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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ

@user91317

International Econ enjoyer Progressive democrat

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Latest posts by ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ @user91317

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The blockade on Qatar helped strengthen its economy, paving the way to stronger regional integration | Brookings In key ways, the blockade bolstered Qatarโ€™s economy. This can be a positive development for regional integration. Stronger individual states will strengthen the region as a whole.

I think the UAE ends up dipping into state funds to keep the cost of imported food down, costing a shit ton of money, and probably certain fancier stuff is allowed to rise sharply. But consider, for instance, how quick adaptation to the Qatar blockade was - www.brookings.edu/articles/the...

05.03.2026 20:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 107 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

this is a good question. the UAE is highly dependent on maritime freight - biggest port in the region. But I think one recurring lesson of catastrophe is that places are surprisingly resilient and rerouting happens - in this case, presumably Jeddah->land routes->UAE. Expensive and crowded.

05.03.2026 20:50 ๐Ÿ‘ 437 ๐Ÿ” 55 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 14 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Man. Why did the FBI bother interviewing my family and 10 years of people Iโ€™d ever met and literally interrogating me over some weed usage in college when I could have just been a 19-year old with a ChatGPT account and gotten into the SCIF at work with no one watching

05.03.2026 21:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 176 ๐Ÿ” 34 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Folks will be - legitimately - furious with the Ds that voted no (leadership whipped hard for yes), but I think it is worth looking on the other hand: 98% of House Democrats (and 1% of House Republicans) just voted to try to block the president from waging war on Iran.

Iran! The Great Evil!

05.03.2026 22:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 807 ๐Ÿ” 138 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 16 ๐Ÿ“Œ 5

$40,000/year for 2 hours/day of AI-assisted education? Scam artists are apparently convinced thereโ€™s a nonzero population whoโ€™d like to pay a lot of money not to educate their kids.

05.03.2026 12:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 146 ๐Ÿ” 21 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

it's weird to me how much Gulf states seem to dominate the imagination of the UK right at the moment. I assume it's largely about who's giving them money, but I also think "Dubai expat" is a common social type in their circles.

07.10.2025 14:54 ๐Ÿ‘ 584 ๐Ÿ” 47 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 33 ๐Ÿ“Œ 17
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Oh now I get it. Dubai is Golgafrinchan Ark B.

03.03.2026 15:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 1817 ๐Ÿ” 410 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 198 ๐Ÿ“Œ 107
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Credible reports that ginormous Russian LNG (liquid natural gas) tanker Arctic Metagaz is on fire in Mediterranean. Reports suggest it was hit be a USV (uncrewed surface vessel)

Whether Iran linked or Ukraine, very big implications for Russian war effort

03.03.2026 11:33 ๐Ÿ‘ 1123 ๐Ÿ” 311 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 66 ๐Ÿ“Œ 64

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz after meeting Trump: โ€œIt is indeed the case that at least the American government, according to my level of knowledge and insight today, has no really formulated strategy about the future civil leadership of this country (Iran).

03.03.2026 21:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 496 ๐Ÿ” 150 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 15 ๐Ÿ“Œ 8
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With Us or Against Us, Again Congress didnโ€™t authorize this war, and the only response to questions is a loyalty test weโ€™ve fallen for before.

Afghanistan started at 92 percent approval. Iraq started at 71. Iran started at 27. The "whose side are you on" rhetoric is identical. The country underneath it isn't. I wrote about how the framework works, and who's deploying it. www.readtpa.com/p/with-us-or...

03.03.2026 23:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 2435 ๐Ÿ” 582 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 27 ๐Ÿ“Œ 32
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๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡

04.03.2026 04:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 2716 ๐Ÿ” 1102 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 252 ๐Ÿ“Œ 228

Germany's intelligence service BND says Russia's federal deficit was actually 3.6% of GDP in '25, not 2.6%. This was exactly my final estimate in December, based on past spending patterns (random but funny: I estimated 8.02 trillion). If true, the deficit was probably hidden in other public budgets.

04.03.2026 13:17 ๐Ÿ‘ 104 ๐Ÿ” 26 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

More seriously, this is the problem. The Trump admin has bought into the view that ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท as it exists is An Existential Threat. You can't bargain/negotiated over existence, like you can over "Do you have nukes?", & it can be used to justify any & all violations of the law, Constitution, & UN Charter.

