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Thomas Boettcher

@thomas-boettcher

collecting #PlanetaryBoundaries data. #climate is a feedback structure. #biodiversity #PFAS engineer applied physics 318ppm=677GtC 600+300GtC https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100014586580860 https://www.youtube.com/@gautingmusik9561

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Latest posts by Thomas Boettcher @thomas-boettcher

Von wie vielen Wissenschaftler:innen habe ich gelesen, sie könnten weinen, sie könnten es nicht verstehen, dass der Ozean nun diesen Temperatursprung gemacht hat.

Forschende werden überwältigt von dem Gebiet ihrer eigenen Expertise – warum? Weil sie Menschen sind.

4/8

06.03.2026 20:41 👍 19 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Illustration von Trump als erlöschende Kerze. Textzeile: Trumps Mental State.

Illustration of Trump as a fading candle. Text line: Trump's mental state.

Illustration von Trump als erlöschende Kerze. Textzeile: Trumps Mental State. Illustration of Trump as a fading candle. Text line: Trump's mental state.

Unter Trump, einem zunehmend weltentrückten vergreisenden Kriminellen, toben Günstlingswirtschaft, Chaos und Selbstbedienung, was auch kein zur Deckung initiierter Krieg mehr kaschieren kann. Die Ära Trump wird als von hyperreichen beförderte Selbstbeschädigung der USA in die Geschichte eingehen

10.03.2026 09:02 👍 297 🔁 103 💬 9 📌 3
Acidification and Disruption of Human Blood Chemistry — Yet Another Consequence of Increasing GHGs
Acidification and Disruption of Human Blood Chemistry — Yet Another Consequence of Increasing GHGs YouTube video by Paul Beckwith

My new video…
Acidification and Disruption of Human Blood Chemistry — Yet Another Consequence of Increasing GHGs
youtu.be/dqaloLV9UR0?...

#climate #ClimateCrisis #weather #GlobalWarming #Humanity #Human #Health #Medical #Blood #Chemistry #Physics #Physiology

11.03.2026 01:47 👍 16 🔁 8 💬 0 📌 2
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Subscribe to The Climate Casino Prof. Eliot Jacobson, on the collapse of global industrial civilization, the sixth great extinction, and related topics. Click to read The Climate Casino, by Prof. Eliot Jacobson, a Substack publicati...

If you are on substack, please follow or subscribe to me there. I will continue to cross post, but there are other features like live chats and live videos I can do there, so I hope to make that my main site soon.

Thanks!

climatecasino.substack.com/subscribe

10.03.2026 19:33 👍 37 🔁 10 💬 3 📌 0
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Claude, mon ami Eine intellektuelle Romanze

Die alten Griechen kannten zwei Künste: das Erinnern (ars memoria) und das Vergessen (ars oblivionis). Dass man schreibt (programmiert), um vergessen zu können:
martinburckhardt.substack.com/p/claude-mon...

01.03.2026 16:09 👍 7 🔁 1 💬 2 📌 0
Preview
Apocalypse Now Oder: Wie es sich auf dem Vulkan tanzen lässt

wenn man gerade noch am Blackout vorbeigeschrammt ist und Internetzugang besitzt.
martinburckhardt.substack.com/p/apocalypse...

04.01.2026 14:44 👍 24 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
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Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly During the last decade, the rate at which Earth warmed increased substantially After removing the influence of known natural variability factors, the increase of the warming rate is statistically...

Now Grant Foster and Stefan Rahmstorf have put out their own papers broadly concurring with Dr Hansen’s. The pace of warming has nearly doubled, due to a mix of albedo shifts & albedo feedbacks, increased destruction/failure of natural sinks..

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

08.03.2026 23:49 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
A critical role of ocean–sea ice interactions in the pronounced warmth during the Miocene Climatic Optimum - Communications Earth & Environment Ocean-ice interactions play a pivotal role in amplification of polar climate change, as demonstrated by contrasting results for the magnitude of northern high-latitude warming during the Miocene Clima...

