up an elementary school Tom
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

07.03.2026 18:28 👍 4947 🔁 780 💬 155 📌 43
gas prices go up

gas prices go up

honestly so amazing that like the only thing trump bragged about in the state of the union he immediately pulled the lever to undo

07.03.2026 21:36 👍 105 🔁 12 💬 2 📌 0
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CBS obtained video of the DHS killing of an unarmed man in Texas that DHS concealed for nearly a year, which clearly contradicts claims that he violently rammed anyone. He is shot with his brake lights on, car not moving or barely moving. Another DHS crime.

07.03.2026 03:03 👍 7363 🔁 3879 💬 238 📌 226

According to new analysis from @budgetlab.bsky.social, Trump's plan to illegally index capital gains for inflation would be a massive giveaway to the rich, giving almost nothing to the bottom 80% of Americans while giving the top 0.1% a $350k annual tax break, EVEN MORE than what they got in OBBBA.

06.03.2026 20:21 👍 61 🔁 29 💬 3 📌 2

okay this is good

06.03.2026 17:57 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

We do! We have friends there who would be leaking to us if they got even an iota of a hint that anything were being manipulated. That time may come, but we're definitely not there yet.

06.03.2026 17:29 👍 12 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0

$217 billion a year is enough to reverse Trump's Medicaid and SNAP cuts AND fund the enhanced premium tax credits that Trump let expire.

06.03.2026 16:58 👍 63 🔁 27 💬 4 📌 1

Oh, is that bad?

06.03.2026 16:45 👍 56 🔁 8 💬 4 📌 1

The $2.5 trillion and the $7.4 trillion are the respective 10-year total increases above Obama levels, 2027-2036 (so like the conceptual equivalent of a CBO score)

06.03.2026 16:35 👍 19 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0

After adjusting for inflation, the defense budget this year is $217 billion above when Obama left office. Over a decade, the increase would total ~$2.5 trillion in ⬆️ defense.

Trump wants to further boost that another $450 billion a year for a total defense boost of $7.4 trillion above Obama levels.

06.03.2026 16:25 👍 49 🔁 27 💬 5 📌 7

The biggest problem here is that in basically every way Donald Trump could try to rock the boat on the economy, he has. Trade wars, mass deportation, oil price surges, etc., the man has been working to destabilize things.

06.03.2026 15:54 👍 50 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 0

This is absolutely right. What I'd say is that the labor market has continued to show significant weakness and there is worry it's not strong enough to weather significant shocks — like for instance a huge spike in gas prices stemming from an immoral war in Iran, along with mass deportation efforts.

06.03.2026 15:53 👍 106 🔁 16 💬 2 📌 0
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Jobs report uniformly weak: 92K jobs lost (with job losses in almost every industry), household survey employment down too, unemployment rate up to 4.4%, participation down, avg weekly hours flat.

Main sign in the other direction was strong wage growth.

06.03.2026 14:42 👍 53 🔁 13 💬 1 📌 0

Apparently the White House is shooting for just below zero hiring

06.03.2026 14:41 👍 57 🔁 7 💬 3 📌 2

NEC Director Kevin Hassett just said, positively, about the jobs loss: “on net, it’s almost a wash”

06.03.2026 14:41 👍 23 🔁 1 💬 4 📌 2
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This is a real video from the official White House account on a war that is currently killing people. I don’t know how the US is going to come back from this.
The post was “JUSTICE THE AMERICAN WAY. 🇺🇸 🔥”

06.03.2026 08:22 👍 3587 🔁 1248 💬 726 📌 1255