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Lucas Osborne

@lucastosborne

Industrial Policy, Money, Monopolies, Public Utilities, Tech Platforms, PhD @UCBerkeley, JD @VanderbiltLaw, MPP @TheHellerSchool

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Latest posts by Lucas Osborne @lucastosborne

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Affordability for Colorado families would see boost from Democrats' tax package | Colorado Newsline A trio of Colorado bills would roll back corporate tax breaks to fund a new cash credit for low- and middle-income families.

A trio of Colorado bills that would roll back corporate tax breaks to fund a new tax credit for low- and middle-income families passed a state House committee Monday, an initial step in the bills’ passage.
By @sarawilson.bsky.social

10.03.2026 21:36 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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What the Challenger Layoff Tracker Really Measures Why announced layoffs often diverge from the government’s layoff data.

I started a substack! First piece looks at the Challenger layoff data compared to JOLTS.

Why did Challenger, but not JOLTS, show an increase in layoffs the last three years?

besttrousers.substack.com/p/what-the-c...

10.03.2026 12:36 πŸ‘ 126 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 3

Illinois (and Pritzker) score points

09.03.2026 16:27 πŸ‘ 210 πŸ” 63 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0
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Eyeing Voting Rights, Liberals Aim to Secure Wisconsin’s Supreme Court through 2030 - Bolts After flipping the court in 2023, Wisconsin liberals now hope to expand their majority on a body that could be a critical backstop for voting rights during the next presidential election.

But first is next month’s very under-the-radar race.

Details here: boltsmag.org/wisconsin-su...

09.03.2026 16:48 πŸ‘ 136 πŸ” 38 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2
There Have Been No Approvals for New Transit Projects in the First Year of the Current Trump Administration

There Have Been No Approvals for New Transit Projects in the First Year of the Current Trump Administration

For the 1st time in the 1st year of a presidential administration since at least 1993, under Trump 2, the Federal Transit Administration signed 0 new contracts for major transit projects, like subways or light rail.

The US is facing a crisis of rail transit investment: www.urban.org/urban-wire/r...

09.03.2026 16:00 πŸ‘ 663 πŸ” 245 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 14
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Inside ICE’s Only Contract with a Blue State As part of a 287(g) contract between state officials and ICE, Massachusetts continues to release prisoners into deportationβ€”even as state lawmakers look to ban other forms of ICE collaboration.

β€œPeople are more willing to talk about banning a hypothetical 287(g) with a hypothetical police department than they are a real 287(g) with the Massachusetts Department of Correction,” says an attorney who represents detained immigrants in Massachusetts.

09.03.2026 19:03 πŸ‘ 92 πŸ” 36 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

happening tomorrow!

09.03.2026 20:38 πŸ‘ 153 πŸ” 77 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3
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'Ridiculous': Kristi Noem's 28-year-old aide wasted millions on unusable ICE vehicles A former deputy to outgoing Homeland Security chief Kristi Noem saddled the department with millions of dollars in wasted funding for vehicles that cannot be used.U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcem...

A Noem aide spent $3 million on pickup trucks emblazoned with the ICE name & logo, which ICE agents -- notoriously averse to advertising their presence -- will not drive, so they're just sitting in a lot, useless. The contract went to a Trump donor who owns a regional Chevy dealership.

09.03.2026 22:33 πŸ‘ 4146 πŸ” 1679 πŸ’¬ 167 πŸ“Œ 192
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Mississippi’s Black Voters Brace for SCOTUS to GutΒ Their Political Clout Black Mississippians won a key ruling last year in a case that challenges how the state elects supreme court justices. But the U.S. Supreme Court may soon weaken the Voting Rights Act and erase their victory.

A federal judge has said she may order special elections this year for several seats on the state supreme court, but what's next is very uncertain due to state lawmakers stalling for time and a pending case in front of the U.S. Supreme Court.

10.03.2026 14:29 πŸ‘ 77 πŸ” 31 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I thought this analysis was very well executed (and judging by the like count so did a lot of people!)

09.03.2026 21:58 πŸ‘ 199 πŸ” 33 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

NEW polling data on Trump voters: Overall 15% now disapprove of his job performance, including 19% of Hispanics, 22% of young voters, and 33% of Black 2024 Trump voters.

Affordability voters have shifted left on Trump and the House generic ballot:

www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-borr...

10.03.2026 12:01 πŸ‘ 218 πŸ” 69 πŸ’¬ 22 πŸ“Œ 16
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Guess What Moderate Democratic Voters Aren’t Anymore? Moderate. Two new polls suggest that moderate Democrats, too, want higher taxes on the rich and some measure of economic populism. Moderate isn’t what it was in 1992.

Moderate Democrats with columns in newspapers are constantly saying the Democratic Party is way too liberal on "social" issues. Moderate Democratic voters in real life do not feel this way. With some polling data from @gelliottmorris.com and @dataforprogress.org. newrepublic.com/article/2074...

09.03.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 3643 πŸ” 937 πŸ’¬ 94 πŸ“Œ 113

You average normie Democrat in 2026 loves AOC, wants to abolish ICE, and thinks Israel shouldn’t get another penny from us.

It’s laughable how out of touch centrist consultants and politicians are.

09.03.2026 18:40 πŸ‘ 5377 πŸ” 1092 πŸ’¬ 103 πŸ“Œ 39
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Elon Musk's xAI wants to build a power plant in Mississippi. Regulators plan a key meeting on Election Day The NAACP has accused Mississippi regulators of rushing a meeting to approve xAI plans for a massive, methane-burning power plant in Southaven.

xAI wants to build a huge, natural gas-burning power plant in Southaven, Mississippi. Regulators plan to hold a key meeting about this in Jackson, ~200 miles away, on Election Day for the 2026 primaries tomorrow. Some residents will trek out to hear what they say...
www.cnbc.com/2026/03/09/m...

