Steve Feldstein's Avatar

Steve Feldstein

@stevenfeldstein

Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment Tech, geopolitics, democracy Forthcoming book—Bytes & Bullets: Global Rivalries, Private Tech & New Shape of Modern War https://bit.ly/BytesandBullets Author of Rise of Digital Repression http://bit.ly/45186if

421
Followers
1,091
Following
225
Posts
23.11.2023
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Steve Feldstein @stevenfeldstein

In the coming days, I will be looking at the following issues:

How accurate are the Iran target lists especially after high priority targets have been expended? Do second and third-tier targets represent legitimate military objectives and is due attention being paid to preventing collateral civilian harm? As the data analyzed by Claude becomes noisier and susceptible to distortion (the AI slop problem), how is the model compensating for potentially lower accuracy or limited verifiability?
What type of oversight is the US military exercising over AI-generated target lists? Given the unprecedented speed in which targets are being produced and then struck, are target verification procedures holding up sufficiently? How does the Pentagon’s legal review process to ensure compliance with the laws of armed conflict interface with the model?
When it comes to after action reviews of strikes, how are these being conducted? Reporting indicates that AI models are also evaluating strikes after they have been carried out; is it appropriate for these tools to conduct self-assessments regarding lethal strikes?

In the coming days, I will be looking at the following issues: How accurate are the Iran target lists especially after high priority targets have been expended? Do second and third-tier targets represent legitimate military objectives and is due attention being paid to preventing collateral civilian harm? As the data analyzed by Claude becomes noisier and susceptible to distortion (the AI slop problem), how is the model compensating for potentially lower accuracy or limited verifiability? What type of oversight is the US military exercising over AI-generated target lists? Given the unprecedented speed in which targets are being produced and then struck, are target verification procedures holding up sufficiently? How does the Pentagon’s legal review process to ensure compliance with the laws of armed conflict interface with the model? When it comes to after action reviews of strikes, how are these being conducted? Reporting indicates that AI models are also evaluating strikes after they have been carried out; is it appropriate for these tools to conduct self-assessments regarding lethal strikes?

Steven Feldstein: Senior Fellow, Democracy, Conflict, and Governance Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (@stevenfeldstein.bsky.social):

06.03.2026 12:50 👍 8 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
Senate Democrat Pushes to Investigate Noem for Perjury

Getting fired isn’t accountability

www.nytimes.com/2026/03/05/u...

06.03.2026 01:16 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
What happened after Elon Musk took the Russian army offline From a Ukrainian listening post, our reporter heard it happen: Starlink terminals went dark, leaving Russian soldiers along the front unable to coordinate.

Musk criticizes Anthropic for taking a stand against Pentagon. Meanwhile Starlink continues to set terms for Ukraine war - shaping how effectively Russian forces can fight.

▶️Should a private individual have this much power?

www.politico.com/news/2026/02...

27.02.2026 21:43 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Pentagon official lashes out at Anthropic as talks break down: "You have to trust your military to do the right thing" The Pentagon's top technology official told CBS News the military has offered compromises to Anthropic, amid a feud over whether its powerful AI technology will be restricted — but Anthropic called th...

Trust goes both ways

www.cbsnews.com/news/pentago...

27.02.2026 17:06 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
The Pentagon Feuding With an AI Company Is a Very Bad Sign Anthropic doesn’t trust this administration with its technology—and it has a point.

My thoughts in @foreignpolicy.com abt escalating feud btwn Anthropic & Pentagon

👉Hegseth claims fight is abt who gets final say--private firms or gov

👉But that's a distraction

👉Bigger Q: can Trump be trusted to responsibly oversee military AI tech?

👉My view: no

foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/25/a...

25.02.2026 23:33 👍 6 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
Exclusive: Palantir partnership is at heart of Anthropic, Pentagon rift The roots of the conflict point to the changing nature of software stacks as top officials push to modernize the military.

