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Dustin Fürst

@dustinfuerst

MENA & Geopolitics, Iran focused. Dabbling in security. SOAS & Uni Marburg Alumnus. Former President, current Member of the Board of Polis180. Views are my own. Reposts ≠ Endorsements.

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11.10.2023
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Latest posts by Dustin Fürst @dustinfuerst

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Trump and Rubio’s Vision of War: The Art of Destroy and Deal

NEW: Trump and Rubio's doctrine of destroy and deal — On wars and foreign policy, they combine neoconservatism with transactionalism. They prefer regime compliance, not change. They attack weaker powers while courting China and Russia. But Iran retaliates. Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2026/03/14/u...

14.03.2026 13:26 👍 95 🔁 40 💬 11 📌 6
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Hegseth ignored military officials when he slashed offices that limit risk to civilians The Defense secretary’s decision to cut offices that mitigate civilian harm faces renewed attention as the Pentagon investigates a strike that killed hundreds of Iranian children.

EXCLUSIVE: Military leaders warned Hegseth not to gut the offices that limit risk to civilians. He ignored them.

The decision faces renewed attention as the Pentagon investigates a strike on an Iranian girls’ school that killed hundreds of children.

13.03.2026 19:29 👍 1410 🔁 601 💬 75 📌 47

Europe is getting involved slowly but steadily. Whether it wants to or not.

12.03.2026 22:44 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The Autonomous Battlefield The U.S. military isn’t ready for it.

Read David Petraeus and Isaac C. Flanagan on why “the U.S. military must first develop sound operational and tactical concepts for autonomous warfare before fielding these systems at scale.”

12.03.2026 22:14 👍 12 🔁 7 💬 0 📌 1

All depending on the point of view. The Russian budget was calculated with a barrel price in mind, that so far was undercut, bleeding the Russians dry. That is changing now. And as long China continues to get oil out of the Persian Gulf...

12.03.2026 18:44 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Yes.

12.03.2026 18:08 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The whole planet world can pay more for petroleum products, and additionally loads of infrastructure is broken in Israel, Iran and in loads of other countries and we have a four digit civilian death count. Benefits? Khamenei the Elder being dead is somewhat universally cheered, but ... 🤷🏻‍♂️

12.03.2026 15:44 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

"The more THAADs and Patriots you shoot, the more risk you assume in the Indo-Pacific and in Ukraine"

11.03.2026 14:06 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Nur auf Verdacht: EU-Parlament stimmt gegen Massenüberwachung bei freiwilliger Chatkontrolle Das EU-Parlament hat die Erlaubnis zur freiwilligen Chatkontrolle nochmals erneuert – doch möchte das Scannen auf Verdachtsfälle beschränken. Mit dieser Position geht das Parlament nun in Verhandlunge...

Es gibt auch noch gute Nachrichten: Das Europäische Parlament will die freiwillige #Chatkontrolle auf Verdachtsfälle beschränken - und erteilt damit der Massenüberwachung eine Abfuhr.

netzpolitik.org/2026/nur-auf...

11.03.2026 13:34 👍 287 🔁 98 💬 3 📌 5
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Airstrike Hit Iranian Emergency Medical Base in Shiraz, Killing 20 Open-source evidence and satellite imagery show that the March 5 strike destroyed a first responders’ outpost in Zibashahr Park, leaving an identified military site 200 meters away untouched

New investigation from the Iran war by Nilo Tabrizy and Chris Osieck for New Lines:

Satellite imagery and open-source evidence show a March 5 airstrike destroyed an Iranian emergency medical base in a Shiraz park, while a military site 200 meters away was untouched newlinesmag.com/spotlight/ai...

08.03.2026 04:21 👍 16 🔁 16 💬 0 📌 1
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Will Iran’s Next Supreme Leader Be Its Last? Khamenei’s Succession Dilemma and the Future of the Islamic Republic

In a 2025 essay, Akbar Ganji argued that if Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is succeeded by his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran’s political system is unlikely to change:

08.03.2026 21:41 👍 11 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 1
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Neues Polizeigesetz im Innenausschuss Intelligente Videoüberwachung, künstliche Intelligenz, die soziale Netzwerke durchsucht und neue Regeln für Fußfesseln sind geplant.

Niedersachsen geht in die Topliga der Überwachungsstaaten.

Trauriges Bild der obsessiven Massenüberwachung für einen kommenden Polizeistaat " :|

Dobrindt findet das bestimmt wundervoll 🤢
#OffensichtlichVerfassungswidrig

Neues Polizeigesetz im Innenausschuss
...
www.ndr.de/fernsehen/se...

