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Probabilita

@dakoraa

Karolin Varner (they/them). Autistic sphere of doom. Ticcing trans* potato. Proovably queer cryptography engineer. Especially abled. @kora@chaos.social Formerly: @dakoraa (twitter)

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11.10.2023
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Latest posts by Probabilita @dakoraa

By the way, I think going strictly gluten-free pretty much cured my ME/CFS. I now go running and stuff. New life, new body, new outlook, less food though. Massive cravings for pizza.

12.03.2026 22:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

"Do you have a gluten-free meal? I have celiac disease."

"Not much, only bread. Have bread."

Airport employees. Such lovely people. So nice and friendly and so helpful. I wonder how they get their brain removed, though; that sounds medical.

12.03.2026 22:51 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Much strength to you!

12.03.2026 05:15 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I don't think it would. That's just straight up deceptive methodology.

P-hacking is more specific and refers to using statistical artifacts specifically. It can be applied to produce incorrect/deceptive results whether the methodology is sound or not.

11.03.2026 19:52 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This sounds suspiciously like P-Hacking to me, just looking at the 96.9% number. Its precisely using the 1/20 studies that happen to measure statistical artifacts.

bsky.app/profile/dako...

11.03.2026 02:44 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Data dredging - Wikipedia

I did not verify that this is exactly what happened here, but we all should get a little suspicious when we see numbers close to 1/20 in science.

There are other ways of faking study results to come close to this number, such as P-hacking.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_dr...

11.03.2026 02:43 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Imagine a zoo full of ducks and penguins.

Its 80.000 ducks and 20 penguins, but you don't know that. Instead you count; but not all of then. You just pick 20 animals at random and extrapolate.

There simply is some chance that you happen to pick penguin 20 times in a row by statistical accident.

11.03.2026 02:40 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Scientific studies often use whats called a P-value. Its a measure based in the statistics of the study indicating how likely the study is wrong by chance. A P-Value of 1 means "definitely wrong", 0 means "never wrong", 0.5 means "50/50" chance.

0.05, 1/20 chance is often used as a target value.

11.03.2026 02:40 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This study is deliberately measuring statistical noise.

Scientific papers using statistics have a chance of being wrong by looking at people who happen to be statistically unusual.

This chance is often calibrated so that: 1/20 scientific papers is wrong.

They are using exactly these studies here.

11.03.2026 02:40 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Congratulations! You look extremely cute together :)

08.03.2026 15:59 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It strikes me that the idea of descendants directly continuing their ancestors existence is patriarchal.

It justifies the violence parents and grandparents use to bend their children to their whim.

What is so depraved about patriarchs of any gender that they need heirs instead of children?

05.03.2026 12:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Besides supporting each other materially, we must honor them, by learning and respecting what they have to teach.

They must honor their descendants by doing the work of teaching and by making space for some of their being to be abandoned.

Death can not be subverted, we loose our dignity by trying.

05.03.2026 12:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

To elaborate on this: I believe that honoring our ancestors individually is about continuity, not about continuance.

We choose, we consent, to carry certain aspects of our ancestors into the future. Others we abandon.

That we both carry forward and abandon puts us into mutual relationship.

05.03.2026 12:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

It is my opinion, that shame about the past perpetuates historical trauma.

To heal historical wounds and to move forward, united, we must learn to face history without shame.

Building a future, requires knowledge of the past.

Make knowledge of the past and future-building into a radical act.

05.03.2026 12:04 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And if your family is blocking you, they are acting unethically. You have a right to know. Their shame is not your shame.

You should treat them with compassion, but stand your ground.

05.03.2026 11:58 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

If your ancestors received violence, you should know that. It affects you.

If they committed violence, you should know that. It affects you.

You are not responsible for how your ancestors behaved or how people treated them. It does affect you and you should know.

Abolish shame, learn history.

05.03.2026 11:55 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

If anybody here feels they need permission or they need someone to tell them: Do ancestor work. Figure out what your ancestors did, who they where, where they lived, where they come from.

Its important and affects you.

05.03.2026 11:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

You know, the good thing about many Asian cuisines is that many of them barely ever use wheat.

Except for soy sauce, that contains wheat.

05.03.2026 09:58 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

You know what really helps when I am in a super depressive mood? Eating something. You know what doesn't help as much? Eating protein bars as an emergency option.

At least I finally found some rice, vegetables and eggs.

05.03.2026 09:56 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I am in Taiwan and can't eat anything. Fuck my life. Fuck celiac.

05.03.2026 09:55 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Native BidaskΓ©: Leonard Peltier Reflects on His First Year After Prison
Native BidaskΓ©: Leonard Peltier Reflects on His First Year After Prison YouTube video by Native News Online

www.youtube.com/watch?v=-t6F...

02.03.2026 16:43 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Happinote - The Erasable Notebook Feel the freedom of erasable writing with the Happinote Erasable Notebook.

There are notebooks made of stone-based paper which allow water to be used to erase the text written cleanly, if your requirement is just that you can rewrite the text.

happinote.nl/en

They are also much cheaper than an eink tablet.

02.03.2026 17:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
GoGo Penguin - Jazz aΜ€ la Villette
GoGo Penguin - Jazz aΜ€ la Villette YouTube video by klp

Handgemachte trance: www.youtube.com/watch?v=x7Lm...

26.02.2026 10:26 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
MARTA - BIP (LIVE AT HOME)
MARTA - BIP (LIVE AT HOME) YouTube video by marta

Wenn "handgemacht" als QualitΓ€tskriterium fΓΌr Musik hervorgehoben wird, hΓΆre ich normalerweise auf, zuzuhΓΆren.
Das Àndert sich, wenn von handgemachtem Techno die Rede ist 😍

26.02.2026 08:21 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

I really appreciate this TikToker with Tourette syndrome, Shay, for taking the time to educate so many of us (including me) about her disability and coprolalia in light of what happened at the BAFTAs with John Davidson when Michael B. Jordan and Delroy Lindo were on stage.

I learned a lot.

23.02.2026 19:10 πŸ‘ 5112 πŸ” 1723 πŸ’¬ 75 πŸ“Œ 305

This need of old white men in particular produces a ridiculous, problematic, frustrating, and hurtful situation.

The more marginalized you are, the greater incentive you have to do something. Old white men's incentive is minimal.

This produces yet more hurt, in a spiral of hurt. What a shitshow.

24.02.2026 08:57 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It is startling and bizarre how there is such a radical lack of teaching about racism, social dynamics, kindness, and how entrenched these racist structures are to produce beings who seem to have genuine difficulty at acting…human, and kind.

Maybe someone must teach John Davidson how to handle this

24.02.2026 08:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

In the case I supported, the harm was clear and there was no tourette syndrome that would have externalized the hurt. Just an old white dude using a slur.

He wanted to apologize. I had to split-screen in and word-by-word them through it and stop them from using more slurs; they where willing.

24.02.2026 08:46 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Another thing: I personally forced old white men who used slurs publicly to apologize on the same public channel where they used the slurs.

Old white men have no clue at all how to handle a situation like that. Nobody taught them; they are completely inept. Gross failure of socialization.

24.02.2026 08:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Tics happen to you, they are not something you do. It is soul-crushing to take responsibility – to apologize – for something that is not a thing you did.

This is different from acknowledging harm though; harm can be acknowledged without positioning yourself as someone who has to apologize.

24.02.2026 08:35 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0