Trump Tweet from 2013 Remember that I predicted a long time ago that President Obama will attack Iran because of his inability to negotiate properly-not skilled!
2013
@carlmc
Human, Learner, Voyager, Citizen. Polisci research on the state, development, and conflict. Assistant Professor @ LSE Department of Government. Previously Oxford and ETH Zurich. https://carlmueller-crepon.org
Trump Tweet from 2013 Remember that I predicted a long time ago that President Obama will attack Iran because of his inability to negotiate properly-not skilled!
2013
Preferences over contested territory in #Ukraine are addressed in the Wk 7 #RESCMondaySeminar. Speakers: @carlmc.bsky.social & @marniehowlett.bsky.social. Co-convenor Roy Allison for @osgaoxford.bsky.social @ox.ac.uk @lseblogs.bsky.social. In-person only - all welcome! talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/8c8...
**CALL FOR PAPERS**
LSE–NYU Conference 2026
Making States Work: Capacity, Accountability and Economic Foundations. If you are interested in presenting a paper related to these themes
🗓 Deadline: 6 March
More details and how to submit your paper 🔽
sticerd.lse.ac.uk/_new/events/...
Excited to present my paper "Sidelining the Leader? Information Flows during the Outbreak of War" at the Virtual Workshop in HPE today (6.30 PM CET).
Thanks to @dkofanov.bsky.social, @tinepaulsen.bsky.social and @janvogler.bsky.social for organizing and to Lina Skoglund for discussing my paper!
Russia, Venezuela, Iran, China, the Sahel region, the United States ...
Want to know why state agents carry out brutal repression — or participate in illegal coups?
Our new book "Making a Career in Dictatorship" provides answers — it just got published by @academic.oup.com:
tinyurl.com/ystwm3tf
One of every thousand American residents has been taken into custody by ICE in the last year.
PEEP is back this year🤌 ! The 4th Political Economy of Europe APSA Pre-Conference will be hosted at Harvard on Sept 2, the day before APSA.
We welcome observational, experimental and formal theory work focused on Europe. Deadline: March 1st.
forms.gle/V6NEy4AfnSs7...
Thank you for the shoutout @lindsaypcohn.bsky.social !!
Thank you Hein, this means a lot coming from you!!
This paper was part of our larger project on "Nationalism and the Transformation of the State" which was recently published by @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org : doi.org/10.1017/9781...
🎉 This is now out in the latest @apsrjournal.bsky.social issue with page numbers! We find that modernization and expanding state reach through railroad construction in Europe tended to produce backlash and separatism among peripheral ethnic minorities.
Today in @theguardian.com, I argue that Donald Trump’s foreign-policy playbook is increasingly about attention capture, or what I call geopolitical clickbait.
Plus I outline why this matters for Europe & what to do about it.
🧵
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Thrilled to see this Research Note with @janinadill.bsky.social and @carlmc.bsky.social published in @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social!
We ran the same and (a slightly modified) experiment as in July 2022 to investigate whether Ukrainians still categorically reject political and territorial concessions.
The single best theory of the last few months
Welcome to the department @thomasnawrath.bsky.social !! Very excited to have you as a visitor!
Our next
@lsegovernment.bsky.social
APEG seminar is this Thursday, Jan. 22, at 12 pm. We are happy to host Dr. Kristin Michelitch (sites.google.com/site/kristin...). Her talk is titled "Penalties for Particularism and Partisanship?" Please join us. @carlmc.bsky.social
Deutsche Bank here with the good stuff.
Game on.
Details on the book in this thread: bsky.app/profile/carl...
I really look forward to the Annual Congress of the Swiss Political Science Association this week in Zurich. We are launching our book "Nationalism and the Transformation of the State" with an Apéro at UZH on Friday, 17:15-18:45!
Details and registration here: cis.ethz.ch/news-and-eve...
🚨Job alert! 🚨
I'm advertising a PhD position (66%) in Comparative Politics at HU Berlin. Ideal candidates combine a research interest in autocratic politics, conflict, and/or political violence with strong quantitative methods skills.
⏳ 4 (+2) years | 🗓 DL 16.01; Start March/April 26
More info:
Why does Europe not speak out against US actions in Venezuela?
Because Ukraine (and Europe) is held hostage to US goodwill. Speaking out risks American retaliation.
1/10 🧵 The U.S. just captured a sitting head of state in a military operation—and Trump says the U.S. will "run" Venezuela “for now.” Whatever you think of Maduro, this is the most consequential unilateral move in the hemisphere since Panama (1989).
🚨Jobs!🚨
3-year PostDoc positions (aka Research Officers) at @lsegovernment.bsky.social to work with me on the local consequences of border change. Please reach out for questions and apply by Jan 4th to join the team and department: I’d love to hear from you!
Job ad: jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
For folks still struggling with the math:
There are ~345 million US citizens.
There are ~245 million white US citizens.
This is what they mean by "Peaceful ethnic cleansing." Their plan ends with deporting all non-white people.
Not "undocumented criminals."
Not even "all undocumented people."
Sounds like an incredible opportunity to me!
🚨 We’re hiring an Assistant Professor in Political Science
⏰ Deadline 4th January 2026
🙋♀️ Any questions, please reach out
👇
🚨 Six days left to apply 🚨
2 x 3-year postdoc positions
to work with me on the many impacts of border change, no teaching obligations, a vibrant department @lsegovernment.bsky.social, and London is a fantastic city! Deadline: Jan 4th.
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
I asked our university's official AI assistant to draw a map of Poland in 1941.
Great stuff. Glad we are steering our students toward this helpful resource.
We would actually love to!