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Doug Lewin

@douglewin

⚑ Energy Expert πŸŽ™ Host: Energy Capital Podcast πŸ“œ Author: Texas Energy & Power Newsletter 🌎 Founder of Stoic Energy www.douglewin.com

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20.11.2023
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Latest posts by Doug Lewin @douglewin

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Solar + Batteries Continue Rapid Growth: Texas Grid Roundup #84 Over 11 gigawatts of total generation were added over the last 8 months; ERCOT forward prices are trending higher; Board grants urgent status to the Dispatchable Reliability Reserve Service (DRRS).

That and much more in the Texas Grid Roundup:
www.douglewin.com/p/texas-add...

09.12.2025 16:00 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Solar + batteries continue to grow rapidly in Texas: over 1.2 gigawatts added every month this year! Overall, more than 11 gigawatts were installed in Texas in the last 8 months, outpacing any other state or even region in the US. #txlege #txenergy 1/2

09.12.2025 16:00 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 5
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Renewable Growth Outpaces Demand, Reading & Podcast Picks, November 30, 2025 Solar and wind outpace demand growth; a great overview of data center rules in Texas; a Texas Energy Fund update; podcasts on electrotech and the need for transmission; and more

More great articles and podcasts from the past week here. www.douglewin.com/p/renewable...

02.12.2025 00:32 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Solar + wind growth is outpacing global demand growth by more than 5% through the 3rd quarter of this year. Add nuclear and clean energy is outpacing demand by 10% per this Canary Media graphic. Michael Liebreich showed what 3% growth over 40 years would do... 1/2

02.12.2025 00:32 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1
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How AI Data Centers Can Go From Villain to Hero with Varun Sivaram Two grid paths for AI data centers: drive bills higher and add stress to the grid, or reduce costs and outage risks by becoming flexible grid assets and catalyzing additional flexibility.

🎧 Full podcast: tinyurl.com/mhvpfdka

24.11.2025 15:41 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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America has two possible AI futures: the villain path and the hero path.
One raises bills & destabilizes grids, the other lowers bills & strengthens the grid.

Varun Sivaram explains why flexible data centers could help lower costs & boost reliability. 1/2

24.11.2025 15:41 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
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Texas Demand Growth Highest in the US, Reading & Podcast Picks, November 23, 2025 Texas demand expected to rise even more than PJM on data center and broader industrial demand; permitting reform bill advances; NERC issues winter reliability assessment; and much more

Read more about that, including why energy use is projected to rise faster than peak demand. I also include articles on the continued risk to growth from federal obstruction of renewables, NERC's winter reliability assessment, and much more
www.douglewin.com/p/texas-dem...

23.11.2025 18:05 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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A new report from Grid Strategies shows projected 166GW demand growth in the US with over 30% in Texas. ERCOT demand growth is projected to be higher than PJM with 14 states including the data center hub in northern Virginia. #txlege #txenergy 1/2

23.11.2025 18:05 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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How AI Data Centers Can Go From Villain to Hero with Varun Sivaram Two grid paths for AI data centers: drive bills higher and add stress to the grid, or reduce costs and outage risks by becoming flexible grid assets and catalyzing additional flexibility.

🎧 Full podcast: tinyurl.com/mhvpfdka

19.11.2025 23:19 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Varun Sivaram says ERCOT is the model the world should copy.

Texas has headroom, speed, and the chance to lead flexible AI load growth.

We break it down on the Energy Capital Podcast.

19.11.2025 23:19 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2
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How AI Data Centers Can Go From Villain to Hero with Varun Sivaram Two grid paths for AI data centers: drive bills higher and add stress to the grid, or reduce costs and outage risks by becoming flexible grid assets and catalyzing additional flexibility.

"Data centers [can] contribute to grid reliability & help us to avoid rolling blackouts. I think we can get there, but we’re not on that path rn & folks are right to worry. This is the moment where we switch from the villain to the hero."
www.douglewin.com/p/the-hero-...

19.11.2025 14:13 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

There are two paths for AI data centers: hero and villain. Emerald AI founder & CEO Varun Sivaram and I talked through the two paths. If you want to understand how AI data centers can strengthen the grid and lower electric bills, give it a listen. 1/2

19.11.2025 14:13 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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A Texas Flex, Reading & Podcast Picks, November 16, 2025 More AI data centers coming to Texas and it's only the beginning; distributed flexibility markets & DERs are a solution to multiple energy problems; gas prices rise as winter approaches; and more

Last week, Google announced a $40 billion investment for which they'll build more than 6 gigawatts of new power. There is massive potential to use these investments to improve grid reliability and lower power costs for consumers. I explored that here: www.douglewin.com/p/texas-is-...

17.11.2025 18:00 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The Wall St. Journal published this chart which shows there’s about 40 gigawatts of power already built or under construction for AI data centers and another 70 gigawatts of planned AI demand for power in 2025 alone. Next year will almost certainly be even bigger. 1/2

17.11.2025 18:00 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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A Texas Flex, Reading & Podcast Picks, November 16, 2025 More AI data centers coming to Texas and it's only the beginning; distributed flexibility markets & DERs are a solution to multiple energy problems; gas prices rise as winter approaches; and more

More on the potential for data centers to improve reliability, nascent flexibility markets that include residential and small commercial demand, and gas prices rising as winter approaches. All here:
www.douglewin.com/p/texas-is-...

