That and much more in the Texas Grid Roundup:
www.douglewin.com/p/texas-add...
That and much more in the Texas Grid Roundup:
www.douglewin.com/p/texas-add...
Solar + batteries continue to grow rapidly in Texas: over 1.2 gigawatts added every month this year! Overall, more than 11 gigawatts were installed in Texas in the last 8 months, outpacing any other state or even region in the US. #txlege #txenergy 1/2
More great articles and podcasts from the past week here. www.douglewin.com/p/renewable...
Solar + wind growth is outpacing global demand growth by more than 5% through the 3rd quarter of this year. Add nuclear and clean energy is outpacing demand by 10% per this Canary Media graphic. Michael Liebreich showed what 3% growth over 40 years would do... 1/2
America has two possible AI futures: the villain path and the hero path.
One raises bills & destabilizes grids, the other lowers bills & strengthens the grid.
Varun Sivaram explains why flexible data centers could help lower costs & boost reliability. 1/2
Read more about that, including why energy use is projected to rise faster than peak demand. I also include articles on the continued risk to growth from federal obstruction of renewables, NERC's winter reliability assessment, and much more
www.douglewin.com/p/texas-dem...
A new report from Grid Strategies shows projected 166GW demand growth in the US with over 30% in Texas. ERCOT demand growth is projected to be higher than PJM with 14 states including the data center hub in northern Virginia. #txlege #txenergy 1/2
Varun Sivaram says ERCOT is the model the world should copy.
Texas has headroom, speed, and the chance to lead flexible AI load growth.
We break it down on the Energy Capital Podcast.
"Data centers [can] contribute to grid reliability & help us to avoid rolling blackouts. I think we can get there, but weβre not on that path rn & folks are right to worry. This is the moment where we switch from the villain to the hero."
www.douglewin.com/p/the-hero-...
There are two paths for AI data centers: hero and villain. Emerald AI founder & CEO Varun Sivaram and I talked through the two paths. If you want to understand how AI data centers can strengthen the grid and lower electric bills, give it a listen. 1/2
Last week, Google announced a $40 billion investment for which they'll build more than 6 gigawatts of new power. There is massive potential to use these investments to improve grid reliability and lower power costs for consumers. I explored that here: www.douglewin.com/p/texas-is-...
The Wall St. Journal published this chart which shows thereβs about 40 gigawatts of power already built or under construction for AI data centers and another 70 gigawatts of planned AI demand for power in 2025 alone. Next year will almost certainly be even bigger. 1/2
More on the potential for data centers to improve reliability, nascent flexibility markets that include residential and small commercial demand, and gas prices rising as winter approaches. All here:
www.douglewin.com/p/texas-is-...
More data centers are coming to Texas. Google announced $40 billion in investments, including 6.2 gigawatts of new supply and an investment in residential energy efficiency. Flexibility will be the key as these massive energy users come onto the grid. #txlege #txenergy 1/2
Even if you donβt care about climate change at all, for national security & economic reasons alone, the US needs to have a share of the renewable export market. If it happens, Texas will play a major role. Much more here:
www.douglewin.com/p/energy-af...
China is energy dominant. The US absolutely could provide a meaningful counterweight but it would require broad political consensus to pursue an all-of-the-above strategy that includes both molecules and electrons, renewables and lower emission fossils. 1/2
Also, the Economist on China's meteoric rise as an energy superpower; the Houston Chronicle on how the federal gov is messing with Texas; Heatmap on a new load flexibility proposal in Texas; affordability as a massive political issue; and much, much more
www.douglewin.com/p/energy-af...
China is moving forward with renewables at a breakneck pace, but Texas could be a counterweight as we install 15-20 gigawatts of wind, solar, storage and gas per year. Unfortunately, federal big government overreach and red tape are slowing down the Texas energy miracle. 1/2
There's a new November electric demand record in Texas. It's 92 degrees in Austin β on November 7. There are 25,000 megawatts-worth of thermal plants offline for seasonal maintenance. Solar + wind providing >50% all day. Could see a battery record this evening. #txlege #txenergy
Gas turbines are scarce, and supply wonβt catch up soon.
I discuss with Nat Bullard why physics and lead times, not wishful thinking, set the pace, and how Texas can bridge the gap with renewables, storage, and smarter demand.
Texas is where the future of energy is being tested.
In this weekβs Halcyon post, @nathanielbullard.com joins @douglewin.bsky.social to dig into ERCOTβs soaring load queue, the stateβs one-of-a-kind market, and what its data signals for the rest of the country.
Read + listen π
hubs.ly/Q03RNcSl0
Texas severely lags on residential demand response, making reliability risks higher than they need to be; PUC Staff recommended higher profits for Texas' largest electricity utility; and Texas added 1.3 gigawatts of solar & storage in October. Link in reply. 1/2
How Hayek can help us think throught competition on the distribution grid by weighing the "knowledge problem" and balancing planning with markets; thoughts on human-centered AI; reaction to Bill Gates' new climate note, and much more here:
www.douglewin.com/p/proposed-...
Oncor wants a billion more per year in rate increases but "does not consider" DERs in its planning. DERs could save $8.5 billion over 10 years. It's time for regulators to require some form of competition and price discovery for the socialized distribution system. 1/2
1,200 Texans are already building Americaβs solar future.
Doug Lewin talks with Dan Barcelo (T1 Energy) on how Texas could make every step of the solar supply chain, from polysilicon to panels, right here.