Counting in Whitfield Co. is all done in the GA-14 special election:
The most Hispanic precincts and how they voted in 2024 vs tonight:
5A (64% Hispanic CVAP): Kamala +21, Dems +74
6A (69%): Kamala +23, Dems +64
AN (48%): Trump +14, Dems +30
ES (39%): Trump +41, GOP +4
GL (32%): Trump +39, GOP +13
Counting in Whitfield Co. is all done in the GA-14 special election:
The most Hispanic precincts and how they voted in 2024 vs tonight:
5A (64% Hispanic CVAP): Kamala +21, Dems +74
6A (69%): Kamala +23, Dems +64
AN (48%): Trump +14, Dems +30
ES (39%): Trump +41, GOP +4
GL (32%): Trump +39, GOP +13
One particular thing I'm watching in the Georgia 14 special election to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene: how does majority-Hispanic city Dalton in Whitfield County vote?
We know a Republican is going to win this seat, but will Democrats continue to overperform among Hispanic voters?
Brough is the highest-profile Republican to file against Min, whose Orange County district would have voted for Harris by 10 points. In Southern California, CA-47 is a lower priority for both parties than CA-45, CA-48, and probably even CA-40 at this point.
NEWS | Former California state Assemblyman Bill Brough (R) filed to run for Congress against Rep. Dave Min in CA-47.
In 2020, Brough was accused by at least 6 women of sexual assault or harassment. archive.ph/zdj24
Potential backlash to a last-minute maneuver by Steve Daines circumventing a GOP primary in favor of his chosen successor, plus an intriguing independent candidacy backed by some Democrats, makes Montana’s sleepy Senate race worth watching this fall.
Solid R ➡️ Likely R
My take:
Got some questions about my pickle pin last night — it’s a piece of Texas history!
Congressman Jake Pickle represented Austin for 32 years. A close confidant of LBJ, Pickle was one of the only Southern Democrats to vote for all three major Civil Rights laws of the 1960s.
For more than a decade, I lived undocumented in the US. Every day carried the same uncertainty and fear lived in my body - a tight chest, shallow breaths, racing heart. What I thought was my private, chronic dread has now become a shared national wound. This now-daily violence is not "law and order." It is terror inflicted on people who contribute, love, and build their lives here. It's devastatingly cruel and unAmerican •
John Fetterman’s wife Gisele posted this an hour ago in response to yesterday’s events but I haven’t seen the senator say anything publicly or issue any statements.
Five years ago Kash Patel went on rabid anti-Semite Stew Peters’ podcast to offer free legal services to Kyle Rittenhouse (rumble.com/vpi004-ritte...)
Patel later told the Senate Judiciary committee he wasn’t familiar with Peters despite appearing on his show 8 times.
Has any House member received more New York Times profiles than MGP on how she is the answer for Democrats? I count at least six since 2023, averaging about one every six months.
Readers of @InsideElections were the first to hear about Seth Bodnar’s potential Montana Senate run all the way back in July 2025! If you’re not reading our Senate overviews, you’re (way) behind. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
We’re calling it “Whiskey Fridays,” Lemon. It scores great with men age 38-52 who sleep in race car beds.
🚨Alaska Senate moves from Solid Republican to LEAN REPUBLICAN with former Rep. Mary Peltola’s entrance into the race.
Democrats have a narrow path to a Senate majority that got slightly wider today. Read more here: www.insideelections.com/news/article...
The gap between how the Democratic Party operates on social media and the party’s actual leaders has never been wider.
Democratic leaders have kept Mamdani at arms length for months. Meanwhile, on the official party TikTok:
Might have to start calling it the Weissand Effect
Not sure what this will ultimately accomplish for Weiss other than Streisand-effecting this story into the stratosphere when it eventually comes out.
It's mailbag time! Inside Elections is doing a mailbag podcast episode before we head into the holidays. Do you have a burning question about ghosts of elections past, present, or future?
Drop it below or send it to jacob@insideelections [dot] com and we'll try to answer it on the show!
It's mailbag time! Inside Elections is doing a mailbag podcast episode before we head into the holidays. Do you have a burning question about ghosts of elections past, present, or future?
Drop it below or send it to jacob@insideelections [dot] com and we'll try to answer it on the show!
The Cuellar episode is actually really illuminating.
It underscores how Trump sees pardons as transactional, whether explicitly stated or not: a pardon for loyalty and even a specific action.
It also shows how strong the power is: no take-backs if you get bamboozled!
If Democrats put up Clinton numbers with Hispanics and Biden/Beto numbers with white voters, they can win statewide. But they still only win 14 seats (+1).
They would need another 10% of juice to put the next tranche of seats in play. That means a double-digit statewide win...
Even in a universe where Democrats are winning statewide in Texas, the new map essentially limits their gains to one seat. Then there is a massive cliff before TX-24, the next best opportunity.
Under the old map they might be able to flip two seats.
There’s a lot of this sentiment over the past few weeks and re: Texas there’s just not evidence it’s true. There’s no universe in which the new map is worse for the GOP than the old map. It might not achieve all its goals in a Blue Wave, but would perform better than the old map.
SCOOP | Attorney Married to Ex-NFL Star Preps House Bid
In 2008, Plaxico Burress helped the Giants break the Patriots' 18-game win streak in Super Bowl XLII.
In 2026, can Tiffany Glenn Burress help the GOP break Dems' 15-term win streak in Passaic?
In this week's DDHQ Podcast, @geoffreyskelley.com talked Tennessee with @rubashkin.bsky.social from Inside Elections! They dug into the #TN07 special election result — especially the contest's high turnout — and what it may say about next year's midterms. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/tennessee-...
Davidson County early vote comes in at Behn +70, which is a little more than what she needs out of the populous county overall. If Election Day vote is Behn +65 or higher, hold onto your seats…
ICYMI — Inside Elections moved TN-07 from Solid Republican to Lean Republican two weeks ago. New poll last week from Emerson shows a dead heat in the Trump +22 seat. www.insideelections.com/news/article...
SCOOP | David Trone appears to be polling a primary challenge to Rep. April McClain Delaney — from the left.
It could set up an expensive and personal primary for Maryland's 6th District.
I got the full poll, which is still in the field. Read more:
SCOOP | David Trone appears to be polling a primary challenge to Rep. April McClain Delaney — from the left.
It could set up an expensive and personal primary for Maryland's 6th District.
I got the full poll, which is still in the field. Read more:
NEW | Democratic House Majority PAC is investing $1 million into Trump +22 district TN-07 across television and digital platforms. Special election is Dec. 2.
From HMP spox @cjwarnke:
Currently we see the House battlefield like so:
213 seats favoring GOP
210 seats favoring Dems
12 toss-ups
If Texas is using the old map, that looks more like:
GOP favored in 210
Dems favored in 214
Toss-up 11