04.03.2026 18:36 ๐Ÿ‘ 85 ๐Ÿ” 17 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is absolutely brilliant ๐Ÿ‘

04.03.2026 16:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 598 ๐Ÿ” 139 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 61 ๐Ÿ“Œ 7

Anecdotally, this tracks with my own impression that beneath the surface in many allied countries a seismic shift is currently underway in broader public attitudes towards the US. Trust is evaporating rapidly and resentment is building.

05.03.2026 11:24 ๐Ÿ‘ 14 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Pentagon eyes Ukrainian interceptor drones to counter Iran Kyiv has pioneered cheap and mass-produced machines to battle Russian versions of the Shahed attack drone

giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Bit of a story here: the West has known for some time that Ukrainian interceptor drones are cheap, effective and the best way to deal with the sorts of things Iran has. If the US had been remotely serious it would have thought about this ahead of a war.
1/

05.03.2026 10:41 ๐Ÿ‘ 168 ๐Ÿ” 60 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
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โ€˜Everyoneโ€™s callingโ€™: demand for private jets from UK firm soars by up to 300% amid Iran war Insider says demand is far outstripping supply and calls for creation of air bridges to evacuate people from Middle East

Itโ€™s like Dunkirk but theyโ€™re all wankers www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...

05.03.2026 13:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 89 ๐Ÿ” 21 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Pet take that the reputation and long term viability of Dubai and Abu Dhabi as global centres of power would be strengthened if a lot of these mercenary rentiers were moved on to the next legal black hole

05.03.2026 12:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 70 ๐Ÿ” 8 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I can't stop thinking about this because imagine having enough money to address every single problem in your life and still thinking it's better to risk having a suicide drone crash into your hotel room then pay a bit more in taxes.

05.03.2026 17:47 ๐Ÿ‘ 59 ๐Ÿ” 12 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Made this observation before: the US is like a giant cruiseliner with a mad Captain steering towards the iceberg as half the passengers cheer him on and the crew steal and sell the lifeboats. It's sheer size and momentum will keep it afloat. For a time. But not forever.

05.03.2026 22:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/ianf...

02.03.2026 21:34 ๐Ÿ‘ 8 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The migrant workers/slaves who built the city is geopolitics. The dirty money, the sanctions evasion, the uneasy relationships with neighbours, the war UAE funds in Sudan... Anyone living there is exposed to geopolitics. Just now they can't pretend otherwise.

02.03.2026 15:25 ๐Ÿ‘ 2921 ๐Ÿ” 303 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 19 ๐Ÿ“Œ 10
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"The trade was not that you were getting exposed to geopolitics when moving to Dubai."

02.03.2026 15:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 4045 ๐Ÿ” 666 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 221 ๐Ÿ“Œ 557

yeah people routinely confuse ordinal claims about which groups will be affected most or worst on average with cardinal claims about which groups are safe and secure in general. privilege talk in particular did a lot to obscure the difference here as far as 2010s consciousness goes

03.03.2026 03:47 ๐Ÿ‘ 173 ๐Ÿ” 12 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

whether war, vaccines, or critical infrastructure there is contingent of the right that seems to believe that their security from the worst things that happen is some kind of metaphysical principle rather than the result of specific historical processes that could've gone otherwise and still could

03.03.2026 03:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 2607 ๐Ÿ” 483 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 29 ๐Ÿ“Œ 27

a thing historians will marvel about when they study this era is the extent to which the "war is a thing that happens to poorer, browner people" class went about systematically dismantling every aspect of the global political order that confined the costs of war to poorer and browner people

03.03.2026 03:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 5903 ๐Ÿ” 1478 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 55 ๐Ÿ“Œ 38
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IRGC Destroys Second US THAAD System in Gulf, Wipes Out UAE Radar and $1.1 Billion Qatar Early Warning Shield โ€” Iran Declares Missile Dominance - Defence Security Asia IRGC precision strikes reportedly destroy a second US THAAD system, its UAE radar, and Qatarโ€™s $1.1 billion early warning system, exposing fractures in Americaโ€™s Gulf missile defence architecture and ...

ive seen this article shared but seems a bit sus defencesecurityasia.com/en/irgc-dest...

04.03.2026 05:17 ๐Ÿ‘ 12 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
04.03.2026 13:51 ๐Ÿ‘ 1258 ๐Ÿ” 202 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1