Michael Turton

It's as bad as you think it is.

First, China’s domestic economic risks. These include a sharp decline in foreign investment, high youth unemployment, weak consumer momentum, a sluggish real estate market, and overcapacity resulting from extensive state subsidies. Fierce domestic competition, deflationary pressures, and persistently low prices have further eroded profit margins, affecting the profitability of Taiwanese businesses in mainland China. Second, China’s external economic risks. The United States continues its tariff war and its technological containment measures against China, and financial warfare may follow in the future. Meanwhile, Chinese products are being dumped on global markets, prompting trade retaliation from various countries, with Taiwanese businesspeople operating in mainland China suffering collateral impacts. Third, political risks. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) military aircraft and vessels continue to harass Taiwan, and targeted military exercises have become routine, drawing increasing international concern over the potential for conflict in the Taiwan Strait. In addition, citing national security and the so-called “punishing Taiwan independence,” the CCP has introduced a series of national-security-related laws, intensified legal warfare through “long-arm jurisdiction” and “transnational repression” targeting Taiwan, and encouraged its public reporting mechanisms. These measures expose Taiwanese businesses to the risks of property loss and restrictions on personal freedom. https://www.mac.gov.tw/en/News_Content.aspx?n=A921DFB2651FF92F&sms=37838322A6DA5E79&s=82119DC0F9B9699A

Choices in the Face of Risk 　　In the past, Taiwanese businesses were able to navigate both sides of the Taiwan Strait with relative ease, but now find themselves caught between competing pressures. Scholars and experts have proposed three feasible paths for your reference. 　　First, export-oriented Taiwanese businesses may adopt a “China Plus One” strategy, pursue global diversification, and diversify risk, such as by expanding into ASEAN markets, Mexico, or reinvesting in Taiwan. 　　Second, Taiwanese businesses primarily focused on China’s domestic market may pursue local transformation and deeper engagement, striving to integrate into local supply chains. However, they must be mindful of the risks of domestic competition. 　　Third, Taiwanese businesses operating in low-margin and high-risk industries are advised to secure returns and gradually adjust or scale back investments. 　　No matter which path Taiwanese businesses ultimately decide to take, the MOEA, the MAC, and the SEF together form a solid triangle of service and support for Taiwanese businesses, and will do everything in our capacity to assist you. https://www.mac.gov.tw/en/News_Content.aspx?n=A921DFB2651FF92F&sms=37838322A6DA5E79&s=82119DC0F9B9699A

Businesses in China face three major #risks, says the #Taiwanese agency for #China affairs — domestic economic risks, external economic risks, political risks.

Export-oriented Taiwanese businesses should diversify; low-margin, high-risk sectors advised to secure returns and scale back investments.

Mr. President, We Need to Talk About China The Chinese Economy is Not Going to Deliver what President Trump Wants in Terms of US Exports and Creating US Jobs.

Starmer should take note that this works for the UK too:

‘If we are waiting for a Chinese middle-class spending spree to save American agriculture, manufacturing, or even services, we are waiting for a ship that has already hit the reef’.

While the actual structures are not visible through the tree canopy, this is roughly its location.

Another time growing up, I slid down a forested embankment and found a pretty large complex of stone-terraced lo’i (kalo fields) at the bottom of a gully with a river. Later relaying this story to someone online perhaps five years ago, I got the sense I wasn’t being believed.

Time for the KMT to Reassert Itself in Washington - Domino Theory Defense budget negotiations show the KMT is now in a position to engage with the U.S.

Domino Theory Op-ed.
dominotheory.com/time-for-the...

Audrey Tang, Taiwan’s cyber ambassador, first digital minister, architect of the Taiwan Model for digital diplomacy and 2025 Right Livelihood laureate, looks pensively at the handwritten name of the country Taïwan in a graphic for the Sismique Podcast episode: How Taiwan Reinvented Its Democracy.

Democracy is in our DNA.🧬

But it needs collective care.👐

Our #TaiwanModel🇹🇼 of #CivicAI & 6⃣Pack of Care project will get us there.

We the people are the superintelligence!

LEARN:

▶️ www.youtube.com/watch?v=anW6...

▶️ civic.ai

▶️ afp.oxford-aiethics.ox.ac.uk/event/civic-...

#LLAP🖖

It's as bad as you think. email me, will flip it to you.

Always good to see Nikkei publishing comedy writing.

China’s Military Threats Against Taiwan Scare the World – But Not Taiwanese People YouTube video by Diplomat Asia

Appeared in an explainer video by @thediplomat.com on domestic reactions in Taiwan--or lack thereof--to Chinese military drills that took place around the island at the end of 2025

www.youtube.com/watch?v=tM_a...

