's Avatar

@han-ol

Simulation, Bayes, trying to improve tools for science

68
Followers
348
Following
61
Posts
14.01.2025
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by @han-ol

The Anti-Autocracy Handbook: A Scholars' Guide to Navigating Democratic Backsliding The Anti-Autocracy Handbook is a call to action, resilience, and collective defence of democracy, truth, and academic freedom in the face of mounting authoritarianism. It tries to provide guidance to ...

Maybe you find value in this too:
zenodo.org/records/1569...

13.02.2026 14:09 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

An OpenClaw agent makes a pull request to matplotlib. Mainter rejects PR. The OpenClaw agent authors a blog post accusing the maintainer of discrimination and gatekeeping. Maintainer responds theshamblog.com/an-ai-agent-...

12.02.2026 17:37 πŸ‘ 29 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 2

On the publication bias discourse, I regret that metascience has become a source of decontextualized, low-res, bean-counting-focused `science is in crisis' narratives. It is largely uncurious abt science, desperately lacking in theory & measurement. I'll quote a few takes I liked & add my thoughts🧡

13.02.2026 00:41 πŸ‘ 122 πŸ” 32 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 12

Great news!

12.02.2026 23:31 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I would love to know what the good people at GRU, SWR and FSB are doing these days, while reality outperforms their wildest plots

20.01.2026 11:16 πŸ‘ 53 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 0
An email from Martin Peterson to university administrators.

An email from Martin Peterson to university administrators.

Martin Peterson's creative response to being banned from teaching Plato (shared with his permission).

08.01.2026 17:38 πŸ‘ 5155 πŸ” 1545 πŸ’¬ 61 πŸ“Œ 142
Preview
Context Widows or, of GPUs, LPUs, and Goal Displacement

Nature would do well to publish more content like this thoughtful piece from @kevinbaker.bsky.social and fewer Buzzfeed listicles gussied up as career advice "Five productivity hacks for using AI in your scientific workflow"

15.12.2025 19:13 πŸ‘ 130 πŸ” 39 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 15
Post image
26.11.2025 10:47 πŸ‘ 1297 πŸ” 302 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 13
Title of the editorial with a black and white and red journal logo.

Title of the editorial with a black and white and red journal logo.

The Editor in Chief of #HOPOS, Matthew J. Brown, sets out his vision for the future of the journal in a new #openaccess editorial. It is "part manifesto, part call for papers, part love letter to one of my favorite fields of study."

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....

26.11.2025 08:01 πŸ‘ 23 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Calls for permanent memorial in Limburg to black US liberators - DutchNews.nl Provincial councillors in Limburg have called for a permanent memorial to black American servicemen to be erected next to the US war cemetery in Margraten after it emerged that panels commemorating th...

A decent article about it: www.dutchnews.nl/2025/11/call...

11.11.2025 11:52 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I am so confused and intrigued. You were converted from first protesting against the play, then became a supporter? What changed? Is it the show is satire, like actually not β€œsynthetic” or something else?

05.10.2025 16:42 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Super cool! Since ensembling is so universally applicable across all statistical learning methods, this kind of thing is really impactful imo.
I also found that β€œemsembling > pure regularizing”, but I studied this in amortized Bayesian inference (ABI) Instead of NLP.

05.10.2025 16:27 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Su Shi (art name Dongpo), the famed Song Dynasty poet, was assigned to an official post at Guazhao, across the river from Jinshan Temple, where master Foyin of the Chan school of Buddhism resided. One day, Su Shi wrote a poem, and sent it across the river for Foyin to read. The poem read as follows:

Bowing with my highest respect
To the deva of devas
Whose fine light illuminates the whole universe, The eight winds cannot move me,
For I am sitting upright on the golden purple lotus blossom.

On reading the poem, Foyin wrote only the word "fart" in comment on the poem, and sent it back across the river. Opening the note and reading the comment, Su Shi was infuriated and crossed the river to argue with Foyin. On seeing the inflamed poet, Foyin only commented: "The eight winds cannot move me: one fart carries me across the river." Su Shi, embarrassed and chastened, returned to his home.

Su Shi (art name Dongpo), the famed Song Dynasty poet, was assigned to an official post at Guazhao, across the river from Jinshan Temple, where master Foyin of the Chan school of Buddhism resided. One day, Su Shi wrote a poem, and sent it across the river for Foyin to read. The poem read as follows: Bowing with my highest respect To the deva of devas Whose fine light illuminates the whole universe, The eight winds cannot move me, For I am sitting upright on the golden purple lotus blossom. On reading the poem, Foyin wrote only the word "fart" in comment on the poem, and sent it back across the river. Opening the note and reading the comment, Su Shi was infuriated and crossed the river to argue with Foyin. On seeing the inflamed poet, Foyin only commented: "The eight winds cannot move me: one fart carries me across the river." Su Shi, embarrassed and chastened, returned to his home.

deadsimpletech.com/blog/essay_o...

Great post on statements that are never meant to be believed, yet are still held dear, by @iris-meredith.bsky.social.

"No-nonsense" isn't easy to practice. Maybe getting better at spotting and naming the types of nonsense can redeem us?

30.09.2025 15:31 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

What existing meaning do you have in mind? Like, masturbation literally or another form of speech?

