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Hein Goemans

@heingoemans

Galactic Effectuator (obvious Jack Vance aficionado); Professor of Political Science at the University of Rochester. Interests: war and war termination, territorial disputes, why do leaders and why do individuals fight?

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Latest posts by Hein Goemans @heingoemans

I’m sorry, you are right. I should have included the possibility of Iran mining the Strait of Hormuz in the war plan. It is a critical shipping channel that Iran can block and cripple the world economy. I failed to take that into account. That’s on me.

12.03.2026 01:56 👍 161 🔁 31 💬 2 📌 2

we have known about this threat for 20 years. amazing

12.03.2026 01:35 👍 272 🔁 41 💬 17 📌 0

Democrats are on the path to winning this year, but it is by default. The party has done a horrific job on politics from almost the minute Trump was defeated in 2020. So, sure, they are winning right now — but it’s because we have no other choices. Not exactly a ringing endorsement.

12.03.2026 00:38 👍 2475 🔁 335 💬 111 📌 62
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Fetterman doesn’t even give a shit about the kids in Iran. Let that in for a second.

12.03.2026 01:31 👍 7701 🔁 2586 💬 805 📌 260
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Escalating Hormuz Crisis Raises Specter of Prolonged Closure Hopes for quickly reviving trade through the strait are dimming without U.S. naval escorts as Iran steps up attacks.

The truth is, these are not very bright guys, and things got out of hand. www.wsj.com/world/middle...

12.03.2026 01:34 👍 592 🔁 111 💬 9 📌 5

Graham Platner's favorite Republican everyone.

11.03.2026 20:50 👍 194 🔁 101 💬 14 📌 6

Dems need more. To overcome the gerrymandering. Dems need to gain control in NC and elsewhere and re-write the maps.

12.03.2026 00:56 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Unfortunately Hegseth is a Confederate through and through. A dumb, drunken, bigoted, thoughtless ass, much more interested in preening than in accomplishing anything of actual value.

11.03.2026 23:49 👍 16 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

Again:

12.03.2026 00:02 👍 261 🔁 41 💬 2 📌 0

Since the beginning, we've been locked in a battle over whether we want to be a free country or a white country. And we may never resolve it permanently, but we should sure try.

12.03.2026 00:03 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

A scenario where Joint List achieves 17-20 mandates and refuses to let anyone form a government is probably, unironically, the best scenario for the Israeli elections.

11.03.2026 17:37 👍 55 🔁 6 💬 4 📌 0
Preview
מח״ט הבקעה לתושבים: ״הפלסטינים צפויים להתפנות משטחי C״ אל"ם גלעד שריקי סייר בקהילות פלסטיניות והזהיר מפני הריסות בתים ופינוי משטחי C. צה"ל: הסיור נועד "לתת תחושת ביטחון לתושבים״

A Israeli brigade commander told Palestinians in the Jordan valley that the IDF plans to remove all Palestinians currently living in "Area C" - that's 60% of the West Bank - within a year.

IDF spokesperson was asked for comment and did not deny this.

www.ha-makom.co.il/area-c-evacu...

11.03.2026 17:42 👍 139 🔁 109 💬 4 📌 6

Yeah. About that.

11.03.2026 03:22 👍 422 🔁 74 💬 15 📌 3

Of course, when this unit existed, it was just "PACOM" though we--I mean they--did a unit training focused on India for the 82d.

11.03.2026 04:13 👍 8 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0

You know, at one point we had a unit that did this exact kind of training, not just for the Middle East, but for INDOPACOM, EUCOM, & AFRICOM as well.

Gosh, wonder what happened to it?

11.03.2026 04:09 👍 66 🔁 7 💬 2 📌 0

Couldn't agree more. ⬇️

11.03.2026 00:13 👍 293 🔁 32 💬 0 📌 0

That counts twice.

11.03.2026 00:08 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Jake Tapper having an Israeli who has been repeatedly proven to be a paid-for propagandist on to explain the Iranian perspective and then having a raving lunatic on to rant about Mamdani's wife in back to back programs is really quite something. CNN has a perennial racist on its prime time.

11.03.2026 00:00 👍 348 🔁 58 💬 6 📌 0

One neglected cost of the war in Iran: the US is revealing a ton of its once-secret military capabilities to foreign adversaries like China and Russia. The longer the war drags on, the more chance for observation, and the greater the likelihood of devising countermeasures

10.03.2026 16:28 👍 103 🔁 33 💬 4 📌 1

Media coverage of this needs to start with informing people that the JCPOA existed, what it did, that it was working, & that Trump unilaterally destroyed it, & inform them that anything now is almost certain to fall short of that.

26.02.2026 16:30 👍 200 🔁 85 💬 3 📌 4

Jesus.

(Would weep.)

10.03.2026 21:09 👍 315 🔁 52 💬 24 📌 3

Please help me share the post below. I don’t have a huge following, but this nomination is a bit under the radar and deserves more attention. His committee vote is this Thursday.

10.03.2026 19:34 👍 268 🔁 259 💬 6 📌 6

Holy shit - this would be very, very bad:
"The databases, called “Numident” and the “Master Death File,” include records for more than 500 million living and dead Americans, including Social Security numbers, places and dates of birth, citizenship, race and ethnicity, and parents’ names."

10.03.2026 19:33 👍 2972 🔁 1472 💬 106 📌 69

There is no hope for the large conglomerates, but I really hope all the people who listened to the bullshit about how the continued flow of fossil fuels into this country was way more dependable than *checks notes* the sun rising every day take note.

10.03.2026 19:21 👍 322 🔁 56 💬 1 📌 3

If I'm not mistaken, this is one of the specialties of the Dutch navy?

10.03.2026 18:40 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Green win shows progressive voters are now voting against Labour as well as Reform Gorton and Denton byelection shatters Labour strategy of neglecting its core base while focusing on Reform defectors

I generally assume that political parties know what their constituencies think better than the rest of us do: they spend so much money on polling and focus groups.

But I would be *amazed* if they understood how viscerally they are loathed by young progressives for pushing trans people under a bus.

10.03.2026 13:22 👍 913 🔁 167 💬 49 📌 5

The politics and international relations press as well:

“Greatest source of US soft power and global cultural influence cut by 33%” seems like a big deal too.

10.03.2026 15:42 👍 64 🔁 21 💬 0 📌 0
NYT: Rashida Tlaib’s Expletive-Laden Cry to Impeach Trump Upends Democrats’ Talking Points

NYT: Rashida Tlaib’s Expletive-Laden Cry to Impeach Trump Upends Democrats’ Talking Points

NYT search result showing no results for Andy Ogles

NYT search result showing no results for Andy Ogles

NYT when a Muslim congresswoman says “motherfucker”: This is a problem for Democrats

NYT when a Christian Republican congressman says “Muslims don't belong in American society”: 0 results

10.03.2026 17:01 👍 1569 🔁 416 💬 12 📌 8

This constantly repeated scenario of hundreds of thousands fleeing from one bombed out location only to then be forced to flee from another. What a moral stain.

10.03.2026 17:14 👍 299 🔁 77 💬 2 📌 0
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goddamn is this a breath of fresh air after Allred 2024

10.03.2026 03:56 👍 16988 🔁 3910 💬 167 📌 157