Maria del Rio-Chanona

We're pleased to announce the Bennett School of Public Policy opening this autumn.

It will be a flagship, multi-disciplinary policy school, that will integrate & expand the teaching, research & engagement activities of the Bennett Institute.

www.bennettinstitute.cam.ac.uk/blog/bennett...

Want to learn about computational social science *for free* and launch interdisciplinary research projects? We are so excited to announce there will be *26* Summer Institutes in Computational Social Science this year! Apply to one of them here: sicss.io/locations

Call for submissions: Metascience and AI postdoctoral fellowship | Alfred P. Sloan Foundation Our mission is to make the world a better place through the advancement of scientific knowledge.

PhD students in social sciences studying "metascience" and AI: This looks like an *AMAZING* opportunity. Fully funded research postdoc that can be housed at whatever university you can find an appropriate mentor. sloan.org/programs/dig...

We are now looking to hire two new permanent lectureships in public policy www.jobs.cam.ac.uk/job/50248/ @bennettinstitute.bsky.social

How Is Generative AI Impacting The Freelance Job Market? A new study led by an international research team reveals the surprising impact of generative AI tools like ChatGPT on the freelance workforce. The research,

Are generative AI tools threatening freelance jobs? Not quite, says a new study. Instead of mass job losses, demand is shifting:

📉 Fewer jobs in repetitive writing & translation
📈 Strong growth in machine learning & AI-related roles
Experience matters too.

Full story: shorturl.at/VMzZm

Large language models reduce public knowledge sharing on online Q&A platforms Abstract. Large language models (LLMs) are a potential substitute for human-generated data and knowledge resources. This substitution, however, can present

23/250 is Large language models reduce public knowledge sharing on online Q&A platforms

This makes me wonder if people are answering Stack Overflow questions with ChatGPT answers . . .

Thank you also to @sfiscience.bsky.social and @inet-complexity.bsky.social for organising the Complex System Approaches to 21st Century Challenges: Inequality, Climate Change, and New Technologies conference and special issue at JEBO.

🔗 Read more 👉 lnkd.in/eNKRpvbj

🙏 Thanks so an awesome team of collaborators!
Ole Teutloff Johanna Einsiedler Fabian Braesemann Otto Kässi Pamela Mishkin @oiioxford.bsky.social @csh.ac.at @bennettinstitute.bsky.social

𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘆 effects are mixed: 𝗠𝗟 demand 𝗴𝗿𝗲𝘄 𝗯𝘆 𝟮𝟰% and 𝗔𝗜 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝘁𝗯𝗼𝘁 development nearly 𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗽𝗹𝗲𝗱, but in general 𝗻𝗼𝘃𝗶𝗰𝗲 freelancers in 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘆 roles saw a 𝗱𝗲𝗰𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲.

Our Difference-in-Differences (DiD) analysis reveals clear shifts in demand.

📉 𝗦𝘂𝗯𝘀𝘁𝗶𝘁𝘂𝘁𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲 tasks saw 𝘀𝗵𝗮𝗿𝗽 𝗱𝗲𝗰𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲𝘀—50% for "About Us" page writing, 30% for Western language translation, and around 20% for other languages—𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗹𝘆 𝗶𝗻 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗿𝘁-𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗺 𝗴𝗶𝗴𝘀 and 𝘃𝗲𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗻 freelancers.

📢 𝗡𝗲𝘄 𝗽𝗮𝗽𝗲𝗿 alert! We document how 𝗚𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗔𝗜 𝗶𝘀 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗵𝗮𝗽𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗱𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗳𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗹𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗿 𝘀𝗸𝗶𝗹𝗹𝘀. 💼 💻

📊 We analysed 𝟯𝗠+ 𝗷𝗼𝗯 𝗽𝗼𝘀𝘁𝘀, used embeddings to cluster them into 𝟭𝟬𝟬+ 𝗳𝗶𝗻𝗲-𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝘀𝗸𝗶𝗹𝗹𝘀, and LLMs to classify them as s𝘂𝗯𝘀𝘁𝗶𝘁𝘂𝘁𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲, 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘆, or 𝘂𝗻𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗲𝗱.

Thank you for the suggestion. We have 'unknown' categories in more recent Seshat version, so doable.

Thank you very much for the suggestion. Very creative! Should be doable with NER, though caveat might be token limits/budget. I'll notify the team. Dan Hoyer is also interested in several AI/ML applications.