2/ Anthropic signed a $200 million contract last year to develop “frontier AI capabilities” for DOD. Its AI model, Claude, has now been integrated into classified systems developed by Palantir and Amazon for the military.

www.semafor.com/article/02/1...

23.02.2026 13:28 👍 43 🔁 11 💬 1 📌 8
Preview
F.B.I. Director Celebrates Hockey Victory as Bureau Stares Down Crises

Hemorrhaging taxpayer $$ left and right
www.nytimes.com/2026/02/22/u...

23.02.2026 01:21 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

Symbols matter

11.02.2026 14:21 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Grand Jury Rebuffs Justice Dept. Attempt to Indict 6 Democrats in Congress

Citizens say no to political retribution

🙅‍♂️

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/10/u...

11.02.2026 02:44 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I'm so sorry to hear about this. If you're interested in doing some writing for our team, please ping me

05.02.2026 21:04 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Washington Post announces widespread layoffs, gutting numerous parts of its newsroom | CNN Business The Washington Post is announcing mass layoffs Wednesday morning, dealing another big blow to a storied media company and a newsroom that has reached a breaking point.

Bloodletting this morning @washingtonpost.com. Massive layoffs and gutting of media institution. What a shame www.cnn.com/2026/02/04/m...

04.02.2026 16:20 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Behind China’s race to build aircraft-carriers It will soon have more carriers in the Pacific than America

China's aircraft carrier buildup brings significant consequences

www.economist.com/china/2026/0...

03.02.2026 14:40 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
‘Spy Sheikh’ Bought Secret Stake in Trump Company $500 million investment for 49% of World Liberty came months before U.A.E. won access to tightly guarded American AI chips.

A cool $500M transfer of funds…

😬

www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

03.02.2026 14:11 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Why Dictators Take Out the Internet Weak governments shut the internet down. Strong authoritarians don’t let it get to that point.

On the latest What Next TBD: Iran’s government shut off the country’s internet for three weeks. How do we still know what’s going on? slate.trib.al/VaeK5FT

01.02.2026 10:30 👍 3 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0
Why Are U.S. Products in Russian Weapons?
Why Are U.S. Products in Russian Weapons? YouTube video by Carnegie Explains

News of Ubiquiti’s technology in Russian drones made waves this week, not least because the company’s CEO owns the Memphis Grizzlies.

But Ubiquiti isn’t the only U.S. company whose products are showing up in Russian weapons. @stevenfeldstein.bsky.social explains: youtube.com/shorts/KQMC9...

30.01.2026 17:09 👍 4 🔁 5 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
Amazon’s Promotion of ‘Melania’ Has Critics Questioning Its Motives

Imagine all the ways you could spend $35M that didn’t involve promoting a sham documentary. 🤔

Maybe use the $$ to stop laying off Amazon + @washingtonpost.com staff??

www.nytimes.com/2026/01/28/b...

30.01.2026 03:29 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
Bruce Springsteen - Streets Of Minneapolis (Official Audio)
Bruce Springsteen - Streets Of Minneapolis (Official Audio) YouTube video by Bruce Springsteen



youtube.com/watch?v=wWKS...

29.01.2026 04:24 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
White House Wobbles, Distancing Trump From Initial Response to Minnesota Killing

Not enough
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/26/u...

27.01.2026 00:45 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
And what are they learning? Experts on the formation of internal security services in authoritarian regimes point to a sense of impunity as a warning sign. Regime officials abuse their power when they know they will be protected, and even praised, for doing so.

Over the course of weeks and months, we have seen images of DHS officials abusing American citizens and immigrants alike, including killing them. What we do not hear is regime officials calling for credible investigations into such abuses, or even expressing any concerns. Renee Good’s killer was announced innocent, and both Good and her wife was instead the subject of an investigation, a perversion of justice so obvious that an FBI agent and half-dozen career Department of Justice prosecutors assigned to Minnesota resigned.