16.11.2025 18:37 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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More data centers are coming to Texas. Google announced $40 billion in investments, including 6.2 gigawatts of new supply and an investment in residential energy efficiency. Flexibility will be the key as these massive energy users come onto the grid. #txlege #txenergy 1/2

16.11.2025 18:37 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Texas Key to US Competition with China, Reading & Podcast Picks, November 9, 2025 Texas solar projects at risk while China speeds ahead; affordability takes center stage; a new flexibility proposal at ERCOT; Texas' potential as a counterweight to China

Even if you don’t care about climate change at all, for national security & economic reasons alone, the US needs to have a share of the renewable export market. If it happens, Texas will play a major role. Much more here:
www.douglewin.com/p/energy-af...

10.11.2025 18:06 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

China is energy dominant. The US absolutely could provide a meaningful counterweight but it would require broad political consensus to pursue an all-of-the-above strategy that includes both molecules and electrons, renewables and lower emission fossils. 1/2

10.11.2025 18:06 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Texas Key to US Competition with China, Reading & Podcast Picks, November 9, 2025 Texas solar projects at risk while China speeds ahead; affordability takes center stage; a new flexibility proposal at ERCOT; Texas' potential as a counterweight to China

Also, the Economist on China's meteoric rise as an energy superpower; the Houston Chronicle on how the federal gov is messing with Texas; Heatmap on a new load flexibility proposal in Texas; affordability as a massive political issue; and much, much more
www.douglewin.com/p/energy-af...

09.11.2025 18:47 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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China is moving forward with renewables at a breakneck pace, but Texas could be a counterweight as we install 15-20 gigawatts of wind, solar, storage and gas per year. Unfortunately, federal big government overreach and red tape are slowing down the Texas energy miracle. 1/2

09.11.2025 18:47 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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There's a new November electric demand record in Texas. It's 92 degrees in Austin – on November 7. There are 25,000 megawatts-worth of thermal plants offline for seasonal maintenance. Solar + wind providing >50% all day. Could see a battery record this evening. #txlege #txenergy

07.11.2025 21:22 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Information Is Infrastructure with Nat Bullard (Part 1) Halcyon Co-Founder Nat Bullard on his annual presentation, his venture to bring order to the chaos of regulatory filings, the global EV market, gas turbine costs, data centers in Texas, and more

Full Episode: tinyurl.com/ewvk2yzx

07.11.2025 13:00 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Gas turbines are scarce, and supply won’t catch up soon.

I discuss with Nat Bullard why physics and lead times, not wishful thinking, set the pace, and how Texas can bridge the gap with renewables, storage, and smarter demand.

07.11.2025 13:00 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Texas is where the future of energy is being tested.

In this week’s Halcyon post, @nathanielbullard.com joins @douglewin.bsky.social to dig into ERCOT’s soaring load queue, the state’s one-of-a-kind market, and what its data signals for the rest of the country.

Read + listen πŸ‘‡
hubs.ly/Q03RNcSl0

05.11.2025 12:31 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Residential Demand Response Workshop Tomorrow, Texas Grid Roundup #82 PUC staff recommends lower profits than Oncor requested but higher than they currently receive; another 1.3 gigawatts of solar + storage online in October; DR workshop at ERCOT's WMS tomorrow

www.douglewin.com/p/residenti...

04.11.2025 22:31 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Texas severely lags on residential demand response, making reliability risks higher than they need to be; PUC Staff recommended higher profits for Texas' largest electricity utility; and Texas added 1.3 gigawatts of solar & storage in October. Link in reply. 1/2

04.11.2025 22:31 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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Proposed Rate Increase Faces Opposition in Texas: Reading & Podcast Picks, November 2, 2025 Human-centered AI; Hayek's knowledge problem applied to electricity; Oncor's massive rate increase proposal; Bill Gates' note; why Texas keeps building wind and solar; and much more

How Hayek can help us think throught competition on the distribution grid by weighing the "knowledge problem" and balancing planning with markets; thoughts on human-centered AI; reaction to Bill Gates' new climate note, and much more here:
www.douglewin.com/p/proposed-...

02.11.2025 19:08 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Oncor wants a billion more per year in rate increases but "does not consider" DERs in its planning. DERs could save $8.5 billion over 10 years. It's time for regulators to require some form of competition and price discovery for the socialized distribution system. 1/2

02.11.2025 19:08 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Building a Solar Supply Chain in Texas with T1's CEO Daniel Barcelo Solar accounts for 75% of new power globally and China makes almost all of it. Can entrepreneurs tip the scales in America's favor? T1 is working on it β€” in Texas

Listen here: tinyurl.com/4s42n82a

31.10.2025 12:59 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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1,200 Texans are already building America’s solar future.

Doug Lewin talks with Dan Barcelo (T1 Energy) on how Texas could make every step of the solar supply chain, from polysilicon to panels, right here.

31.10.2025 12:59 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1