10.03.2026 00:01 πŸ‘ 61 πŸ” 18 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 6

One of the reasons I keep saying: don’t fund ICE or CPB is the Democrats have to get out of the business of enabling the Republican’s disastrous mistakes. We have this insane agency because George W. Bush ignored a quite evident terrorist attack.

09.03.2026 20:07 πŸ‘ 193 πŸ” 57 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 0

Full disclosure: I met with the minority staffers and helped strategize and explained the history.

Ilan is taking his historical fiction on the road. It’s amazing what sloppy and methodless historical scholarship can do for one’s career.

09.03.2026 21:21 πŸ‘ 400 πŸ” 84 πŸ’¬ 17 πŸ“Œ 5

I wish more of them would be honest and say this. Folks like Deneen and Hazony basically say exactly this but in 30k words and obscured by political theory jargon.

09.03.2026 22:57 πŸ‘ 34 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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How high could oil go, and what might the global economic fallout be?

There is talk of crude surpassing its record high of 2008 with potentially dire effects for consumers and businesses

09.03.2026 22:02 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 0

Literally why would Paxton drop out lmfao

09.03.2026 21:29 πŸ‘ 104 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump borrowed affordability voters in 2024. Now he's losing them 20% of young, non-white, and lower-income Trump voters now say they disapprove of how he's doing as president

this article (and the data behind it) will publish tomorrow at 7:00 am www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-borr...

09.03.2026 16:22 πŸ‘ 78 πŸ” 24 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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US utilities scale up grid-boosting tech to meet surging demand U.S. grid owners are investing in cost-efficient grid enhancements and virtual power plant schemes to help meet soaring demand but mixed policy signals are holding back wider deployment.

US utilities scale up grid-boosting tech to meet surging demand reut.rs/4bvD5HM

09.03.2026 17:25 πŸ‘ 22 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 3
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Anthropic sues in federal court to reverse Trump administration's 'supply chain risk' designation The Pentagon last week formally designated San Francisco tech company a supply chain risk after an unusually public dispute over how its AI chatbot Claude could be used in warfare.

Anthropic is suing the Trump administration, asking federal courts to reverse the Pentagon's decision designating the artificial intelligence company a "supply chain risk" over its refusal to allow unrestricted military use of its technology. https://to.pbs.org/3P1j8jm

09.03.2026 17:30 πŸ‘ 136 πŸ” 34 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 5
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'Ridiculous': Kristi Noem's 28-year-old aide wasted millions on unusable ICE vehicles A former deputy to outgoing Homeland Security chief Kristi Noem saddled the department with millions of dollars in wasted funding for vehicles that cannot be used.U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement officials are stashing away hundreds of pickup trucks and SUVs emblazoned with the agency's name...

A former deputy to outgoing Homeland Security chief Kristi Noem saddled the department with millions of dollars in wasted funding for vehicles that cannot be used.

09.03.2026 17:30 πŸ‘ 142 πŸ” 81 πŸ’¬ 20 πŸ“Œ 8
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Attempted attack with explosives in New York City investigated as "ISIS-inspired terrorism" New York City NYPD Commissioner: "Explosive devices that could have caused serious injury or death."

New York City NYPD Commissioner: "Explosive devices that could have caused serious injury or death."

09.03.2026 17:30 πŸ‘ 133 πŸ” 33 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 8

Things look grim in the markets right now, but at least the U.S. economy wasn’t already being propped up by a massive speculative AI bubble that is highly sensitive to rising energy costs.

09.03.2026 04:28 πŸ‘ 4382 πŸ” 1042 πŸ’¬ 46 πŸ“Œ 45

Holy shit: the guy who cut millions in grants because they were DEI cannot form a coherent explanation of what DEI is bsky.app/profile/lmrh...

09.03.2026 03:13 πŸ‘ 953 πŸ” 271 πŸ’¬ 42 πŸ“Œ 11
Justin Fox Deposition (Part 3) in MLA-ACLS-AHA Lawsuit about the NEH
Justin Fox Deposition (Part 3) in MLA-ACLS-AHA Lawsuit about the NEH YouTube video by ModernLanguageAssoc

It's stunning how ignorant the DOGE bros were who were sent into agencies. Justin Fox cannot even articulate in his own words what his "present understanding of DEI" is: he can't even formulate a coherent sentence about it. I wouldn't hire him for basic tech support. #NEH
youtu.be/jomaMvItnew?...

07.03.2026 22:58 πŸ‘ 2332 πŸ” 606 πŸ’¬ 165 πŸ“Œ 164
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The U.S. labor market lost 92,000 jobs in February In February the labor market lost 92,000 jobs, and economists are monitoring for signs that the labor market could be on the rebound.

Breaking news: The U.S. labor market lost 92,000 jobs in February, a striking loss signaling a warning flag for the economy.

06.03.2026 13:48 πŸ‘ 512 πŸ” 177 πŸ’¬ 37 πŸ“Œ 39
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64% of Americans want to stop changing the clocks Plus, is America entering "woke 2.0?" Your weekly political data roundup for March 8, 2026.

64% of Americans want to stop changing the clocks
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/64-of-amer...

08.03.2026 14:30 πŸ‘ 192 πŸ” 38 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 17

This is good but it’s also a sign of media failure.

We knew who Trump was years before 2024. But rightwing media, @jaketapper.bsky.social, and the Sulzberger NYT deceived the public about who he was. That’s the reason for the big shift in Latino support.

08.03.2026 18:07 πŸ‘ 166 πŸ” 35 πŸ’¬ 10 πŸ“Œ 3