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Tobias Harris

@tobiasharris

Japanese politics analyst; author of The Iconoclast: Shinzō Abe and the New Japan; Chicago-born Cubs fan now living in DC; marathoner; RHP + IF ⚾ Substack: Observingjapan.substack.com. Business: www.japanforesight.com

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Latest posts by Tobias Harris @tobiasharris

I'm at the point where using "lib" as a pejorative is basically grounds for an instant block

10.03.2026 13:35 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

This is the first I've heard of this but just why

10.03.2026 12:30 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

That's awful and one of my nightmares.

10.03.2026 11:57 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Seriously though, it's the stepping on Legos of eating,

10.03.2026 11:28 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Wishcasting all the way down

10.03.2026 02:13 👍 73 🔁 5 💬 3 📌 0

New elder millennial problems: when you bite into a prune that still has a pit in it.

09.03.2026 22:07 👍 15 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

"Only in Japan did America gain the peace our arms had won, because Douglas MacArthur-a throwback to the statesmanship of common sense-kept Washington's wise men and the Soviets at bay in Tokyo"

Tell me you know literally nothing about how the US approach to Japan unfolded without telling me.

09.03.2026 17:07 👍 31 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0

The response rate figures for the new Kyodo poll are hilarious.

Landlines: 490 calls placed, 423 answered. 86.3% response rate
Mobile: 3892 calls placed, 631 answered. 16.2% response rate

09.03.2026 15:21 👍 10 🔁 1 💬 3 📌 0
Preview
Polling data This data will be regularly updated and accessible to all subscribers.

Takaichi government approval ratings, ten-day weighted moving average, 9 March

APPROVE 63%
DISAPPROVE 25.1%

Adjusted for pollster biases

APPROVE 63.4%
DISAPPROVE 26.5%

More information on methodology here: observingjapan.substack.com/p/tracking-t...

09.03.2026 14:26 👍 12 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0

Trump's "back to the 1980s" time warp strikes again.

09.03.2026 02:37 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
09.03.2026 01:49 👍 236 🔁 29 💬 1 📌 3
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Now down more than JPY 4000

09.03.2026 01:47 👍 10 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 1
Preview
a young boy is sitting in front of a group of people . ALT: a young boy is sitting in front of a group of people .

The whole world is living in that Twilight Zone, "It's a good life." More specifically, we're the villagers living in fear of the most special little boy.

09.03.2026 00:20 👍 24 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0
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Nikkei opens down 3000

09.03.2026 00:18 👍 48 🔁 16 💬 3 📌 5

Yeah, that's true. And then they returned again.

08.03.2026 16:30 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Shouldn't it be four? (Clinton after the Iran-Contra boys)

08.03.2026 16:22 👍 7 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

India going with the Yankees approach (absolute mashers, questionable fielding)

08.03.2026 15:40 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Thanks for sharing this. Absolutely losing that whatever (limited) patience I had with this crowd.

08.03.2026 15:00 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I'm loving the ads for the T20 final.

08.03.2026 14:14 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

But why let facts get in the way of my cool geopolitical just-so story that will get me those Robert Kaplan bucks.

08.03.2026 03:19 👍 23 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0

bsky.app/profile/shar...

08.03.2026 03:08 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 1
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08.03.2026 03:05 👍 73 🔁 6 💬 3 📌 0

I'm sure Beijing is quaking watching the US shove its hand into the garbage disposal again. I can't even with this stupid argument

08.03.2026 02:59 👍 136 🔁 9 💬 4 📌 0

One of my favorite albums ever. Bought it on CD at the Tower Records in Shibuya, was listening to it on repeat during the Abe resignation crisis in 2007.

08.03.2026 02:18 👍 10 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0

Thanks for sharing this. This album will always have a special place in my heart.

08.03.2026 02:17 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Don't forget the SDF

07.03.2026 21:40 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Nothing in the rules says that members of the military cannot also attempt the challenge. Thank you for your service. 🫡

07.03.2026 19:38 👍 8 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

The "getting the US military to understand other countries have politics" challenge, difficulty level impossible.

07.03.2026 19:35 👍 65 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 1
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In FRUS, John Allison consistently comes across as enormously more thoughtful than basically any US Asia policymaker of the early cold war.

07.03.2026 19:35 👍 29 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0
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Worthwhile Canadian and Japanese initiative | Japan Daily Briefing Middle power diplomacy in Tokyo

Takaichi hosts Mark Carney and announces a new stage in bilateral cooperation. Ruling party lawmakers propose significant changes to arms export rules. The Takaichi government prepares to begin transporting Japanese nationals from the Middle East.
open.substack.com/pub/observin...

07.03.2026 00:28 👍 11 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 1