Warm period enhanced global overturning circulation (GOC) - e.g. a stronger AMOC

Poleward heat and salt transport had been much stronger than today leading to strong warming in the high latitudes. Would be another indication that circulations are highly important in regulating surface temperatures

09.03.2026 00:01 👍 6 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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I was recently a guest on the podcast "Project Save the World" hosted by Metta Spencer.

Please have a watch of this exerpt, and maybe the longer video, and tell them what you think in the comments to their video (not here).

Thanks!

projectsavetheworld.substack.com/p/episode-75...

09.03.2026 02:29 👍 32 🔁 5 💬 0 📌 0
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#CO2 233 3
dT=ECS*log2(C/C0)
orange apparent Earth system sensitivity (AESS=7.7°C
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...)

green dT=ECS*log2(C/C0) ECS=4.5°C
github.com/Boettcher196...

07.03.2026 16:58 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

#CO2 233 2
dT=AESS*log2(C/C0)
T560ppm=AESS*log2(560/280)
apparent Earth system sensitivity (AESS=7.7°C)
(Judd 2024)
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...)
(Judd 2025)
www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
#1S61
bsky.app/profile/thom...

07.03.2026 09:11 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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🚨 climate music RAP was easy.
Ask them to comment on your charts (death metal is better than Rap your abstract)
= climate collapse =
CO2 land sink 0.44 GtC
fossil fuel 10 GtC = 0.6% above 2022.
CO2 3.37 ppm
0.58GtC Canada fire

arxiv.org/abs/2407.12447
x.com/RapYoAbstrac...
x.com/RapYoAbstrac...

06.03.2026 21:25 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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I just did a more rigorous computation for increasing Earth's albedo (reflectivity) using 92% efficient mirrors.

To get back to year 2000 albedo levels, we only need a band about 84 km wide (42 km North & South of the equator) of mirrors circling the earth.

The more you know!

06.03.2026 19:08 👍 87 🔁 14 💬 7 📌 2
#SchellnHuber 37
Schellnhuber “we're putting our kids onto a global school bus that will with
98% probability end in a deadly crash." 
@coderedearth.bsky.social 
https://twitter.com/CodeRedEarth/status/1574024321202266113 
#Hansen 250 4
https://twitter.com/bratananium/status/1574714609818288131
https://bsky.app/profile/thomas-boettcher.bsky.social/post/3mgg53n3uhk27

#SchellnHuber 37 Schellnhuber “we're putting our kids onto a global school bus that will with 98% probability end in a deadly crash." @coderedearth.bsky.social https://twitter.com/CodeRedEarth/status/1574024321202266113 #Hansen 250 4 https://twitter.com/bratananium/status/1574714609818288131 https://bsky.app/profile/thomas-boettcher.bsky.social/post/3mgg53n3uhk27

Passing the point of no return
(Credit: Looney Tunes featuring Wile E. Coyote. © Warner Bros.)

Runaway climate has a new meaning: a climate system pushed beyond the point of no return, when devastating consequences for young people are locked in, impossible to avoid. Below is the latest draft of Chapter 10 of Sophie’s Planet, which will be published in Green Energy Times. For context, it includes the last paragraph of Chapter 9 of Sophie’s Planet.

Meanwhile, as our instrument for the Venus mission was being built, we became involved in investigations of changes in our own planet’s atmosphere. Eventually, our desire to understand those changes overwhelmed our interest in other planets. However, before leaving the planets, let us see what the Goldilocks planets can tell us. That topic is addressed in my first book, Storms of My Grandchildren,[1] where I stumbled and did not distinguish between the Venus Syndrome and runaway climate. For the sake of a coherent scientific explanation, in the next chapter I commit three writer’s sins by: (1) disclosing an event out of chronological order, (2) showing a graph, and (3) including a simple equation. You may choose to skip lightly over a chapter heavy in technical science. However, runaway climate has a new meaning: a climate system pushed beyond the point of no return, with devastating, unavoidable consequences. We must learn from lessons of the past to avoid handing young people a situation out of their control.