30.09.2025 15:20 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Schematic figure from Philipp et al. 2025: Top left panel shows a satellite photo of multiple ponds in a landscape, top right panel shows the plankton community within a single pond as scheme drawing; the bottom left panel shows how the habitat (pond) structure is abstraced to a habiat network; the bottom right panel shows how the local community structure is abstracted to an aggregated food web model. Altogether, this 'trophic metacommunity' can show self-organisation that appear as biomass differences between habitats (denoted as differently shaded nodes of green and blue in the bottom left panel)

Schematic figure from Philipp et al. 2025: Top left panel shows a satellite photo of multiple ponds in a landscape, top right panel shows the plankton community within a single pond as scheme drawing; the bottom left panel shows how the habitat (pond) structure is abstraced to a habiat network; the bottom right panel shows how the local community structure is abstracted to an aggregated food web model. Altogether, this 'trophic metacommunity' can show self-organisation that appear as biomass differences between habitats (denoted as differently shaded nodes of green and blue in the bottom left panel)

What a good start to the week: My first paper just got published in Oikos! 🌱
"Metacommunity connectance and emergent patterns drive diversity via spatial eco-evolutionary feedback" with Christian Guill and Toni Klauschies
doi.org/10.1002/oik....

#ecology #phdlife #phdchat

29.09.2025 13:45 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

OpenAI's rapid rush into education has been achieved by habituating users through training programs, institutional lock-ins, strategic marketing partnerships, and third party integrations that together are helping it become infrastructural to teaching and learning. It's going to be hard to get out.

26.09.2025 22:19 πŸ‘ 213 πŸ” 80 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 15

Mir ist noch nicht klar was sie Vergiftendes gesagt hat.
Machen Sie sich Sorgen, dass Kirk’s Fans sich angegriffen fΓΌhlen? Das wΓ€re nΓ€mlich kein KunststΓΌck. Die sind ja richtig versessen darauf sich mal pietΓ€tvoll und einfΓΌhlsam zu geben.
Offensichtlich wird gegiftet, aber durch Morddrohungen.

17.09.2025 06:23 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Ist diese Menschenfeindlichkeit subjektiv?

17.09.2025 06:06 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Es geht darum, dass es in die Γ–ffentlichkeit gehΓΆrt, wofΓΌr dieser Mann steht. Auch weil so mancher versucht ihn reinzuwaschen, damit er einen besseren MΓ€rtyrer abgibt.
Sie kΓΆnnen nicht ernsthaft fordern, dass das nicht nach Verurteilung des Attentats auch zur Sprache kommt.

17.09.2025 06:04 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Naja, was sagen Sie subjektiv dazu:

β€œYou could have like 'Brought to you by Coca Cola' and no, I'm not kidding. By the way, I would totally tune in to see some pedo get their head chopped off. Convicted by a jury of their peers. I'm talking about a real thing”
Kirk about wanting executions on TV.

17.09.2025 05:59 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Man muss sogar darauf hinweisen, wenn man einen klaren Kopf behalten will, alles andere wΓ€re eine Schieflage. Die Politisierung der Reaktionen auf diesen und nur diesen der kΓΌrzlichen politischen Morde in den USA passiert ja nicht in einem Vakuum.

17.09.2025 05:27 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Ihre Position schien vorher noch zu sein, dass etwa unsachlich und nicht objektiv sei, dass er extreme Ansichten vertritt und menschenverachtende Meinungen hat.
Beides lΓ€sst sich belegen, bzw nicht sachlicherweise von der Hand weisen. Sie fordern, aber haben selbst kein Argument vorgebracht. Oder?

17.09.2025 04:56 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Charlie Kirk, Redeemed: A Political Class Finds Its Lost Cause By ignoring the rhetoric and actions of the Turning Point USA founder, pundits and politicians are sanitizing his legacy.

Empfehle diese LektΓΌre.
Wer solche Haltungen für gemÀßigtes rechtes Spektrum hÀlt, sollte sich nicht mehr weiter bemühen sich naiv zu stellen und sympathisiert selbst mit Rechtsextremismus.
Falls ich irre, tut es mir Leid, aber ich brΓ€uchte erst Hinweise, dass Sie in good faith argumentieren.

17.09.2025 02:03 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Charlie Kirk: Joe Biden should be "put in prison and/or given the death penalty for crimes against America"

β€œJoe Biden is a bumbling dementia filled Alzheimer's corrupt tyrant who should honestly be put in prison and/or given the death penalty for his crimes against America.”

www.mediamatters.org/charlie-kirk...

17.09.2025 01:45 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Best piece yet on the new asymmetry in political morality

13.09.2025 08:28 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Agreed!
It is a poison, and it takes effect also by being used as excuse for applying a misguided and excessive weaponized antidote.
And further brutalization of politics.

13.09.2025 13:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
People are losing jobs due to social media posts about Charlie Kirk Some GOP officials want to clamp down on perceived expressions of schadenfreude about Charlie Kirk's death. Conservative activists are publicizing social media posts that are "celebrating" his death.

His death is tragic too, granted. But the one-sided scandalization of political commentary on the murder of this political commentator is a blatent attempt to instill fear. Real censorship. MAGA never cared about free speech.

www.npr.org/2025/09/13/n...

13.09.2025 13:32 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Almost rare these days - a statement regarding Russia signed by all 27 EU member states, thus including Hungary. This explicitly names Russia as the aggressor regarding Poland, vows further support to Ukraine and declared full solidarity with Poland. I guess not even Orban dared block this.

11.09.2025 05:49 πŸ‘ 470 πŸ” 154 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0

*weather

10.09.2025 13:45 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Just like any prediction model. Take weather for an example.

Model trained on past trajectories, still issues whether predictions; commonly the more specific term forecast is used.

There does not need to be a ground truth. Whether is chaotic + quantum randomness -> no ground truth.

10.09.2025 13:38 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0