08.03.2026 11:47 👍 46 🔁 16 💬 1 📌 1
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Iran Abandons US GPS for China’s BeiDou, Redrawing the Strategic Map of Middle East Electronic Warfare - Defence Security Asia Iran has abandoned US GPS for China’s BeiDou navigation system, strengthening missile guidance, drone resilience and digital sovereignty while reshaping Middle East electronic warfare dynamics.

Interesting, TIL.

"BeiDou’s integrated short-message communication capability allows encrypted text transmission via satellite without reliance on terrestrial networks, provides Iran with an additional layer of command-and-control redundancy"
defencesecurityasia.com/en/iran-aban....

07.03.2026 12:49 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

"Special relationship" and all. More like abusive relationship.

07.03.2026 11:55 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Trump threatens ‘very hard’ strikes; Iran vows never to surrender The US-Israeli war against Iran has entered its second week with no signs of slowing down.

Iranian ayatollahs call to hasten announcement of supreme leader "to disappoint the enemy" and to "preserve unity of the nation, which is currently intact".

So it definitely isn't intact.

aje.news/ozn6u2?updat... via @aljazeera.com

07.03.2026 11:52 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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This is a real video from the official White House account on a war that is currently killing people. I don’t know how the US is going to come back from this.
The post was “JUSTICE THE AMERICAN WAY. 🇺🇸 🔥”

06.03.2026 08:22 👍 3603 🔁 1252 💬 728 📌 1256
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Satellite images from NASA Worldview on March 5 reveal the extent of the blackout in Cuba. A failure at the most important power plant, combined with the US blockade on fuel shipments in the country has left nearly 70% of the island's inhabitants without power.

06.03.2026 09:14 👍 316 🔁 169 💬 8 📌 13

Dann hoffen wir mal, dass das Kanzleramt das Formular für Great Power Politics rechtzeitig eingereicht hat. Mal sehen, wo das Geld für die notwendigen Rüstungsausgaben hergequetscht werden können, bei der Rente wird ja offenkundig nicht gespart werden.

06.03.2026 10:46 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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How China Sees the War in Iran Beijing is an unentangled superpower—but one with key interests at stake.

As war erupts in the Middle East again, China is keeping its distance.

04.03.2026 22:30 👍 8 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

He has a PhD in masochism? :o

02.03.2026 17:00 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

If it wasn't clear how little the current US admin understands how the region functions at all:

02.03.2026 10:05 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Also bisher gab es ja noch garkeine kohärente Begründung des Krieges, oder?

02.03.2026 10:04 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

Ohhhhhhhh pivot to WEST Asia, it all makes sense now

02.03.2026 09:11 👍 36 🔁 6 💬 0 📌 0
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Trapped in MS Office Seeking IT independence, Europe wants to escape Microsoft Office. The question is: where to?

„If Europe wants to prepare for digital conflicts, it should not just swap vendors. It should leave obsolete work models behind [, …] not replacing bad software with wobbly clones. Europe does not need a European Microsoft [but …] a post-Office model of writing, calculating, and presenting.“

01.03.2026 12:12 👍 28 🔁 7 💬 2 📌 1

Was nützt die semantisch saubere Attribuierung der Verantwortung für ein Morgen, wenn bereits gestern für die Entscheidungen von vorgestern (wie bereits im Fall des Iraks) niemand trotz dieser sehr theoretischen Verantwortung zur Rechenschaft gezogen werden?

01.03.2026 12:33 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Noteworthy, according to @spiegel.de, it was the Israeli government and not the US who informed the German government of the upcoming attack.

Since then, Merz and Netanyahu have spoken on the phone today.

28.02.2026 18:36 👍 31 🔁 13 💬 3 📌 1
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Iran Is Built to Withstand the Ayatollah's Assassination The U.S. and Israeli militaries are targeting Iran’s leaders—but that may only strengthen the state.

It is fairly easy, if there is a defined amount of heads to be cut off, and if the entity requires its head to survive in the first place. Or as @alihashem.bsky.social put it in @foreignpolicy.com foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/28/i...

28.02.2026 16:45 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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An Unpopular, Doomed, Bloody War People will die and nothing will be accomplished

My thoughts

open.substack.com/pub/musgrave...

28.02.2026 08:48 👍 693 🔁 206 💬 13 📌 20
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‘Significant damage’ to runway at Kuwait base hosting Italian troops: Italy An Iranian missile attack on Saturday caused “significant damage” to the runway of a Kuwait air base hosting Italian air force personnel, Italian Foreign

‘Significant damage’ to runway at Kuwait’s Ali Al Salem airbase hosting Italian troops: Italy ara.tv/062wp

28.02.2026 14:23 👍 17 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 0
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And @rferl.org.web.brid.gy reports another internet blackout from Iran.

28.02.2026 10:40 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0