And what are they learning? Experts on the formation of internal security services in authoritarian regimes point to a sense of impunity as a warning sign. Regime officials abuse their power when they know they will be protected, and even praised, for doing so. Over the course of weeks and months, we have seen images of DHS officials abusing American citizens and immigrants alike, including killing them. What we do not hear is regime officials calling for credible investigations into such abuses, or even expressing any concerns. Renee Good’s killer was announced innocent, and both Good and her wife was instead the subject of an investigation, a perversion of justice so obvious that an FBI agent and half-dozen career Department of Justice prosecutors assigned to Minnesota resigned.

What we are watching is a paramilitary force learning that they can kill with impunity, that the regime will smear the victim and defend them. Unless politicians and the legal system exerts accountability, it will not stop. donmoynihan.substack.com/p/past-the-b...

24.01.2026 16:32 👍 3698 🔁 1443 💬 53 📌 73

Nothing to see here

24.01.2026 18:00 👍 1 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

Don’t be fooled. I’ve worked in human rights for two decades and ICE tactics are exactly the kind of thing US government officials used to yell at authoritarian governments to stop

24.01.2026 18:00 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Once again, the government is trying to get you to believe your own eyes are lying to you. This was another murder by ICE, an agency that proves day after day it has no business policing on America’s streets.

24.01.2026 17:52 👍 356 🔁 136 💬 12 📌 5
Preview
Demonstrators Flood Minneapolis Streets as Hundreds of Businesses Close to Protest ICE

Minnesotans are clear where they stand on ICE www.nytimes.com/2026/01/23/u...

23.01.2026 22:01 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1

American individuals are subject to US laws so there’s the promise of some degree of accountability. Good luck trying to find justice under “Chinese law”

23.01.2026 01:28 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 5 📌 2
Preview
The TikTok Deal Is America’s White Flag in the Tech War With China Beijing will still retain considerable influence over the U.S. version of the app.

I tackled that topic here foreignpolicy.com/2025/09/29/t...

23.01.2026 00:23 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

The strategy document only includes 3 references to democracy.

And all of them warp the traditional usages of the term, according to @stevenfeldstein.bsky.social. The first is a warning shot, while the others take aim at European governments.

22.01.2026 20:37 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
Carney’s Remarkable Message to Middle Powers And how they can respond.

“No matter how much a leader might behave like a character from Mean Girls, the world isn’t a giant high school.”

@lageneralista.bsky.social, @sophiabesch.bsky.social, @stevenfeldstein.bsky.social, & Stewart Patrick discussed Canadian PM Carney’s Davos speech: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

22.01.2026 17:01 👍 7 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 1
Preview
Iran’s internet shutdown tells a larger story: Digital repression is on the rise Like Iran, governments worldwide rely on internet shutdowns to suppress populations, rig elections and collectively punish their citizens.

Iran's shutdown is emblematic of this trend. The bigger story is that in Iran, Uganda, Myanmar, Russia -- dictators use tech to tyranize the opposition and stop challenges to their rule.

More here 👇👇
thebulletin.org/2026/01/iran...

22.01.2026 18:19 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Post image

The levels of digital repression globally today vs 20 years ago are stark.

The world is experiencing a surge of surveillance, censorship, propaganda, shutdowns.

These two charts show the change:

22.01.2026 18:18 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 2 📌 0
Preview
Iran’s internet shutdown tells a larger story: Digital repression is on the rise Like Iran, governments worldwide rely on internet shutdowns to suppress populations, rig elections and collectively punish their citizens.

Iran, in its 14th day of a digital blackout, isn't the only country to use this tactic to control its citizens. In 2025, an estimated 212 shutdowns occurred across 28 countries, affecting 798.12 million people, write @stevenfeldstein.bsky.social & Shreya Joshi for @thebulletin.org

22.01.2026 16:35 👍 9 🔁 7 💬 0 📌 0