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Jason Keiber

@jasonkeiber

Professor of International Relations Technology & Security is my beat Baldwin Wallace University Ohio State alumnus

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Latest posts by Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber

Breaking News: Trump says Iran has tomahawk cruise missiles. 😳

09.03.2026 22:12 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
...and remember, war is the easy part! And a few musing on teaching international politics

A stupid war, and war is the easy part open.substack.com/pub/needinpu...

09.03.2026 21:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

So Rubio's just explained that the imminent threat of an Iranian attack is in the form of Iran's certain retaliation to an imminent Israeli attack. cool cool cool

02.03.2026 20:50 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I just had a premonition that Trump will use the SOTU to announce military strikes against Iran.

23.02.2026 03:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

#facts

28.01.2026 03:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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A DHS statement claimed β€œan individual approached US Border Patrol officers” with β€œa handgun” in the Alex Pretti shooting incident. A Bellingcat analysis of the footage appears to show that a gun was taken away from where Pretti was situated by an agent just before the first shot was fired.

24.01.2026 22:29 πŸ‘ 1389 πŸ” 587 πŸ’¬ 39 πŸ“Œ 72

The Trump-Vance administration just used your taxes to pay for ICE agents to kill a 37-year-old nurse, who was only there because another ICE agent killed a 37-year-old mother of three, who was only there because ICE agents are kidnapping your neighbors

24.01.2026 19:43 πŸ‘ 3043 πŸ” 1002 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 28

Very cool piece by @jeremywallace.bsky.social highlights (a) the fast pace of solar power and (b) its non-obvious chaotic implications. It further highlights how Trump is positioning the U.S. to succeed in the early 20th century.

22.01.2026 15:06 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This Davos speech is deeply embarrassing.

21.01.2026 14:13 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

What was your undergraduate/grad degrees in? I am a professor of political science and am always interested in learning about career paths so I can share w my students.

15.01.2026 02:17 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

I saw this after digesting the atrocious murder of Renee Good, and I welled up with sadness and rage.

08.01.2026 03:02 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And all the cultural and creative works they produce, 99.99% of which I will never be exposed to. 😳

15.12.2025 23:09 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This is fantastic.

06.12.2025 17:39 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It is so frustrating.

23.11.2025 15:12 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

In Bovino's upside down world, there is no difference between an armed gang member preying on others in his community and a guy working 12 hours a day washing cars, flipping burgers, or installing sheetrock to feed his family β€” and he wants you to hate and fear both men equally.

13.11.2025 19:49 πŸ‘ 3450 πŸ” 1101 πŸ’¬ 196 πŸ“Œ 50

The story of my semester.

05.11.2025 03:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Bill Melugin
@BillMelugin_
BREAKING: Per four senior DHS & Trump admin sources, a mass removal of ICE leadership around the country is underway, with up to 12 ICE field office chiefs being removed & reassigned in an effort to increase deportation numbers. I'm told the move is spearheaded by Corey Lewandowski, and a handful of the ICE Chiefs will likely be replaced by Border Patrol & CBP officials, some of whom will be hand-picked by aggressive & controversial Border Patrol Commander Greg Bovino. I'm told some of the ICE leadership removed from their positions include the ICE Field Office Directors in:

- Los Angeles
- Phoenix
- Philadelphia
- Denver
- El Paso
- San Diego
- Seattle/Portland
- New Orleans

Border Patrol officials taking over ICE leadership positions would be extremely significant, as Border Patrol and ICE do different things, and I've done numerous ride-alongs/embeds with both.

Bill Melugin @BillMelugin_ BREAKING: Per four senior DHS & Trump admin sources, a mass removal of ICE leadership around the country is underway, with up to 12 ICE field office chiefs being removed & reassigned in an effort to increase deportation numbers. I'm told the move is spearheaded by Corey Lewandowski, and a handful of the ICE Chiefs will likely be replaced by Border Patrol & CBP officials, some of whom will be hand-picked by aggressive & controversial Border Patrol Commander Greg Bovino. I'm told some of the ICE leadership removed from their positions include the ICE Field Office Directors in: - Los Angeles - Phoenix - Philadelphia - Denver - El Paso - San Diego - Seattle/Portland - New Orleans Border Patrol officials taking over ICE leadership positions would be extremely significant, as Border Patrol and ICE do different things, and I've done numerous ride-alongs/embeds with both.

