Adam Messinger's Avatar

Adam Messinger

@adammessinger

144
Followers
163
Following
44
Posts
02.09.2023
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Adam Messinger @adammessinger

It's that time of year again when I bemoan the fact that the IRS doesn't maintain a portal where I can go and see all of the tax forms that institutions have filed on my behalf.

27.03.2025 18:09 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

My sense is that the problem is not that Trump was prosecuted, but that he wasn't efficiently prosecuted. As such he faced no consequences for his actions. The more minor of these were actions for which his DOJ had jailed Michael Cohen.

26.02.2025 19:27 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Tariffs Simulator (BETA) | The Observatory of Economic Complexity The OEC Tariff Simulator allows you to estimate the direct and indirect impact of tariffs.

I saw this today. Nice work from @cesifoti.bsky.social!
oec.world/en/tariff-si...

13.02.2025 17:13 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Many moving parts that are working at different time scales. Tariff is immediate, so prices rise. Some more geared than others, some more substitutable than others. At some point later, new factories are built and mines are dug. Equilibrium when? Hard to solve analytically!

04.02.2025 22:59 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Just that the other half of the Twitter refugees are there. Would be better if they were all in one place. Functionality wise it is essentially identical.

04.02.2025 21:39 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

It’s a shame that Threads and BlueSky aren’t integrated. Both products would be much better if they were.

04.02.2025 19:59 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

What's the limiting factor in getting there faster?

03.02.2025 22:06 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Do you have any simulation results that could help predict the impact of US tariffs? Even holding aside retaliation, the tariffs will likely have a series of impacts — would be great to know what they might be!

02.02.2025 18:00 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Observation after using OpenAI Operator — the thing really needs the equivalent of a query planner and optimizer. It often does things in a needlessly slow and expensive way.

31.01.2025 20:09 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Elon Musk's and X's Role in 2024 Election Interference The confessions of a concerned bird.

This all makes sense. Wonder if it’s true?
theconcernedbird.substack.com/p/elon-musks...

23.01.2025 13:52 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

All the pumice in Taupo made a big impression on me as a kid — throw a rock in from the beach and it just floats! Coromandel also neat — hot springs in the beach. And Bay of Islands — it’s remarkably tropical up in Northland!

02.01.2025 15:56 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

TIL: GPT and Gemini will give advice on making moonshine, but Claude will not.

02.01.2025 15:20 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Potatoes don't fear the reaper.

31.12.2024 17:02 👍 11 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Amazing that the world is in demographic decline and the major country that has the easiest time attracting people to come anyway is busy pissing away it’s edge.

27.12.2024 00:55 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Yep, there are a lot of folks doing pre-fab, especially at ADU sizes, for whatever reason there doesn't seem to be much interest in kits.

11.12.2024 15:57 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Sun Cable: Plibersek approves first stage of world’s biggest solar and battery project Updated: Federal environment minister Tanya Plibersek gives approval for first stage of Sun Cable, with enough solar and battery storage to provide 4 GW of continuous power to Darwin.

TIL that Buckminster Fuller proposed a worldwide power grid to share solar power. Made me think of this ambitious Singapore/Australia project.
reneweconomy.com.au/sun-cable-pl...

11.12.2024 15:55 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Is there any company trying to recreate the Sears mail-order home of years past? People evidently like them (I sure do) and so many of the nicest neighborhoods are rows of them. Would of course be even nicer if they were updated with insulation, etc.! Seems much more efficient than custom homes.

10.12.2024 23:01 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Not just this, but they should be subject to stricter laws than the general public. They would earn much more respect if they followed the military and held themselves to something like the UCMJ and had their own court martial process that was tougher than civilian court.

06.12.2024 23:40 👍 8 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Very little native vegetation remains on the most productive land, so the transition is all kind of water under the bridge. At this point it seems like what matters is the difference in the ongoing practices? And it seems like there is a big difference between the best and worst there.

24.11.2024 17:22 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Certainly not all types of crop production are equally nature-friendly though. The nuance matters a good deal.

24.11.2024 01:49 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Is it as straightforward as putting more batteries at each of these curtailment sites?

23.11.2024 13:19 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

It’s tragic that Jeffrey Epstein died without knowing he could have been Attorney General

21.11.2024 02:06 👍 1501 🔁 325 💬 38 📌 18

Doesn’t congestion pricing make driving better (though more expensive)? I mean, I’m all for it on that basis that we should tax externalities, but one of the effects is that people who can afford it don’t sit in as much traffic.

23.11.2024 02:21 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

As people get richer, transit need to get better to compete with the other options folks now have. I think the only way to avoid this is to continue to make transit better — faster, but also safer — as the neighborhood improves.

22.11.2024 13:19 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
5212 Broadway

This looks great!
www.5212broadway.com

21.11.2024 22:26 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

Reverse-seared NY strip. Bluelake beans with garlic. Baby gold potatoes with sour cream and thyme. Red cabbage and beet sauerkraut.

21.11.2024 02:54 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
Q3 2024 Equity Market Observations - Intech Intech 2Q24 Equity Market Observations report explores moderate shifts in the dynamics of the equity market, suggesting a departure from the recent trends.

Looks like Intech recently took down their Market Stress Monitor, but here is their most recent blog post on it.
www.intechinvestments.com/q3-2024-equi...

21.11.2024 00:02 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

I think we should make them fastest, easiest, cheapest by making them that way, not by kneecapping the alternatives! Besides, the original post on this thread (by Zipper) says self-driving cars will create "traffic-snarled cities" which seems like a great way to get people to look for a faster path!

19.11.2024 16:53 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Sure, advocate FOR Paris style bike lanes. Agree that they seem great. But that's different than advocating AGAINST self-driving cars.

19.11.2024 16:45 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Self-driving cars seem strictly better from a safety perspective, so we should take that win. Even while we also advocate for congestion pricing, mileage taxes, gas taxes, tire additive bans, or whatever the case may be.

19.11.2024 16:36 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0