The world is rightly concerned w/a potential water war in the Gulf, but there is silence (outside of expat media) of the crisis currently happening in Cuba. W/regular blackouts that can last for days & the lack of fuel to pump water, diseases are spreading & taps are running dry. Where's the media?!
With Trump openly threatening to commit war crimes on a historic scale, I am making this piece I wrote last November free. It hypothesizes that the future of war will be a combination of ranged fires and war crimes. It has come faster than expected. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
GrΓΌne 31,8 CDU 29,3 SPD 5,5 FDP 4,5 AfD 17,6 Linke 4,5 Andere 6,8
1. Hochrechnung Landtagswahl Baden-WΓΌrttemberg 2026 Gewinne und Verluste GrΓΌne -O,8 CDU +5,2 SPD -5,5 FDP -6,0 AfD +7.9 Linke +0,9 Andere -1,7
Hochrechnung 18.24 Uhr
Landtagswahl Baden-WΓΌrttemberg 2026 Sitzverteilung GrΓΌne 58 CDU 54 SPD 10 AfD 32
An analysis of over 14 million social media posts from accounts in Canada found that 87% of conspiratorial claims come from just 100 influencers.
This minority of users impacts politics, influencing what people view as normal and leads to self-censoring to avoid attacks from conspiracy theorists.
the Putin playbook. Accuse others, do it often enough and eventuelly the lie becomes the truth.
Ergebnis ist eine Momentaunahme des Meinungsspektrums in der Partei, mit dem Babler leben kann. GroΓbritanniens Premierminister Keir Starmer wΓΌrde sich so ein Ergebnis wΓΌnschen. Vor der nΓ€chsten NRW-Wahl wird der Richtungsstreit zwar wieder aufflackern, aber jetzt ist Verschnaufpause.
The Institute for Human Sciences (IWM) in Vienna, Austria invites applications for the position of Rector. This is an opportunity to lead an institution dedicated to the humanities and social sciences at a defining moment. Deadline 30 April 2026.
@iwm.at
www.iwm.at/jobs/iwm-rec...
The central argument in my book is that trump is using contrived emergencies in an effort to claim the kind of unlimited power asserted by 17th century British monarchs. The Iran War is one example of this.
Leavitt: "When he as commander in chief determines that Iran no longer poses a threat to the US and the goals of Operation Epic Fury have been fully realized, then Iran will essentially be in a place of unconditional surrender whether they say it themselves or not"
always loved this book
π
Political parties often adjust their strategies on emerging issues to broaden their support or π³οΈ regain lost voters
β οΈ However, this can be a risky move, especially if parties misjudge their electoral potential, writes @fabianhabersack.bsky.social
π bit.ly/41Yx1TL
@ecprpovb.bsky.social
Israel wants "Greater Israel"; article with links: https://sarahkendzior.substack.com/p/the-no-world-order
sarahkendzior.substack.com/p/the-no-wor...
If anyone is friends with any Georgian air traffic controllers, buy them a nice bottle of wine. As guardians of pretty much the only narrow gap still available between Europe and Asia that avoids both Iran, the Gulf, Ukraine and Russia, they are under some substantial pressure.
Via @larrysabato.bsky.social, there are periods where gas prices are highly correlated with presidential approval, most notably under George W. Bush. The US is more polarised today, but this still presents a major political/electoral threat for Trump and the GOP.
This is a real video from the official White House account on a war that is currently killing people. I donβt know how the US is going to come back from this.
The post was βJUSTICE THE AMERICAN WAY. πΊπΈ π₯β
New post: Can AI Replace Social Science Researchers? (No. No it can't. Come on, now.)
davekarpf.beehiiv.com/p/can-ai-rep...
A picture of PEW poll on global attitude survey, saying the % who rate the morality and ethics of people in their country as good vs bad, where the US has the worst rankings and Canada the best
Americans: we live in a fallen stateβembroiled by sin, cheating, lying, and evil. You cannot trust anyone, not even those who claim to know you best
Canadians: I love my neighbors and my friends!
what do americans think is the number one problem in the country? the government.
Die NSDAP kommt auf 43,9 %, die SPD, trotz der vielen Verhaftungen immer noch auf 18,3 %
Am 5. MΓ€rz 1933 war die letzte Reichtagswahl, an der mehr als eine Partei teilnahm und der von den Nazis erhoffte Erdrutschsieg fand trotz EinschΓΌchterungen, massenweise Folterungen und Verhaftungen nicht statt.
Guten Morgen
οΏΌ
The Iran/US/Israel war might have already broken the record for the highest number of AI-generated videos and images that have gone viral during a conflict.
Interestingly, I said the exact same thing right after the 12-day war in June.
Welcome to our brave new world of AI misinformation.
It is quite astonishing to remember the Iraq war, the demise of a brutal dictator there, the principled opposition of France and Germany, the chaos and regional instability that followed vindicating French and German opposition - and to see only Sanchez have the courage to take a stance.
Excellent, detailed and quite long read on oil & gas.
The nightmare Iran energy scenario is becoming reality
economist.com/finance-and-...
π₯New post | The majority of UK academic institutions now no longer post on X
βοΈ @andytattersall.bsky.social
#AcademicSky #X #AcademicSocialMedia
"UK: Yvette Cooper says plans under consideration to evacuate about 300,000 Britons from Middle East amid Iran war."
Wie soll das gehen?
In Iran, air power alone will not reshape the regime. Since WWI, dozens of U.S., Israeli & allied air campaigns have tried to force political change β none installed friendly governments. None! They strengthen nationalism and intensify resistance.
the guy who wrote the literal book on this stuff is dunking on the admin:
possibly the one woman in DC with a brain operating at full capacity?
new farage foreign policy dropping
I suppose I should have linked to my actual Bloc Parties piece with the carefully designed homage to Silent Alarm
benansell.substack.com/p/bloc-parties