https://jimehansen.substack.com/p/runaway-climate-the-point-of-no-return

Passing the point of no return (Credit: Looney Tunes featuring Wile E. Coyote. © Warner Bros.) Runaway climate has a new meaning: a climate system pushed beyond the point of no return, when devastating consequences for young people are locked in, impossible to avoid. Below is the latest draft of Chapter 10 of Sophie’s Planet, which will be published in Green Energy Times. For context, it includes the last paragraph of Chapter 9 of Sophie’s Planet. Meanwhile, as our instrument for the Venus mission was being built, we became involved in investigations of changes in our own planet’s atmosphere. Eventually, our desire to understand those changes overwhelmed our interest in other planets. However, before leaving the planets, let us see what the Goldilocks planets can tell us. That topic is addressed in my first book, Storms of My Grandchildren,[1] where I stumbled and did not distinguish between the Venus Syndrome and runaway climate. For the sake of a coherent scientific explanation, in the next chapter I commit three writer’s sins by: (1) disclosing an event out of chronological order, (2) showing a graph, and (3) including a simple equation. You may choose to skip lightly over a chapter heavy in technical science. However, runaway climate has a new meaning: a climate system pushed beyond the point of no return, with devastating, unavoidable consequences. We must learn from lessons of the past to avoid handing young people a situation out of their control. https://jimehansen.substack.com/p/runaway-climate-the-point-of-no-return

#SchellnHuber 37
Schellnhuber “we're putting our kids onto a global school bus that will with
98% probability end in a deadly crash."
@coderedearth.bsky.social
twitter.com/CodeRedEarth...
#Hansen 250 4
twitter.com/bratananium/...
bsky.app/profile/thom...

06.03.2026 20:46 👍 0 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

John Schellnhuber:
“we're putting our kids onto a global school bus that will with
98% probability end in a deadly crash."
@coderedearth.bsky.social
twitter.com/CodeRedEarth...
@drjamesehansen.bsky.social now sets the value to 100%
bsky.app/profile/thom...

06.03.2026 20:22 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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#Hansen 250 4
Schellnhuber “we're putting our kids onto a global school bus that will with
98% probability end in a deadly crash."
@coderedearth.bsky.social
twitter.com/CodeRedEarth...
#PIK03.1
twitter.com/bratananium/...

06.03.2026 20:18 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
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#Hansen 250 3
Die Welt ist am Ende, kurz vorm Kollaps
Alle wissen Bescheid, nützt aber nix

Alle sitzen im Bus, Autobahn Vollgas
Da vorne is´n Abgrund, aber is ja noch n Stück
Wir könnten auch abbiegen, tun wir aber nicht

KNORKATOR - Rette sich wer kann
www.youtube.com/watch?v=9kum...

06.03.2026 20:03 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

#Hansen 250 2
@drjamesehansen.bsky.social
Civilization is running forward smiling (like the coyote).
coyote-smiling accelerating forward, forgetting the solid ground is history.
future is certain: falling accelerating
jimehansen.substack.com/p/runaway-cl...
bsky.app/profile/drja...

06.03.2026 18:57 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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There is a limit on how far we can let climate run away now, if we are to give the next generation an opportunity. See Runaway – mailchi.mp/caa/runaway-...
Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/runaway-cl...

06.03.2026 15:29 👍 71 🔁 30 💬 9 📌 5
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Weil alle gefragt haben

06.03.2026 17:05 👍 217 🔁 46 💬 6 📌 6
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Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly
Foster & @rahmstorf.bsky.social

"The resulting adjusted and thus less “noisy” data show that there has been acceleration with over 98% confidence, with faster warming over the last 10+ years than during any previous decade."

06.03.2026 17:08 👍 61 🔁 34 💬 2 📌 6
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#CO2 233
The slope of this relationship (when CO2 is in log2 space) implies a change in GMST of 7.7°C ± 0.3°C per doubling of CO2—a metric that the authors term the apparent Earth system sensitivity (AESS).
280ppm=13.5°C
560ppm=21.2°C
1120ppm=29°C
www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...

