JUST IN: Democrats flip a seat in the New Hampshire state House.
Dem Bobbi Boudman has won today’s special election, NHJournal reports.
(Boudman was the Dem nominee in 2024 & lost by 14%; Trump won here by 9%.)
This is Dems’ third legislative flip so far this year, after Texas and Arkansas.
Alt text: a Venn diagram with a large blue circle titled "Dumbest Shit You've Even Seen" slightly overlapping a red circle labelled "Most Evil Shit You've Even Seen". In between is a small purple crescent labeled "You Are Here".
If you listen carefully to the White House press secretary, her job, day and day out, is to look at you in the eye and say: "He is not insane. It all makes perfect sense."
I spent 45 minutes trying and failing to convince a full bird Colonel with multiple Afghanistan and Iraq deployments that Afghanistan is not an Arabic speaking country. I was helped in this discussion (to no avail) by two Afghan interpreters who were more polite than I was.
@drjenndowd.bsky.social Hey Jenn! Thanks for posting your paper! We went over it tonight in COVID-19 Data Discussions and the room had a **ton** of interesting questions!
Thank you so much for your work!
🙏🙏🙏
1/ Has life expectancy fully recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic? In a new pre-print, we find that 31 of 34 high-income countries had still not returned to their expected life expectancy trajectories five years after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6... #demography
This is great work, Jenn. Congratulations to you and the whole team. Important result.
7/ Our findings suggest that COVID-19 may not be a short-lived shock, but a multi-year disruption w/ lasting implications for population health. #mortality #demography #covid @oxpop.bsky.social @leverhulme.ac.uk @erc.europa.eu
3/ We show that this assumption is premature. Extending life expectancy estimates through 2024 for 34 high-income countries, we find that five years after the pandemic’s onset, 31 countries remain below their expected trajectories as projected by Lee-Carter forecasts.
HUZZAH!!!
It feels like Spring 2020. Informed people saw the Covid virus coming. I warned students Japan had closed its schools & that this was possible in the US. We bought groceries for a possible lock down while the clerk looked at us like we were crazy. Then over spring break the whole world changed.
an absolutely incredible thread about Why You Do Not Use the Plagiarism Machine to Do Your Job as an Attorney
*professionals
Today in Epstein accountability maybe...
"In his second term, Trump knew exactly what he wanted and who could give it to him. In many cases, that meant not just a weak choice but literally the worst possible choice, the person guaranteed to do maximal harm. In short, we have never seen quite this collection of clowns, cranks, and crooks."
‘Hey’ came before ‘hi,’ and ‘hi' came before ‘hello.’
‘Hi’ is most likely a variant of ‘hey.’
‘Hello’ is not related to either.
Goodbye.
there's this weird tendency to see Palestine as a load-bearing part of global systems of power or capital, rather than a marginalized population brutally oppressed by a fairly small state. A mirror image of the "Israel is the defender of the West' stuff.
Don't make me agree with Cato Institute professions, universe.
I think this story is a really good example for people to look at when it comes to understanding bias at NYT. It's not that the reporter, Dana Rubinstein, says anything outright false. But the framing, word choices, etc., add up to an unprofessional and biased account.
Theory: a hypothesis for which you have evidence.
(*looks at post*)
Checks out.
there it is
@roryjohnston.bsky.social on Odd Lots walking through the practical, material effects of even a mildly extended stoppage of traffic through Hormuz
as he says, it's so bad it's traditionally been used as a thought experiment for how bad things can get podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/r...
Stock has tanked because of fears over growth so the $CRM response is…structurally raising leverage? Oh boy.
*SALESFORCE PLANS TO SELL UP TO $25B OF BONDS TO FUND BUYBACKS
This looks like it could be a really handy tool.
www.imf.org/en/publicati...
BREAKING via @rchapoco.bsky.social: Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey Tuesday commuted the death sentence of Charles “Sonny” Burton to life imprisonment. Burton was scheduled to be executed on Thursday for the 1991 murder of Doug Battle, in which he was not the triggerman.
US Attorney using ChatGPT to make up its homework?
Judge now reciting the background. Renfer claimed the fabricated citations in this case were inadvertent and the result of accidentally filing an early draft. Upon review of Mr. Renfer's other filings, the court independently discovered other fabrications.
Today’s fun fact: the reason shipping lanes in the Baltic are so damn narrow is that there are anywhere from thirty to one hundred THOUSAND unexploded mines in the waterway from the World Wars, and the lanes are where the bottom has been swept
Like killing all those irritating "billionaires are bad guys actually" pieces...
"One question asked during the Q&A involved CNN, with Ellison responding that it was essential that new divisions maintain editorial independence. He also referred to CBS News having editorial independence as it is being restructured under Free Press editor Bari Weiss and TV veteran Tom Cibrowski."
I still think it's funny (and telling) that they think it assuages anybody's fear about CNN's editorial independence to tell them to look at what's happening under Bari Weiss at CBS News
"hopes were dashed. There was a lot of talk of storytelling and coming together, and Ellison was dismissive of reports of huge layoffs. Yet one person who attended the session adds, “We don’t believe him.”
trust those instincts
