@christinastremming.bsky.social and I are very happy to present our paper on party reactions to external shocks. Main findings : Foreign policy events restructure party politics! You can find the full paper here: doi.org/10.1080/0964...
More details below.
What a fantastic programme! I’m delighted to be part of it and very much looking forward to present next week. Thank you for the invitation!
Can the impact of economic crises on political trust be mitigated? @charlotteboucher.fr studies the effect of different measures of social support on trust during the #COVID19 pandemic in Europe. More: buff.ly/htbkwaP
@sciencespo-cee.bsky.social @eurofound.europa.eu @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
🎉 NEW PUBLICATION🎉
Our paper on "the effect of symbolic policies on climate policy support" has just been published in the APSR ! @apsrjournal.bsky.social (open access)
The end of a long and rewarding journey with the best co-authors @malojan.bsky.social @luissattelmayer.bsky.social
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I was awarded an Excellence Scholarship from the Swiss government and have been based at the University of Basel since September. Thanks to the @polisciunibas.bsky.social and @denisetraber.bsky.social for hosting me here !
How did gender & attitudes towards gender and sexuality shape votes in the 2024 European Parliament elections in 🇫🇷? The results of our research with Nonna Mayer & @anjadurovic.bsky.social have just been published here: shs.cairn.info/revue-europe...
🧵(1/15)
Abstract It is widely accepted in political science – and remarkably established in public discourse – that status anxieties fuel a far right backlash against progressive politics. This narrative suggests that right-wing conservatives perceive the status of women, racial, or sexual minorities as threatening. Using open-ended survey questions fielded in Germany, we show that women and minorities indeed figure in people’s perceptions of status hierarchies, but in very specific ways: First, overall, people still perceive status as largely socioeconomically determined. Second, sociocultural groups figure in perceptions of who is gaining/losing status, less so in perceptions of the top/bottom of society. Third, more than conservative voters, it is social progressives who mention women and minorities as “winners”. While on race/ethnicity, we find evidence for a backlash, on gender and sexuality we find more evidence for a progressive momentum. This matters for progressive politics today and for how we empirically study status concerns.
New article out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Tabea Palmtag and @dpzollinger.bsky.social 📝
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
Excited to share that together with @malojan.bsky.social we’ve published a research note in #partypolitics introducing PartySOME, a comprehensive dataset on political parties’ social media activity. A thread 🧵 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
💫💫💫 Great News: We are over the moon that our paper "Election Pledges in Multiparty Governments: When do Voters Accept Non-Fulfillment?" is now published in BJPS @bjpols.bsky.social 🍾 🤗
👉🏻 doi.org/10.1017/S000...
w/ Juha Ylisalo, Katrin Praprotnik & @laurenzennser.bsky.social
🧵1/5
@dpzollinger.bsky.social and I are thrilled "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies" is out as an SI at @wepsocial.bsky.social!
Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan:
🧵⬇️
BJPolS abstract discussing the effects of extensive media exposure on public perceptions and normalization. It references specific research surveys conducted on Sky News UK and Australia, analyzing changes in public attitudes and policy effects due to media strategies.
NEW -
Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL
"exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population"
- @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Vicente Valentim, Elias Dinas, & I came together to do this paper because we have all long shared an intution: mainstream center-right rhetoric shapes democratic norms. The hard part? Showing it empirically. We make some headway in this new paper. Grateful to @bjpols.bsky.social for publishing.
Sur les deux côtés, graphique en forme de réseau dont les noeuds sont des icônes symbolisant des textes, des conversations, des pipelines, des outils, des idées, des tendances... Texte au milieu : CSS - Computational social sciences
Des méthodes computationnelles : pour quoi faire ? 🧐 - Collecter des données, souvent textuelles (scraping) - Préparer les données (nettoyage, découpage des données scrapées ; transcription automatique d'entretiens enregistrés) - Analyser, mesurer, classer. Par exemple : * mesurer la présence, la fréquence d'utilisation dans un large corpus d'un concept bien défini, grâce aux méthodes supervisées * laisser un modèle proposer une classification des données en regroupant les éléments par niveau de similarité (approches non supervisées)
Avec quels outils ? 🛠️ - Des langages de programmation : R, Python - Des grands modèles de langage (LLM) : BERT, GPT, LLaMA - Le code partagé par des collègues, sur GitHub, dans des methods papers - Des applications utilisant l'IA : pour automatiser les transcriptions, générer du code
Quels prérequis ? - Bien définir le concept à mesurer - Avoir des notions de base de programmation et de statistiques - Ces méthodes ne sont pas réservées à des data scientists : le "coût d'entrée" a diminué - Et des cours existent, comme celui donné par nos doctorants à l’Ecole de la recherche.