Generally speaking, ICE typically conducts very targeted operations, largely going after criminal illegal aliens or those with deportation orders, but almost always knowing who they are targeting for arrest, often conducting surveillance to learn their schedules before and waiting hours before arresting them if needed.

Border Patrol, under Trump 2.0, while sometimes doing their own targeted operations, has been extremely aggressive and has been at the forefront of some of the most controversial immigration enforcement operations we've seen so far, carrying out roving patrols in Los Angeles, Chicago, etc, often at Home Depot, car washes, flea markets etc, leading to a handful of federal judges around the country issuing injunctions against them. A majority of the viral videos you see online are Border Patrol agents, including the use of a Trojan horse style Penske moving truck at a Los Angeles Home Depot, an operation organized by Bovino. 

ICE often gets blamed for what Border Patrol does, as the media and activists often cannot tell the difference between federal agents, and everyone is called "ICE". I'm told there are growing concerns about the political and PR fallout associated with some of the roving patrols Border Patrol is conducting as lawsuits continue to stack up and mid-terms approach next year.

Generally speaking, ICE typically conducts very targeted operations, largely going after criminal illegal aliens or those with deportation orders, but almost always knowing who they are targeting for arrest, often conducting surveillance to learn their schedules before and waiting hours before arresting them if needed. Border Patrol, under Trump 2.0, while sometimes doing their own targeted operations, has been extremely aggressive and has been at the forefront of some of the most controversial immigration enforcement operations we've seen so far, carrying out roving patrols in Los Angeles, Chicago, etc, often at Home Depot, car washes, flea markets etc, leading to a handful of federal judges around the country issuing injunctions against them. A majority of the viral videos you see online are Border Patrol agents, including the use of a Trojan horse style Penske moving truck at a Los Angeles Home Depot, an operation organized by Bovino. ICE often gets blamed for what Border Patrol does, as the media and activists often cannot tell the difference between federal agents, and everyone is called "ICE". I'm told there are growing concerns about the political and PR fallout associated with some of the roving patrols Border Patrol is conducting as lawsuits continue to stack up and mid-terms approach next year.

I'm told there is significant friction within different wings of DHS and the administration, with Border Czar Tom Homan & ICE Director Todd Lyons preferring to prioritize targeting criminal aliens & the "worst of the worst" or those with deportation orders, while DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, Corey Lewandowski, and BP Commander Bovino prefer to use aggressive tactics to arrest anyone in the US illegally, including but not limited to criminals, to ramp up deportation numbers and achieve President Trump's promises of mass deportations. 

I am hearing from both sides of this friction.

One senior DHS official tells me:

"ICE started with the worst of the worst, knowing every target they are hitting, but since Border Patrol started in LA in June, we've (DHS) lost our focus, going too hard, too fast, with limited prioritization. It's getting numbers, but at what cost?".

Border Patrol agents I've talked to defend their tactics, with one telling me:

"What did everyone think mass deportations meant? Only the worst? Tom Homan has said it himself, anyone in the US illegally is on the table."

I'm told there is significant friction within different wings of DHS and the administration, with Border Czar Tom Homan & ICE Director Todd Lyons preferring to prioritize targeting criminal aliens & the "worst of the worst" or those with deportation orders, while DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, Corey Lewandowski, and BP Commander Bovino prefer to use aggressive tactics to arrest anyone in the US illegally, including but not limited to criminals, to ramp up deportation numbers and achieve President Trump's promises of mass deportations. I am hearing from both sides of this friction. One senior DHS official tells me: "ICE started with the worst of the worst, knowing every target they are hitting, but since Border Patrol started in LA in June, we've (DHS) lost our focus, going too hard, too fast, with limited prioritization. It's getting numbers, but at what cost?". Border Patrol agents I've talked to defend their tactics, with one telling me: "What did everyone think mass deportations meant? Only the worst? Tom Homan has said it himself, anyone in the US illegally is on the table."

