120 Aotearoa

Party Vote | Taxpayers' Union-Curia.

Labour: 31.6% (-1.7)
National: 30% (-0.2)
Greens: 10.8% (+1.6)
ACT: 8.9% (+0.3)
NZF: 8.1% (-1)
TPM: 3.1% (-0.2)

Party Vote | 1News-Verian.

National: 36% (+2)
Labour: 35% (+3)
ACT: 10% (+2)
NZF: 9% (N/C)
Green: 7% (-4)
TPM: 1% (-2)

D: November 29 - December 3 | R: 1,007.

+/- October 2025.

Party Vote | Roy Morgan.

National: 33% (+1)
Labour: 28% (-2.5)
Greens: 14.5% (+2.5)
NZF: 9% (-0.5)
ACT: 8% (-)
TPM: 2% (-0.5)

D: October 27 - November 23

+/- October 2025.

On top of taking over the functions of regional councils, the new boards will be tasked with spearheading regional reorganisation, with the goal of unifying services and amagamating district councils where possible.

The government has announced plans to abolish elected Regional Councils and replace them with new Combined Territories Boards.

These boards are to be made up of mayors from the region’s city and district councils.

The Opportunities Party has rebranded as the Opportunity Party.

Their new leader is Qiulae Wong, a 37-year-old sustainability consultant from Auckland.

Party Vote | Talbot Mills/Anacta - via The Post

Labour: 38% (+3)
National: 33% (+4)
Greens: 9% (-1)
NZF: 8% (-4)
ACT: 7% (-1)
TPM: 2.4% (-1.2)

D: 1-10 November 2025 | R: 1,102

Seats in Parliament:

National: 41 (-8)
Labour: 35 (+1)
Greens: 18 (+3)
ACT: 10 (-1)
NZF: 9 (+1)
TPM: 7 (+1)

Party Vote | Roy Morgan

National: 32.5% (+2)
Labour: 27.5% (-1.5)
Greens: 14.5% (-1)
ACT: 7.5% (-3.5)
NZF: 7% (+1)
TPM: 5.5% (+2.5)
TOP: 4% (+1.5)

D: February 24 - March 23

+/- February 2025

Seats in Parliament:

National: 41 (-8)
Labour: 40 (+6)
Greens: 12 (-3)
ACT: 12 (+1)
NZF: 9 (+1)
TPM: 6 (-)

(+/- from current Parliament)

Preferred Prime Minister:

Christopher Luxon: 21.9%
Chris Hipkins: 20.9%

Party Vote | RNZ/Reid Research

National: 32.9%
Labour: 32.3%
Greens: 10%
ACT: 9.4%
NZF: 7.2%
TPM: 5%

D: 21 - 27 March 2025

Leadership Poll | Helen Clark Foundation-Talbot Mills

“Would having a strong leader who does not have to bother with Parliament and elections be a good way to govern NZ?”

Bad: 54%
Good: 32%
Don’t Know: 14%

D: Nov-Dec 2024.

Government performance has dropped by 0.5 to 4.2/10.

This is the lowest level of government performance since Ipsos began tracking in 2017.

Party best at managing the issues

Inflation/CoL:
National: 32% (-3)
Labour: 28% (-2)

Healthcare:
Labour: 36% (-)
National: 23% (-4)

Economy:
National: 36% (-4)
Labour: 29% (-)

Housing
Labour: 29% (-1)
National: 27% (-3)

Crime/L+O:
National: 36% (-3)
Labour: 22% (-1)

NEW:

Ipsos Issues Polling

Top 5 issues facing New Zealanders:

Inflation/Cost of living: 50% (-5)
Healthcare/hospitals: 41% (-)
Economy: 30% (+2)
Housing/price of housing: 27% (-1)
Crime/Law and order: 25% (-2)

Change from October 2024

RNZ to run political poll RNZ to run political poll

RNZ to start regular polling from April with Reid Research, which formally did polling for the now defunct Newshub/3 News.

www.rnz.co.nz/media/249

Government vs Opposition | February 2025.

Government's lead on the Opposition remains at 2 seats*.

Government (Nat-ACT-NZF): 61(-7)
Opposition (Lab-Grn-TPM): 59 (+4)

+/- Current Parliament.
*+/- Feb Average.

Parliamentary Projection | February 2025.

National: 41 (-8)
Labour: 38 (+4)
Green: 15 (N/C)
ACT: 12 (+1)
NZ First: 8 (N/C)
Māori: 6 (N/C)
TOP: 0 (N/C)

+/- Current Parliament.
*Parliament reduces to 120 seats on this projection.

Polling Average | February 2025.

National's lead on Labour decreases to 1.7% (-0.7*).

National: 32.49% (-5.59)
Labour: 30.75% (+3.83)
Green: 11.98% (+0.37)
ACT: 9.93% (+1.29)
NZ First: 6.32% (+0.23)
Māori: 4.60% (+1.52)
TOP: 1.70% (-0.52)

+/- 2023 Election.
*+/- Feb Average.