🔎Au CEE, la science politique fait parler les données massives.
Création de grands corpus, analyse grâce au machine learning et aux LLM : entretien avec Meryem Bezzaz, @malojan.bsky.social, @selmasarenkapa.bsky.social, @luissattelmayer.bsky.social, doctorant·es.
👉 www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...
EPSA 2025 - Madrid 26 - 28 June espanet.org
#EPSA2025 starts tomorrow!
A dozen of our scholars have papers on political lotteries, challenges to democracy, autocratic legacies, the fate of mainstream parties, group-targeting in politics and media, climate politics, culture wars / backfire...
👉Details here: www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...
🇪🇺🇦🇫 Published Today in CPS 🇪🇺🇦🇫
“Stand by those who share our values” – how refugees fleeing the Taliban improved European attitudes toward immigration
Article: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Pre-print: osf.io/preprints/os...
Thread: 1/8
EuroSpeech: Massive Multilingual Parliamentary Speech Corpus
- 78,100+ hours across 22 European languages
- 50,500+ hours of quality-filtered data (CER < 20%)
- Robust alignment algorithm for non-verbatim texts
- Dramatically expands resources for 19+ languages
huggingface.co/datasets/dis...
🚨 working paper (w. @morganlcj.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social): Protesters are not judged equally - even if tactics of groups are similar.
We ran an experiment in 🇩🇪 testing how people react to farmers vs. climate activists blocking roads.
What we find is disturbing:
osf.io/preprints/os...
Ich habe mit @tabouchadi.bsky.social für @volksverpetzer.de über den Forschungsstand zum Ausgrenzen rechtsextremer Parteien, ihrer Normalisierung in Politik und Medien und darüber gesprochen, was sich ändern muss, um die weitere Unterwanderung unserer Demokratie zu verhindern.
Should democracies ban parties that threaten democracy?
In the DEMOTRADEOFF project survey we asked people in 15 countries about this.
A short 🧵 with some results
Citizens are deeply divided about this issue
Support for bans is highest in 🇮🇱 🇮🇹 🇪🇸 🇳🇱 🇵🇹 🇨🇭 🇩🇪
www.dw.com/en/germany-i...
Huge thanks to everyone who made #COMPTEXT2025 happen - really enjoyed the panels, the talks, and the people!
After 3 packed days of research, workshops, and networking, #COMPTEXT2025 has officially wrapped up! In 48+ panels, 220+ presentations, and a full day of tutorials we received a great review of the state-of-the-art in our field. Thanks everyone and see you next year!
Framing the Domestic Economy: Media, Policy, and Public Perception Time: Friday, 25/Apr/2025: 10:45am - 12:15pm · Location: SR 04 Session Chair: Matilde Ceron, University of Salzburg Discussant: Hugo Subtil, University of Zurich Hidden barriers to open competition: Using text mining to uncover corrupt restrictions to competition in public procurement Eszter Katona1,3, Mihály Fazekas2,3 1Eötvös Loránd University, Hungary; 2Central European University; 3Government Transparency Institute From Prices to Politics: Framing the Causes of Inflation at the Federal Reserve (1970-2023) Benjamin Braun1, Jérôme Deyris2, Monica DiLeo3 1London School of Economics; 2Sciences Po, France; 3Hertie School, Berlin Salience and anti-elitism of wealth elites in UK newspapers Michael Kevin Vaughan London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom Shifting Priorities: How the New Economic Reality Influences Youth Perspectives in Türkiye Ayşe Zeynep Zülfikar1, Ubeyd Öktem1,2 1Koç University, Türkiye; 2Bilgi University, Türkiye
Discourses On Group Identities and Their Measurement Time: Saturday, 26/Apr/2025: 4:30pm - 6:00pm · Location: SR 06 Session Chair: Marvin Stecker, University of Vienna Discussant: Camilo Cristancho, Universitat de Barcelona Politicians’ discursive use of social identities and citizens’ self-identification Naama Rivlin-Angert1, Yael R. Kaplan2, Guy Mor-Lan3 1The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel; 2The Open University of Israel; 3The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel Is social group construction susceptible to crises? Selma Sarenkapa Sciences Po Paris, France SocialNER - A general method to detect social groups in computational text analysis Jonas Buettner, Pascal Jürgens, Nils Schwager Trier University, Germany Using LLMs to Detect Group Appeals in Parties’ Election Manifestos Will Horne1, Alona O. Dolinsky2, Lena Maria Huber3 1Clemson University; 2VU Amsterdam; 3MZES, University of Mannheim
