Conflict exposure increases hawkish preferences, but only among center-left voters, offsetting the restraining effect of dovish norms.
@itamaryakir
Postdoctoral associate, ISPS, Identity & Conflict Lab, Yale university || PhD Public Policy, Hebrew U || Studying political behavior, political economy & public policy https://sites.google.com/view/itamaryakir/home
Conflict exposure increases hawkish preferences, but only among center-left voters, offsetting the restraining effect of dovish norms.
Key findings: People conform to perceived norms, but selectively. Center-left voters respond mainly to dovish cues; right-wing voters mainly to hawkish cues, even when exposed to both. However,...
We field an experiment among Israeli respondents one month after the June 2025 Israel-Iran conflict, experimentally varying exposure to dovish vs. hawkish public opinion among co-nationals.
๐ New working paper !
co-authored w/ Nicholas Sambanis
@icl-yale.bsky.social
Do people conform to perceived social norms when forming national security preferences? And how do conflict exposure and partisanship shape this process?
Link to w.p.
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
I have great respect for Economists,
Many of my best friends are Economists,
But..
Many continue to assume that agents are maximising utility *on earth*
The world is mostly religious, so our models should reflect this reality
www.ggd.world/p/the-paradi...
Trumpโs actions reflect a wider ideological rupture
The US right has significantly diverged from European values
Less into cooperation, more authoritarian
@jburnmurdoch.ft.comโs new analysis of WVS & EVS!
Zelensky is a wartime leader watching his people suffer and die under Russian attacks every day. To be lectured and lied to by Trump and Vance, as they defend the war criminal dictator committing these atrocities, is unimaginable agony. An everlasting shame for America.