Adérito Vicente

Nuclear Deterrence in Shifting Euro-Atlantic Security Architecture In light of growing uncertainty over US commitments to European security, Europe must review its conventional and nuclear postures while managing risk.

🧵 New paper | Nuclear Deterrence in a Shifting Euro-Atlantic Security Architecture.

In our new paper, @ddolzikova.bsky.social examines how nuclear deterrence in Europe is being reshaped by persistent threats of Russian aggression, uncertainty over US commitments, and growing strategic competition.

Atomic Backfires: When Nuclear Policies Fail A sobering edited volume on how efforts to reduce nuclear weapons dangers may sometimes wind up exacerbating them, edited by Stephen Herzog, Giles David Arceneaux, and Ariel F. W. Petrovics.

🚨New book: Atomic Backfires: When Nuclear Policies Fail is a sobering edited volume on how efforts to reduce nuclear weapons dangers may sometimes wind up exacerbating them.

In a field fixated on finding solutions, Atomic Backfires provocatively takes the opposite tack.

Obrigado pelo convite.

ONU celebra aniversário com cortes, tristeza e um mundo cada vez mais perigoso Para falarmos sobre este aniversário, temos connosco o professor Adérito Vicente, cientista político e investigador do IPRI - Instituto Português de Relações Internacionais.

Para falarmos sobre este aniversário, temos connosco o professor Adérito Vicente, cientista político e investigador do IPRI - Instituto Português de Relações Internacionais.

☢️ What the two-peer nuclear challenge means for NATO and European security The rise of China as a nuclear peer to the US, amid deepening strategic ties with Russia, poses an unprecedented 'two-peer challenge' to NATO. Adérito Vicente examines how this shifting landscape enda...

☢ #NuclearPoliticsParadox No.21
📈 The rise of #China as a nuclear peer to the US, amid deepening ties with Russia, poses an unprecedented 'two-peer challenge' to #NATO. Aderito Vicente examines how this shifting landscape endangers alliance cohesion.
👉 bit.ly/423p7b4

Thank you. Well, the recente Franco-British Northwood Declaration goes into that direction.

☢️ Enduring lessons or outdated logic? Updating Europe’s nuclear thinking Cold War-era nuclear thinking can help explain how today’s challenges emerged. But Linde Desmaele warns that uncritical reliance on such thinking leads to misguided policies. Outdated frameworks can d...

☢ #NuclearPoliticsParadox No.19
💭 Cold War-era nuclear thinking can help explain how today’s challenges emerged.
📝 But @lindedesma.bsky.social warns that uncritical reliance on outdated frameworks leads to misguided policies on #NuclearWeapons.
👉 bit.ly/47xYHSt

Ok

Furthermore, this example/scenario could invigorate transatlantic ties by cultivating parity and mutual reliance, i.e. a true equal partnership between US and Europe. Of course without diminishing American primacy within the current world order. 2/2

Good question! By strengthening Franco-British nuclear coordination within NATO, Europe could recalibrate the alliance’s balance, elevating its strategic weight while complementing, not supplanting the US extended deterrence. Thus confounding adversaries & fostering collective resilience. 1/2

1/13
In a new report for @vertic.bsky.social, I take a hard look at the challenge that highly latent nuclear states present to irreversibility in nuclear disarmament. Summary and relevant tables and figures below. Read the report here: www.vertic.org/wp-content/u...

European Nuclear Deterrent: With or Without NATO? <p></meta>Europe’s nuclear security in the near future depends on quickly integrating enhanced British and French capabilities within NATO, rather than pursuing long-term independent strategies. This ...

As the #NATOsummit unfolds in The Hague, my latest piece argues that Europe should pursue the development of a European NATO deterrent.

#NATO #Europe #NATOEurope #NuclearDeterrence

Please read here:
www.martenscentre.eu/blog/europea...

European Nuclear Deterrent: With or Without NATO? <p></meta>Europe’s nuclear security in the near future depends on quickly integrating enhanced British and French capabilities within NATO, rather than pursuing long-term independent strategies. This ...

As the #NATOsummit unfolds in The Hague, my latest piece argues that Europe should pursue the development of a European NATO deterrent.

#NATO #Europe #NATOEurope #NuclearDeterrence

Please read here:
www.martenscentre.eu/blog/europea...

Then, we tackled the big question: how does Ukraine get security guarantees? We proposed a kind of 'break glass in case of emergency' plan: a Poland-Ukraine alliance for survival.

Hope you enjoy reading it as much as we enjoyed writing it!

How to Deter Russia: More (Nuclear) May Be Better? On 28 February 2025, the controversial meeting between United States’s President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky created the impression that the US was eager to conclude the wa...

Pleased to share a new IAI commentary piece that I co-authored with Polina Sinovets.

www.iai.it/en/pubblicaz...

We dove into a 'what if' scenario: what if European allies lose faith in US security promises? We looked at how if US and NATO guarantees become unreliable, an Anglo-French nuclear umbrella (or any European one) might not be credible.

The day after: the impact of Russia’s invasion on Ukrainian political elites’ and public attitudes toward nuclear weapons Debate on nuclear policy in Ukraine has primarily centered on regret over the disarmament decisions of the 1990s rather than a desire to acquire nuclear weapons. However, while acknowledging the de...

I am thrilled to announce the publication of my peer-reviewed journal article co-authored with Polina Sinovets, “The Day After: The Impact of Russia’s Invasion on Ukrainian Political Elites’ and Public Attitudes Toward Nuclear Weapons”!

Please access it here: 
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/QGVCB...

The day after: the impact of Russia’s invasion on Ukrainian political elites’ and public attitudes toward nuclear weapons Debate on nuclear policy in Ukraine has primarily centered on regret over the disarmament decisions of the 1990s rather than a desire to acquire nuclear weapons. However, while acknowledging the de...

I am thrilled to announce the publication of my peer-reviewed journal article co-authored with Polina Sinovets, “The Day After: The Impact of Russia’s Invasion on Ukrainian Political Elites’ and Public Attitudes Toward Nuclear Weapons”!

Please access it here: 
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/QGVCB...