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Jean-Luc Picard

@voiceofpericles

Proctor ergo, proctor hoc - after this, therefore because of this. Philosophy, economics, politics, football, Wales, UK, climate change, gaming, LOTR, Dinosaurs and the stars.

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Latest posts by Jean-Luc Picard @voiceofpericles

Yes I've seen reports that they are offering to supply oil and gas to Europe to alleviate the crisis.

Orban and Fico are similarly pushing for sanctions to be "temporarily" lifted.

10.03.2026 13:45 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Farage wasn't very happy with her this morning. Threatened to jack it on and leave if she didn't listen to him.

10.03.2026 12:35 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The next step is for rising oil and gas prices in the US to give Trump a reason to restrict US Oil and Gas exports to Europe.

Europe will be faced with a choice, drop their sanctions against Russian oil and gas or try and reopen the Straight of Hormuz.

10.03.2026 11:28 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

note that it's the right-wing parties, who have complained that UK should have joined US strikes on Iran, who are now also demanding the Labour government steps up household help with energy bills

10.03.2026 11:20 πŸ‘ 294 πŸ” 69 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 5

Are they at the Four Seasons?

10.03.2026 10:52 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

With every passing day, the decision of Starmer and his cabinet a) not to join the Iranian war b) to delay access to bases looks wiser and wiser. Trump’s press conference last night shows he has no real idea what the objectives are and its duration is arbitrary.

10.03.2026 09:35 πŸ‘ 773 πŸ” 210 πŸ’¬ 41 πŸ“Œ 7

If the Iran War continues for a few more weeks I think it is entirely plausible that Trump panics at the rising oil and gas prices and restricts exports from the USA.

This will put Putin in an incredibly strong position to strong arm Europe over Ukraine as alternate sources of Oil and Gas run out.

10.03.2026 09:01 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

That's a quote for the ages

09.03.2026 20:32 πŸ‘ 217 πŸ” 48 πŸ’¬ 10 πŸ“Œ 0

In a phone interview, President Trump told me the war could be over soon: β€œI think the war is very complete, pretty much. They have no navy, no communications, they’ve got no Air Force.” He added that the U.S. is β€œvery far” ahead of his initial 4-5 week estimated time frame.-CBS News

09.03.2026 20:04 πŸ‘ 42 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 12 πŸ“Œ 4

Blair, Kemi and Nigel are doing a great job of putting across the case for war...

09.03.2026 18:15 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Strange. You'd think that the British people would be persuaded by such compelling arguments as 'we don't have a plan for regime change but a friend of a friend does' or 'Keir Starmer smells!'

09.03.2026 17:53 πŸ‘ 549 πŸ” 80 πŸ’¬ 27 πŸ“Œ 7

New from Parliament today: "The Electoral Commission has agreed to work with the Commission, Speaker and other parties to develop a campaigning code of conduct. The Commission is aiming to have a draft version in place ahead of the May 2026 elections that could be built upon for future elections."

09.03.2026 17:25 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

I think she is arrogant enough to believe that she, and she alone, is able to see past the noise, the bots and the algorithm.

09.03.2026 14:29 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man in a black shirt says " hang on this is gonna be bad " ALT: a man in a black shirt says " hang on this is gonna be bad "

Middle east countries will soon need to sell US equities to fund day to day spending.

They are already pausing investments. If they withdraw them altogether it will create a domino effect that will bring the entire AI tech boom crashing down.

09.03.2026 08:30 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 3

Decoupling would also highlight to people the cost of their gas related energy needs. Would be a pretty useful way to kill off political opposition to new renewable energy being built.

09.03.2026 07:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

That will only happen if Starmer has to guts to pin the coming depression on Donald Trump's disastrous decision to attack Iran, supported by Farage.

The press will try and pin what's coming on Starmer, either for not helping in Iran or for not foreseeing the repercussions of it.

09.03.2026 07:03 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is what you do when you know your ally is running low on air defence missiles...

08.03.2026 21:52 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

More and more I think the russian interference line re Brexit is actually cover for American and Israeli interference.

A united Europe is a competitor for the US. A UK inside a united Europe is not able to support Israel as readily as an independent one could.

07.03.2026 13:38 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Iran Crisis: They Wanted Sovereignty. Just Not Like This If anyone has ruined the special relationship, it's not Starmer- it's Trump

No legal basis. No clear objective. No exit. And much of Britain’s political class spent the week calling Starmer a coward for noticing.

Latest substack from me.

open.substack.com/pub/goodalla...

06.03.2026 18:52 πŸ‘ 835 πŸ” 241 πŸ’¬ 45 πŸ“Œ 28

This will result in some excruciatingly painful months for European countries reliant on middle eastern gas and oil.

In the medium term though it should result in a faster energy transition.

Ukraine proved we can't rely on Russian gas. Iran has proven we can't rely on middle eastern gas.

06.03.2026 16:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The mild panic in his eyes tell you everything you need to know.

"how do I tell this idiot to stop pointing a gun at me".

06.03.2026 15:52 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Great news. Good luck to them.

06.03.2026 14:27 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

He is an antique pig.

No wonder two female reform councillors quit this week because of chauvinistic behaviour from fellow Reformers.

It is a party (company?) created in his own image.

06.03.2026 14:14 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I just hope the editorial line becomes more pro Europe, if not pro EU and far less pro Trump. Feels like it can do that and still stay in line with conservative opinion. Tory voters are far more pro Europe and anti Trump than the current leader believes.

06.03.2026 14:10 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is bad.

Reality is beginning to shine through. Oil price surge will put additional pressure on companies and jobs.

All America needs now is the AI bubble to finally burst and it will make the 2008 crash and the Eurozone crisis look like minor fiscal events.

06.03.2026 13:59 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Honestly, if Trump is earnest in his belief that Putin is his friend, not his master, I don't think we actually want Trump to figure out the truth.

Can you imagine the stupidity of this regime in that situation? They would arrogantly start something they cannot stop and 10s of millions will die.

06.03.2026 13:23 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

1/ Update on the situation in the Middle East for people in Swansea.

Today marks the end of a long week, with conflict now impacting countries far beyond Iran.

06.03.2026 12:33 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Hmm. Maybe a better question is, is he anti Trump?

I vaguely recall Trump having a pop at Politico in the recent past.

06.03.2026 12:37 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Is this good news? Or bad news.

I have read conflicting reports of him being pro EU and anti EU.

Hopefully at the very least it is bad news for the Daily Mail.

06.03.2026 12:26 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

They already have a homeland. The Iraqis, Syrians, Turks and Iranians stop it it from ever becoming an independent country.

America uses them every time they need some insurgents and then abandon them to Turkish bombs the moment they have surpassed their usefulness.

06.03.2026 12:23 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0