06.03.2026 18:41 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Interesting stuff!

04.03.2026 20:41 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Tweet today from Ryan Grim of Drop Site.

"An unarmed Iranian ship was invited, along with the U.S., to be part of an Indian Naval exercise, and its sailors paraded on land before the president. 

"The U.S. at the last minute pulled out of the exercise and instead attacked the Iranian ship with a torpedo. 

Breaking with all norms of civilization and warfare, we then refused to rescue the drowning survivors. The Sri Lanka Navy was left to pull the dead bodies from the water. 

"I am hard pressed to think of any other nation throughout history that would do something so cowardly and despicable. We are genuinely in a league of our own, and American media — mostly shrugging off the bombing of a girls school and acting as if carpet bombing Tehran is a normal military tactic — is deeply complicit."

Tweet today from Ryan Grim of Drop Site. "An unarmed Iranian ship was invited, along with the U.S., to be part of an Indian Naval exercise, and its sailors paraded on land before the president. "The U.S. at the last minute pulled out of the exercise and instead attacked the Iranian ship with a torpedo. Breaking with all norms of civilization and warfare, we then refused to rescue the drowning survivors. The Sri Lanka Navy was left to pull the dead bodies from the water. "I am hard pressed to think of any other nation throughout history that would do something so cowardly and despicable. We are genuinely in a league of our own, and American media — mostly shrugging off the bombing of a girls school and acting as if carpet bombing Tehran is a normal military tactic — is deeply complicit."

Decent summary from Drop Site News. Misses the Australian 'contribution' (three of the submariners were Royal Australian Navy).

06.03.2026 07:19 👍 15 🔁 9 💬 3 📌 1

Nicht Klimaaktivistinnen sind gescheitert sondern wir als Gesellschaft. Aktivisten haben ihr Möglichstes getan & der Gesellschaft teure Denk-mäler errichtet. Die Mehrheitsgesellschaft hat sie allesamt eingerissen bzw. weggesperrt weil sie nicht an ihr eigenes Versagen erinnert werden will. Sonst ⬇️

06.03.2026 10:30 👍 63 🔁 17 💬 2 📌 0
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Advances in Paleoclimate Data Assimilation Reconstructions of past climates in both time and space provide important insight into the range and rate of change within the climate system. However, producing a coherent global picture of past clim...

Advances in Paleoclimate Data Assimilation - www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...

06.03.2026 10:56 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Gas ist nicht sicher.
Satz-194 Susanne Götze „Die Sicherheitslüge“
Historiker zu untergegangenen Zivilisationen:
Sie gefährdet unsere Zivilisation, weil sie Ressourcen falsch nutzt und Alternative-Energien ignoriert.
www.linkedin.com/in/martin-ti...

06.03.2026 10:13 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Breaking News!
Code Yikes!

Average Arctic sea-ice thickness is at a *record low* for the date, if we are looking at either the 1-year or 3-year running average.

I'll post the volume graphics tomorrow, which are *not* at record lows.

The Climate 8-Ball says: No BOE for you!

05.03.2026 23:24 👍 73 🔁 22 💬 3 📌 0
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@drjamesehansen.bsky.social rocky horror
lets do the time warp again!
it s just a jump to the left. 57My to the left.
the pipeline takes us back 57 000 000 years,
EEI climbs above 4.2 W/m²
temperature > 25°C.

mailchi.mp/caa/global-w...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=-w0W...
twitter.com/bratananium/...

05.03.2026 21:19 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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rocky horror
lets do the time warp again.
it s just a jump to the left. 57My to the left.
the pipeline takes us back
where EEI climbs above 4.2 W/m²
where temperature > 25°C.
www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/Docume...
x.com/bratananium/...
mailchi.mp/caa/global-w...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=-w0W...

05.03.2026 21:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0