Figure 2 showing a heatmap of differences between ideal and observed mortality rates (IDE MR – OBS MR), by age, sex, region, and period
How seasonality shapes mortality: a new study refines the IDE framework through age adjustment, providing more realistic age-specific assessments of seasonal mortality in Serbia (2015–2023).
📄https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/54/15
Attacks leave dead vs killed
Cover of a book: "An Operational Necessity."
Who else remembers or has heard of prize-winning late 1960s novel 'An Operational Necessity,' by Gwyn Grffin?
It's about law-of-war consequences for WWII German U-boat crew that kills, rather than rescuing, crew members of a French boat it has torpedoed and sunk.
Worth reading again at the moment.
Reuters Exclusive
"U.S. military investigators believe it is likely that U.S. forces were responsible for an apparent strike on an Iranian girls' school."
"The strike would rank among the worst cases of civilian casualties in decades of U.S. conflicts in the Middle East."
words filled a book
bombs filled a school gymnasium
“Slurs filled a chat” is a beaut
INBOX: data from the U.S. Department of State Bureau of Population, Refugees, and Migrations show that in the most recent three months, every single one of the 1,651 refugees accepted into the United States were of (white) South African origin.
www.rpc.state.gov/documents/Re...
With all the attention this got, seemed worth building the proper solution: a local proxy that serves files directly to sites, data never leaves your computer.
New version + instructions: goldencheetah-web-viewer.pages.sweatstack.dev
To be fair, I've lived through all that plus Hilary having her own email server, so there's that.
(Though I made exactly that same comment about cycling analytics back before any of the current big apps existed: they were diving into a single ride's data when the big potential was looking at trends, patterns, and deviations from pattern across rides).
(That's not about GC, it's about the world of cycling apps).
I sort of gave up on that, and export to R when I want to dive deep. I think, in general, too much effort is made on diving deeply into a single ride and not quite enough on looking at trends and patterns across rides.
The probability of being found out is more of a deterrent than severity of punishment. This has implications for monitoring of potential bad behavior vs. coming down hard post-discovery. It's also related to "it's not the crime, it's the coverup."
Default GC can be a little intimidating, especially for newer users--but occasionally even for me. I just had a conversation with my dentist about all his (hand) tools. 90% of the time he grabs the same 3 tools. I've paid him enough to outfit his entire damn office and he uses 3 hand tools.
Hmmm. That's ... intriguing. Nice demo.
Imagine community-built dashboards, custom visualizations, training plan tools. All running in the browser, all powered by your local GoldenCheetah data. Here's the proof of concept: goldencheetah-web-viewer.pages.sweatstack.dev
Getting the US into avoidable disaster in Iraq took months and months and months.
In Vietnam, it took years and years and years.
We are just three days into this totally unnecessary, one-man's-whim fiasco.
Heads up US demographers. Our main NIH study sections (SSPA/SSPB) are being disbanded. I don’t know what this means. public.csr.nih.gov/StudySection...
No one could have foreseen.
But to be fair, often I'm looking for things that stick out from the trend, not always the trend itself. Anyway, a change in slope is something that sticks out from a trend.
I often avoid parametric detrends at first; sometimes they work after I'm familiar with the reasons and sources of noise. When looking for a small change in something it's good to use techniques that don't enforce fit.
Trying to spot changes in the slope of a noisy trend can be hard. Sometimes it helps to remove the trend.
Salaire?
Wise words from *Dr* Guzzo:
“We spent decades shaming women for having kids under the wrong circumstances, for not having their ducks in a row,” said Ms. Guzzo, the demographer. “Now they are holding up their end of the bargain.”
www.nytimes.com/2026/02/27/u... @karenguzzo.bsky.social #demography
I was going to write, "FIFA wants its Peace Prize back," but actually FIFA doesn't really care.
The birthright citizenship IS an easy case. That’s the point. That’s the flex. “No matter what rights you think you have, no matter how universally acknowledged you think they are, no matter how central to American values those rights are, WE decide whether or not you have those rights”……
/1
The Washington Post's description of the bodycam video of his arrest last year, and the translation of Mr. Shah Alam's comments, is gutting. Remember, he was entirely blind in one eye and could only see three feet in the other, and he spoke virtually no English.
He spent a year in jail for this.
“I don’t give a fuck what that judge says, I do what I want.”
The judge in question: Judge Royce Lamberth.
Let's see how this goes.
www.lawdork.com/p/trans-inma...
They beat a blind refugee who speaks no English for failing to obey police commands he could not understand. Then instead of apologizing, they charged him with possession of a “weapon”—HIS WALKING STICK. Then they dumped him miles from home without notifying anyone, after which he was found dead.
But ... he's been so very very transparent. The most transparent.