It's quite a situation, as both sides of this are on the same team, with the same end goals, but different perspectives on how to get there. 

Another DHS official confirmed the personnel changes to me on deep background, adding that the moves are based on performance and doing what is needed to achieve the best results. 

Official statement to 
@FoxNews
 via 
@TriciaOhio
:

"While we have no personnel changes to announce at this time, the Trump Administration remains laser focused on delivering results and removing violent criminal illegal aliens from this country."
7:57 PM Β· Oct 27, 2025
Β·
29.6K
 Views

It's quite a situation, as both sides of this are on the same team, with the same end goals, but different perspectives on how to get there. Another DHS official confirmed the personnel changes to me on deep background, adding that the moves are based on performance and doing what is needed to achieve the best results. Official statement to @FoxNews via @TriciaOhio : "While we have no personnel changes to announce at this time, the Trump Administration remains laser focused on delivering results and removing violent criminal illegal aliens from this country." 7:57 PM Β· Oct 27, 2025 Β· 29.6K Views

🚨BIG changes happening -- ICE leadership is being purged tonight. The old guard, which prioritized targeted enforcement operations aimed at people with criminal records, is being replaced with Border Patrol and Gregory Bovino's "Midway Blitz" style.

Think things are bad now? It'll get worse.

28.10.2025 00:27 πŸ‘ 7407 πŸ” 4226 πŸ’¬ 264 πŸ“Œ 580

how do I like a post more than once?

27.10.2025 10:59 πŸ‘ 70 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

These charts are fun. I’m going to have my students play with your data set. Thanks for putting that together!

14.10.2025 11:46 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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OMB deletes reference to law guaranteeing backpay to furloughed feds from shutdown guidance An Office of Management and Budget FAQ document now states that only excepted employees forced to work without pay are guaranteed backpay at the conclusion of a lapse in appropriations.

If you didn't realize this earlier, this latest action by the Administration amply demonstrates it does not have the back of federal workers.

www.govexec.com/pay-benefits...

07.10.2025 15:07 πŸ‘ 1037 πŸ” 412 πŸ’¬ 70 πŸ“Œ 32

OpenAI's Sora 2 release gives us a glimpse of how AI video can exist as social media. It also becomes clear how advertising can be slotted in. #OpenAI

30.09.2025 18:10 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Nothing shows respect for the military better than a sleepy speech rambling incoherently about paper stock and the "two N words" you can't say. A true blessing for the top brass.

30.09.2025 14:01 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Im begging the NYT to spend time talking to people who actually teach and work at universities. Especially ones that don't have billion dollar endowments.

My issues are AI use, crumbling infrastructure, vanishing staff, unfunded state mandates, a customer service model of education...

25.09.2025 16:08 πŸ‘ 540 πŸ” 130 πŸ’¬ 25 πŸ“Œ 21

Trump’s profound ignorance and incomprehensible meandering speech never ceases to amaze me.

23.09.2025 14:58 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Watching Trump with Starmer and I am reminded of the President's work in settling the war between <checks notes> Aberbaijan and Albania.

18.09.2025 14:42 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This looks fantastic!

18.09.2025 11:38 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

this is hilarious.

17.09.2025 19:46 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

people pretend that debate signals and defends a commitment to high minded politics. what it elevates instead is performative dishonesty as a basic mode of politics

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

11.09.2025 15:04 πŸ‘ 2379 πŸ” 438 πŸ’¬ 50 πŸ“Œ 50

lol

12.09.2025 18:14 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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This is a damning anecdote from Rep Jim McGovern. He tells me that during debate over Trump's big budget bill, House Rs privately admitted to him that it would screw over their own constituents, yet they had to vote for it anyway.

Read all of it. He wrecks them:

newrepublic.com/article/1999...

04.09.2025 12:23 πŸ‘ 3894 πŸ” 1648 πŸ’¬ 227 πŸ“Œ 173