Wonderful method by @sweiwang.bsky.social @cfcamerer.bsky.social et al on optimal design for pref parameter elicitation here: sites.pitt.edu/~swwang/pape...
Wonderful method by @sweiwang.bsky.social @cfcamerer.bsky.social et al on optimal design for pref parameter elicitation here: sites.pitt.edu/~swwang/pape...
New preprint with Lawrence Jin. We find that any effect of describing a prior to experimental participants is quickly crowded out by experience with that prior
Letβs ban Israeli students from attending Harvard in the name of squashing antisemitism, thatβll protect them
For those who are interested in digging deeper into this, Ryan has just posted a very thoughtful and thorough reply here: bit.ly/4bQk0P0
The student sample was conducted online too, though with more oversight via zoom. I think this pushes the debate from online vs. lab to online sample vs. student sample
Please join us this summer in Maastricht for the annual Experimental Finance Conference (June 12-14), and Summer School (June 10-11).
Some real interesting papers in this session βNeurofinance, Cognitionβ today, pushing on the idea that seeming departures from rational behavior wrt risk are actually just evidence of cognitive constraints, like limits on memory or attention
The models wonβt be βcompleteβ (every model is wrong etc), but they will be useful.
But this is a bet.
(Which is what makes the current period in BE so exciting)
Fin
Yes exactly, enter all the interesting work on description - experience gaps
Great thread. Itβs possible that noise in cognitive representation of probabilities (or proportions) are driving some of these results. So to the extent that thereβs more noise when probabilities arenβt explicitly presented in real world, perhaps youβd get broader scope of PT-like behavior
Your first point seems consistent with his conclusionsβ¦that these paradigms may have been measuring some information processing constraints rather than risk prefs all along?
2) all noisy coding models feature a prior which is first order for shaping choice, but irrelevant when perception isnβt noisy. To me, this is the key separating prediction and itβs testable at least experimentally
Agree that model fits are v useful but these new models do make some bold and testable predictions. (1) Enke & Graeber β23 show that empirical measures of cognitive uncertianty can explain choice bias and
This is great Danβcan you please add me? Thanks!