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Ben Radford

@benradford

Computational social science, machine learning, Bayesian stats, political conflict, forecasting, cybersecurity, international relations. www.benradford.com

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Latest posts by Ben Radford @benradford

Source: Havana Syndrome investigation is "a massive CIA cover-up" | 60 Minutes
Source: Havana Syndrome investigation is "a massive CIA cover-up" | 60 Minutes YouTube video by 60 Minutes

Bonkers

09.03.2026 23:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

My "the Department of DΜΆeΜΆfΜΆeΜΆnΜΆsΜΆeΜΆWar is not at war" t-shirt has people asking a lot of questions already answered by my t-shirt

07.03.2026 16:12 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I'm real bullish on AI capabilities. It's humans I'm skeptical of: I'm really worried about careless use of AI which is basically all I've seen so far

06.03.2026 01:25 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Counterpoint: Claude will make mediocre scientists more productive and excellent scientists who want to do novel work relatively less productive

06.03.2026 01:22 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Can you say more? Do you think AI increases the value of in-person relative to MOOCs?

05.03.2026 15:31 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

For example: I've reviewed complete jibberish papers now, submitted by serious scholars, who just didn't adequately vet whatever Claude gave them. If they can't do it, there's no hope for Joe B.A.

04.03.2026 23:44 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Now everyone can use Claude to be the next Avi Loeb...

04.03.2026 23:42 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I think this is correct but I think it will also make it much much harder for non-experts to assess expertise. I mean we already struggle with this ("OMG Dr. Oz says...") and it's only going to get worse. Convince your MBA boss that a solid PhD >> Claude 🀷🏼

04.03.2026 23:41 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Banana pudding is so much better than the sum of it's parts

26.02.2026 00:35 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

"AI isn't ready to write a paper on its own yet - it's just not a very good writer. But I let it do all my coding and analysis for me it's great at that."

24.02.2026 22:11 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

whichever part of writing a paper that you think AI can do better than humans is just the part of writing a paper that you are the worst at send tweet

24.02.2026 22:05 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The top scorer for Fri, Feb 20, 2026, UTC is: @benradford.bsky.social! They scored 360 points for #Wordle 1707 and solved it on row 1! That's better than 2,396 (~100%) other users. Never give up!

21.02.2026 00:03 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Wordle 1,707 1/6

🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

Finally

20.02.2026 05:14 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a close up of a woman 's face with the words skeptical sighing above her ALT: a close up of a woman 's face with the words skeptical sighing above her
19.02.2026 23:50 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Did I miss something?

19.02.2026 23:46 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

How so? If someone contributed language to the manuscript, they should be listed as an author, no?

16.02.2026 23:51 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Yikes 😬

16.02.2026 16:46 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Literally just heard someone on the phone in the elevator say "I'm calling to let senator fetterman know I'm alarmed and concerned..."

20.01.2026 16:11 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Baby bok choi is the cutest vegetable

16.01.2026 23:33 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

When the US military said it could fight simultaneous major wars on two fronts, who'd have thought those would be against Iran and Greenland?

14.01.2026 23:52 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Pentagon bought device through undercover operation some investigators suspect is linked to Havana Syndrome | CNN Politics The Defense Department has spent more than a year testing a device purchased in an undercover operation that some investigators think could be the cause of a series of mysterious ailments impacting sp...

Talk about an interesting conspiracy/mystery. holy cow

www.cnn.com/2026/01/13/p...

14.01.2026 04:26 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Sorry scientists, but coding is part of the learning process and offloading it to LLMs is equivalent to reading a paper, not writing one

10.01.2026 17:02 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

OMG yes I've been saying this! I would pay so much for an email service that charges the sender $0.05 per incoming message

04.10.2025 21:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Truncated or Censored Data

Is this not a right censored duration model problem? mc-stan.org/docs/stan-us...

27.09.2025 15:19 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Oops I meant Calley

20.09.2025 17:50 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I think soldiers under Callum were charged but not convicted for Mai Lai

20.09.2025 17:37 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Codebook LLMs: Evaluating LLMs as Measurement Tools for Political Science Concepts | Political Analysis | Cambridge Core Codebook LLMs: Evaluating LLMs as Measurement Tools for Political Science Concepts

Very excited that my paper with @katakeith.bsky.social is now out in @polanalysis.bsky.social. We investigate whether LLMs actually follow the instructions/definitions provided in codebooks, propose some diagnostics, and release a new evaluation dataset.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

19.09.2025 13:45 πŸ‘ 30 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2

what are the most widely read digital newspapers by web traffic across the US and EU? do you know of any current repositories?

16.09.2025 16:38 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 21 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 1

NASA maybe finding life on Mars doesn't even make the cut, huh?

13.09.2025 01:41 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Yesssssss ❀️ Snow Tha Product

22.08.2025 06:51 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0