Over L4, 26.3 PPG
Averages:
SZN 22.1, Away 22
SEC play 23.8, Away 23
Recent guards vs Bama:
Kobe Knox 21
Metchie Johnson 26
AJ Storr 27
Tahaad Pettiford 25
Ja’Kobi Gillespie 24
Top 2 paced teams in the SEC
Bama ranks 343rd in points allowed
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The diaper dandy dominates 🍼
🐗 Darius Acuff o22.5 PTS
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#AllFire Amen Thompson 8+ REB
• (56% on the season)
• Pace-up game
• Great matchup
• 14 rebound chances per game
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Friday freebie 👀
Jaren Jackson Jr o28.5 PTS + REB
• 38 (vs NO) and 30 w/out Ja/Edey/Santi
• Pelicans allow the 7th most rebounds
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Sam Darnold FREE square on Sleeper until midnight!
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🏀 Jalen Johnson o35.5 PR (-115 Fanatics, 1u)
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Drop a ❤️ if you’re tailing!
The MVP and Queen💰(1u)
🟠 SGA 30+ PTS - 86% hit rate w/out J Dub. Raptors rank 20th in points allowed to PGS
🔴 Derik Queen 4+ AST - 63% hit rate w/Zion playing. Spurs rank 29th in assists allowed to centers
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🏀 Joel Embiid u12.5 REB + AST (-124 DraftKings, 1u)
- 84% hit rate - 10.3 RA/game
- Averaging 18.3 rebound chances + potential assists
- Raptors rank 10th in rebounds allowed + 3rd in assists allowed to centers
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FanDuel Wild Card boost 🚀
🐏 Kyren Williams 50+ rush yards
🐻 Kyle Monangai 25+ rush yards
80% hit rate over the L5. 55% on the season
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🦆 Dakorien Moore o2.5 receptions (-160 FanDuel, 1u)
🟡 Over 7/10 games - 6/6 in games with 4+ targets - 1/2 in the playoffs
📈 3rd in target share with missing 4 games
🛡️ 4 catches on 6 targets vs IU
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🦈 Trinidad Chambliss o19.5 pass completions (-138 FanDuel, 1u)
🔹 Over 9/12 starts - Over L5
📈 Averaging 26.5 completions in the playoffs on 37.5 attempts
🛡️ Miami allowed 22 to Julian Sayin + 25 to Marcel Reed
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🏀 Tyrese Maxey o35.5 PTS + AST (-125 Fanatics)
🔹 Over 5/6 w/Embiid, PG and Edgecombe playing (42.5 PA/game)
📈 Averaging 13.1 potential assists + 22.7 field goal attempts per game
🛡️ Nuggets rank 7th in PTS + 20th in AST allowed to PGs. 21st and 25th overall
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Taco Tuesday goblin pair 🌮🟢😈
🏀 SGA o29.5 PTS + REB
• 93% hit rate (37.4/game)
• 33 vs Spurs on 12/13
• Spurs bottom 5 for PTS allowed + bottom 10 for REB allowed to PGs
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Cooper Flagg o5.5 REB (-126 DraftKings)
• 67% hit rate on the road
• Over 2/2 vs the Pelicans (9, 7)
• Averaging 6.4 rebounds on 11.7 rebound chances
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Nico snagged 2 last week. Can he get 1 this week?
Raiders are allowing 3 TDs/game and 1 to WRs
📊 Trend found via Outlier insights (free trial in bio)
TreVeyon Henderson discount on Betr 🏷️
-170 implied odds based on the L10 games ➡️ +100 actual odds
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Josh Allen gimme pick on Underdog 🏷️
Essentially playing Gibbs for 100+ yards straight at +110. Odds on the books are -250+
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Sleeper discount double up 🏷️
-206 implied odds based on szn hit rates ➡️ -101 actual odds
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