Politics in Data, oven-ready: A Showcase Of New Datasets Time: Friday, 25/Apr/2025: 5:00pm - 6:15pm · Location: BIG Hörsaal lecture hall Session Chair: Christian Rauh, WZB Berlin Social Science Center Analyzing Sentiments towards the European Union in Slovak Parliamentary Speeches (1994–2023) Jakub Szabo Comenius University in Bratislava, Slovak Republic EuroParlBase: A Linked Database of European Parliament Data Verena Kunz University of Mannheim & GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences, Germany ParlLawSpeech Jan Schwalbach1, Lukas Hetzer2, Proksch Sven-Oliver2, Rauh Christian3, Sebők Miklós4 1Gesis Cologne; 2University of Cologne; 3WZB Berlin, University of Potsdam; 4Centre for Social Sciences Budapest The US Congressional Speeches Dataset, 1879-2022 Segun Aroyehun University of Konstanz, Germany The Weimar Parliament Database Benjamin Rohr1, John Levi Martin2, Jan Kamlah1, Julius Diener1, David Schweizer1 1University of Mannheim, Germany; 2University of Chicago, USA Group Appeals in Historical Perspective—Comparing Over 50 Years of Parties’ Election Campaign Communication with Social Groups. Alona O. Dolinsky1, Lena Maria Huber2, Will Horne3 1VU Amsterdam; 2MZES, University of Mannheim; 3Clemson University PartySoMe: Measuring party behavior and issue attention in 25 countries on Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and YouTube Luis Sattelmayer, Malo Jan SciencesPo Paris, France
Shaping Politics: Constituency Influence, Parliamentary Debates, and Voter Priorities through Data-Driven Insights Time: Saturday, 26/Apr/2025: 4:30pm - 6:00pm · Location: SR 04 Session Chair: Alex Hartland, University of Saarland Discussant: Nicolai Berk, ETH Zurich Representing Prestige and Debt: How Local Attributes Influence Saliency and Ideology in Higher Education Discourse Sarah King University College Dublin, Ireland Discourse about the Left and Right in a Postcommunist Context: The Czech Case Štěpán Jabůrek, Jan Vondráček, Vojtěch Pohanka, Tomáš Kremla Charles University, Czech Republic Different priorities, different phrasing: Exploring gender differences in open-text responses to the ‘most important issue’ question. Louise Luxton1, Ceri Fowler2 1University of Manchester; 2St Hilda's College, University of Oxford United We Stand, Divided We Fall: Mainstream Party Agreement and Vote Switching to Far Right Competitors Luis Sattelmayer SciencesPo Paris, France Meanings of "The West" in Central and Eastern European Party Rhetoric Silvia Porciuleanu European University Institute, Italy
3 young scholars from our centre present at #COMPTEXT2025 in Vienna on Fri & Sat:
@jdeyris.bsky.social on Fed discourses
@selmasarenkapa.bsky.social on social group constructions
@luissattelmayer.bsky.social on party positions
#TextAsData
cc @comptext.bsky.social @edr-sciencespo.bsky.social
Les promesses électorales n'engagent-elles que ceux qui les écoutent ? La délégation @cnrs-idf-villejuif.bsky.social m'a invitée à présenter mes recherches dans une petite vidéo 😊 Featuring @egrossman.bsky.social et @selmasarenkapa.bsky.social, et c'est par ici 👇
www.youtube.com/watch?v=M84O...
Now available Open Access:
📰 Does (immigration) framing influence public opinion?
🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
You wonder how the CDU/CSU playing with the "Brandmauer" to AfD last week has influenced German voters? @mafaldapratas.bsky.social @jmfernandes86.bsky.social & I have you covered. We surveyed sample of 2,000 German voters. 🧵with first results 👇. Spoiler: It did not go down as well as CDU/CSU hoped.
Grateful for the great experience at Gesis Fall Seminar! 🍂🫶🏼Spent two weeks of intense learning in Webscraping and Advanced Textual Analysis w @haukelicht.bsky.social, @allisonwkoh.bsky.social & Jennifer Scurell. Mind is officially blown now onto the actual work! Thanks to ScPo & CEE for the funding
Thanks a lot!