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R. Maria del Rio-Chanona on LinkedIn: 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐠𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐋𝐋𝐌𝐬 𝐚𝐭 𝐏𝐡𝐃-𝐥𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐥 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲… 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐠𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐋𝐋𝐌𝐬 𝐚𝐭 𝐏𝐡𝐃-𝐥𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐥 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲 𝐤𝐧𝐨𝐰𝐥𝐞𝐝𝐠𝐞? 🧐 Significantly better than random, but far from human history…

Indeed, we sacrificed question readability to be able to automation 36k+ questions (though there is few-shot ex). This is also not a one-to-one comparison with a historian. I've clarified here
www.linkedin.com/posts/r-mari...

We are improving questions & prompts, please reach out with suggestions!

R. Maria del Rio-Chanona on LinkedIn: 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐠𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐋𝐋𝐌𝐬 𝐚𝐭 𝐏𝐡𝐃-𝐥𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐥 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲… 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐠𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐋𝐋𝐌𝐬 𝐚𝐭 𝐏𝐡𝐃-𝐥𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐥 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲 𝐤𝐧𝐨𝐰𝐥𝐞𝐝𝐠𝐞? 🧐 Significantly better than random, but far from human history…

Thank you. Indeed, there is much to improve in the benchmark. As noted in this post, www.linkedin.com/posts/r-mari...
this is but a first step. Please reach out if you have suggestion on how to improve.

R. Maria del Rio-Chanona on LinkedIn: 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐠𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐋𝐋𝐌𝐬 𝐚𝐭 𝐏𝐡𝐃-𝐥𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐥 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲… 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐠𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐋𝐋𝐌𝐬 𝐚𝐭 𝐏𝐡𝐃-𝐥𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐥 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲 𝐤𝐧𝐨𝐰𝐥𝐞𝐝𝐠𝐞? 🧐 Significantly better than random, but far from human history…

The 'sometimes' was indeed unnecessary. This benchmark was is not a comparison of with historians, it is a test of some history knowledge that requires some interpretation.

I've clarified so in this post www.linkedin.com/posts/r-mari...

We value feedback on how to improve, please reach out!

These are fair criticisms but miss the crucial point...

Academics publish in expensive OA journals because top journals and citation count remain the dominant factors in determining whether you get hired and whether you get promoted...

This will not change unless the incentive structure changes

There's an interesting new study by @ernestaigner.bsky.social @drodrik.bsky.social @jacobgreenspon.bsky.social on regional publication trends in economics - share of "authors based in low income countries remains low" disproportionate to those countries population shares vs. world ⤵️

Big thanks to Fundación Sicomoro for supporting the Winter Workshop in Complex Systems with grants for students and funding our much-needed coffee breaks! ☕✨ Your generosity keeps the ideas (and the caffeine) flowing!

Estimating global article processing charges paid to six publishers for open access between 2019 and 2023 This study presents estimates of the global expenditure on article processing charges (APCs) paid to six publishers for open access between 2019 and 2023. APCs are fees charged for publishing in some ...

Link: arxiv.org/abs/2407.16551

"Suspense and surprise in technological innovation"
Neat analysis of the link between expectations and outcomes in technological evolution.

Hello @bsky.app ! We are looking forward to connect with this community 🦋

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We'll be sharing more about our research, students' achievements, events, and everything related to #networkdatascience and #socialdatascience

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Bennett Institute for Public Policy Annual Conference 2025 - Bennett Institute for Public Policy Driving forward key policy questions in a turbulent world

Our @bennettinstitute.bsky.social annual conference is on 28th March and tickets can now be booked - in person or online: www.bennettinstitute.cam.ac.uk/events/annua... It's always a great event & we have a fab line-up of speakers/sessions

Skepticism is warranted. For robustness, we did few-shots prompting were we gave examples oh Q&A. We also repeated the test with just two categories absent/present. Performance was still poor.

This is a distinction introduced by Seshat team between those facts for which there is direct evidence and those that there isn't direct evidence but it can be inferred.

@pieterfrancois.bsky.social or Peter Turchin may be able to explain better

We are working on a follow up study.

Interdisciplinary research has many challenges and we'd love to get your feedback. Please do reach out if you have suggestions or would like to collaborate.

Thank you for pointing this out. We chose the question format for automation of 30k+ questions and to avoid biases on phrasing. It is indeed dry. Would love to get suggestions on better formatting.

To answer the second question, not yet. We'd love to for follow-up studies. Please reach out!

I agree. The 'sometimes' was unnecessary.

While the findings of this paper may seem obvious to the history community, they aren't obvious to everyone (the article is published in a Computer Science venue).

We definitely need more historians working on this :).