www.ers.usda.gov/data-product... has the data on food dollar shares
20.02.2026 02:05
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www.ers.usda.gov/data-product... has the data on food dollar shares
That's the share that goes to production at the farm. Including value added occuring on the farm that number is closer to 16c in 2023. That's the lowest it's been since it's been measured in the US starting in 93 -- due to growth of food services share, marketing costs, & processor consolidation
Graph of U.S. agricultural exports to ASEAN countries by destination. Shows export values from 2016-2025 to Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam and other. The lines are relatively flat except for Vietnam, which shows a rapid rise in 2025.
As U.S. farmers look to expand exports, @jaysayre.bsky.social @ucdavisare.bsky.social & @ucanr.edu sees potential in Southeast Asian markets, especially in Vietnam
*processor
I talked with @katierodriguez.bsky.social @montereycountynow.com about ongoing trends driving farm and producer consolidation in agriculture: www.montereycountynow.com/news/local_n...
Closes on Monday!
🎓 Excited to share our 2025-26 job market candidates from UC Davis Agricultural & Resource Economics!
Please consider them for your open positions!
are.ucdavis.edu/phd/job-cand...
#EconJobMarket #Economics #PhD
@wenjie-zhan.bsky.social
@thjchen.bsky.social
@rachelejones.bsky.social
@UCDavisARE.bsky.social is hiring an Assistant Professor of Agricultural and Resource Economics: Financial and Agricultural Commodity Market Economics.
recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07305
Super interesting work! I wonder if a similar process is happening in other countries. From 2007 to 2022, according to Mexico's ag census, ~400k farms were added, which makes little sense given similar consolidation trends there as in US
Great news!
@UCDavisARE.bluesky.social
is hiring an Asst. Prof this year in agricultural and financial commodity markets. Happy to answer any questions about the position or department. Please apply by Nov. 3rd!
recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07305
Wholesale prices came in hot in today’s PPI report, but veggies stole the show 🥦📈
Vegetable prices at the wholesale level surged nearly 39% in July. @willmasters.bsky.social & I unpack what’s behind this spike in today's @marketplace.org 🎙️
www.marketplace.org/story/2025/0...
@ucdavis.bsky.social Dept of #AgEcon is excited to announce our '25-26 #jobmarket candidates. These 16 #PhD students are doing great research in #agriculture, #development, #environment, #energy, #health, and #labor. Many presenting at #AAEA2025 in Denver July 27-29! are.ucdavis.edu/phd/job-cand...
California grows about 1/3 of the country's vegetables, 3/4 of its fruits & nuts, and employs almost 900,000 people, says @kairyssdal.bsky.social
“We’re not getting an influx of new, young workers," says Ali Hill, @ucanr.bsky.social agricultural labor economist
As long as immigration sweeps are happening in the communities that farm workers live in, farm workers will continue being detained and deported.
Farm workers deserve REAL protections, so they can continue working without fear.
www.npr.org/2025/06/16/n...
For some perspective, the federal government funds *over half* of all scientific research and development conducted by the @uofcalifornia.bsky.social -- and UC is collectively responsible, in turn, for over 8% of all academic research conducted in the United States.
In case you missed this, you can watch the recording here:
ucdavis.zoom.us/rec/share/_0...
Image of the Port of Stockton. 📸: Downtowngal, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=26671447
This Monday I'm hosting a webinar titled "Navigating Trade Policy Uncertainty in California Agriculture" on Monday, May 19th at 2pm. Opportunities will be available to ask questions about current trade policy at the end. Register now: ucdavis.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
Thanks! My sense is this was a 2020-21 problem, when consumers shifted towards goods and away from services. Demand to ship goods from Asia was so high that it was more costly to spend time loading 🇺🇸 ag goods. Large imbalances in shipping demand likely harmful as well thecounter.org/pandemic-sho...
I've written more about this here:
uccecon.ucdavis.edu/blog/shippin...
Thanks for reading!
Ironically, these tariff policies may worsen the trade deficits they aim to fix -- Wong (2022) finds when accounting for supply and demand for global shipping, restrictionist trade policies increase bilateral trade deficits
(7/7)
With fewer imports arriving due to tariffs, fewer ships are available to carry U.S. goods out. The Port of LA as of this week reports a 44% drop in docked vessels.
(6/7)
Top 10 vessel countries for Californian Agricultural exports, 2022. The top 3 countries are Panama, Marshall Islands, and China.
A new Section 301 action on shipbuilders and vessels will increase shipping costs. 🇨🇳 builds over 40% of the world’s cargo fleet, and Chinese vessels are in third place for carrying CA ag exports. Without alternatives, American exporters will likely pay these higher costs
(5/7)
Taking this in mind, it’s worth thinking about the implications of several recent events for the competitiveness of Californian (and more broadly, American) agricultural exports
(4/7)
This isn’t just about 🇨🇳. Assembling US port level freight dates, Woan Foong Wong (AEJ: Applied 2022) finds U.S. exports pay 61% of the freight rate U.S. imports do, given supply and demand for shipping in each direction.
(3/7)
Given our bilateral trade deficit, often times cargo 🛳️ from China come full and return relatively empty. To avoid wasted capacity, shipping companies discount rates on US exports headed back to 🇨🇳. As a result, cheaper freight rates yield more competitive 🇺🇸 ag exports
(2/7)
Regarding the discussion of bilateral trade deficits, I think there is a missing point: our trade imbalance lowers shipping costs for current U.S. exporters, which boosts the competitiveness of US exports, including Californian ag exports. A short thread below 🧵
(1/7)
Hi there - I'm most interested in agriculture and its effects on the environment, so anything about biodiversity, ag emissions, forest loss, crop shocks, etc. wld be interesting. Best
“5/10: The EU's Deforestation-free Supply Chain Regulation (EUDR) aims to prohibit imports of seven products—including cattle, cocoa, rubber, and wood—unless exporters meet various burdensome compliance requirements, including due diligence and geolocation data. It is estimated the EUDR will potentially impact $8.6 billion worth of annual U.S. agricultural and industrial exports.” 7/10: Illegal logging and illegal mining in South America, particularly in Brazil, Peru, Colombia, and Ecuador, fuel environmental degradation and create unfair competition that harms U.S. businesses committed to responsible sourcing and compliance with environmental laws. These illicit activities, which usually involve transnational criminal organizations, distort global commodity markets by driving down prices and allowing bad actors to undercut legitimate American exporters.
I’m losing my mind here. USTR made a list of “Unfair trade practices” they’re retaliating against, complaint number 5 is that the EU cares too much about stopping illegal deforestation, complaint number 7 is that the South Americans are doing too much illegal deforestation
Seems like the quote I gave in this article predicting that the Trump administration would use deforestation as a potential justification to limit imports was pretty prescient given this recent USTR tweet
Certainly the decisions that led to new almond trees in the last couple years replacing mature walnut orchards here in Yolo Co seem predicated on continued access to export markets