民進黨民調》66％國人力挺軍購條例通過 過半看破國民黨立場 - 政治 - 自由時報電子報 立法院朝野國防特別特別條例皆已付委審查，攻防蓄勢待發。民進黨今（10日）發布最新民調指出，高達66.6%民眾支持儘速通過以強化防衛能力，而國民黨版草案僅納入部分軍購項目且縮水至新台幣3800億元，有51.6%民眾認為國民黨的立場是「反對軍購」。

According to a DPP-sponsored public opinion poll, two-third of Taiwanese voters support expediting the review and passage of the Special National Defense Act.

There's no such thing as Taiwan separatism. It's not part of China and it's never been part of China. Time to learn some international law and history. Your ideological lenses are just blinding you.

PS. Calling for the invasion in annexation of a free people to an authoritarian power is textbook imperialism and bloodthirstiness. Your selection of quotes from Mao simply reinforce my point.

Mao and most other educated Chinese, including the ROC intelligence services are considered Taiwan to be outside of China and the Taiwanese not to be Chinese. And many many publications and elites all said that Taiwan deserved independence. See the second response to you or I give an article on that

The founders of the Taipei Times were expats.

Which one of them committed election fraud in Taiwan?

As usual you have no idea what you're talking about

Spate of missile deployments point to ‘division of labor’ with Taiwan Japan, the U.S. and the Philippines are sending advanced missiles to sites that they hope will deter Chinese forces or keep them at bay in a conflict.

The ongoing efforts by Japan, the Philippines and the United States to deploy advanced missiles and reinforce military bases near Taiwan are being welcomed in Taipei as a tacit “division of labor” designed to keep Chinese forces at bay in the event of a conflict.
www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/03...

‘Hai Kun’ begins fifth submerged sea trial
15:03

Taiwan’s indigenous defense submarine prototype, the Hai Kun (海鯤), or Narwhal, today conducted its fifth submerged sea trial, drawing military enthusiasts to Kaohsiung Harbor.The submarine sailed out to sea at about 8am, with fans spotted waving […]

Spate of missile deployments point to ‘division of labor’ with Taiwan Japan, the U.S. and the Philippines are sending advanced missiles to sites that they hope will deter Chinese forces or keep them at bay in a conflict.

The Japanese, U.S. and Philippine deployment of advanced missiles near Taiwan are being welcomed in Taipei as a tacit “division of labor” designed to keep Chinese forces at bay in the event of a conflict.

Taiwan’s Formosa Petrochemical Says Certain Petchem Supplies Hit by Force Majeure

Source

#Taiwan

The "despicable provocation" in question here was the Taiwanese Premier going to Japan to watch a baseball game.

Only a twisted person would write such a tweet. But strategically, Beijing is trying to normalize the idea that any international activity by Taiwan’s leadership is illegitimate.

I should add: in 1991 I took at class at GW with a CRS/CIA Taiwan specialist. He told us of a story circulating in the 1980s that Deng had ordered the military to move on Taiwan but they refused. This is an old rumor, updated periodically.

This is the way.

I love Taiwanese opera’s moments of lunacy. Last night the 新義和 troupe performed “From the Case Files of Bao Gong: The Five Mice Menace the Capital 包公案-五鼠鬧東京”.

The fifth mouse was … MICKEY!

#TaiwaneseOpera #歌仔戲 #kuaáhì

This appears to be be the documents. Looks like BS.
www.aboluowang.com/2026/0130/23...

Homemade Hujiao Bing
(Taiwanese pork pepper buns) 🔪

Bloodthirsty tankie imperialists.

Not at GDC this year, doing some stuff in Taiwan/Japan! Learning a bit about burial culture (I like to call these "spirit suburbs" lol), feng shui... Dragon veins... Cemetery real estate politics...

Finally Taiwan is a democracy. It's people have clearly indicated they do not want to annex themselves to China. What do we call it when one nation invades another over the objections of its people? Imperialism. So the question is why do you support imperialism?

Numerous organizations in Japanese-ruled Taiwan worked for Taiwan independence:
EX:
Petition Movement for the Establishment of the Taiwan Council (1921–1934), the Taiwan Cultural Association (1921–1931), the Taiwan People’s Party (1927–1931), the Taiwan Local Self-Government League (1930–1937)

Notes from Central Taiwan: Imaginings of another Taiwan - Taipei Times Bringing Taiwan to the World and the World to Taiwan

During 20s - 30s elites and educated people in China saw Taiwan as outside China, supported its independence. See

Lan Shi-chi (藍適齊) The Ambivalence Of National Imagination: Defining ‘The Taiwanese’ In China, 1931-1941,” The China Journal, No. 64, July 2010

Also
www.taipeitimes.com/News/feat/ar...