Shame you didn't have bench boost active ;)

TC Saka to maximise EV, variance or both?!

IPA plus wine combo, loving it!

Apocalypse ready <3

I'm guessing Fulham would have to win in the cup first though right?

I'll message you on the Discord tomorrow pal

There are models out there which are more accurate at predicting future player points than Review however, this is kinda irrelevant as far more points can be expected by solving scenarios, planning transfer paths and chip strategy flexibility etc.

Great pod, good length. Great to fill the break with proper FPL chat. Very funny too. Especially Mateta ear and Electric chair.

@ffscout-mark.bsky.social Hi Mark, this is Ryan I wrote a few stats based articles for Scout in the early days (under the name of Superior Being, cringe). I just wanted to say your interview on have a beer really struck a chord with me. I'm glad you have found balance in your life now. Best wishes.

I will. Intend to listen tomorrow when driving.

Looking forward to listening. FPL itself might be on a 2 week break. But my brain isn't.

Why do you want to keep Isak? I'm thinking of selling tonight

Palmer having a game in 29 is currently the dilemma I'm facing. I have 4FTs and do not want to sell Salah. My model has Salah much higher than Review. I have Salah much higher xPts than Haaland in GW30 too. But Palmer has a fixture with around 5 xPts despite common sense telling us he will get 2pts.

xHay

As a Wolves fan, I sincerely hope you are correct

Wolves average 0.8 goals per game without Cunha

If he plays the full game, blanks, faces a price drop and Isak is confirmed out, I might sell Palmer to fund Haaland a week early

Confidence booster for him

I guess with Marmoush taking away some of his xG share for half the price, many will look away from Haaland now.

Annoying isn't it. Tempted to just play the fixtures ahead of me and FH29 BB32. Don't want to wait another month for useful info.

Isn't Pep part of the cause here? Exercise control and play my system else you won't get picked.

Yeah agree with this 🐺

Man Of The Match is a great suggestion. The current system is a joke.

Thanks for this. Over 50% chance of getting 1 point or less. High unlikely upside though. This comes down to psychology. And position in mini leagues.

Coincidence you've said that, 55 has meaning for me. xSuperstition! But yeah 64-bit has a link to computers/analytics so understand you sticking :) Good luck this gameweek and thanks again for your fixture percentages.

Some managers are in both leagues. I haven't checked them all but Ben Crellin is in both. Is it worth making him/them choose one league to make the graphc a sharper comparison?

Arteta

Cheers JC

Same, I'm switching off. Fed up of constant bad luck. It's ridiculous now.

Thanks so much for this. A few podcasts are speculating we might not know the 33 doubles until 31 deadline. What percentage would you put on this being the case please?