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Stephen Wild

@stephenjwild

I try to put straight lines through things but usually fail. Try to be Bayesian when I can. Views my own. RT/like != endorsement.

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Latest posts by Stephen Wild @stephenjwild

Excellent book

10.03.2026 21:46 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I recently read this book and it was great:

bsky.app/profile/adam...

10.03.2026 13:31 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Give @econmaett.github.io all the book recommendations

10.03.2026 13:09 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

But how can you study it if you can't conduct an RCT and randomize birth order?

10.03.2026 12:33 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

And now we wait for the Gelato- and ice cream-purists...

10.03.2026 11:15 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Gelato is pretty close to ice cream in terms of flavor and texture. If you have had one, you have had the other.

10.03.2026 11:14 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

What if, and hear me out, you had the fourth kid first, then skipped the third kid and went straight to the second?

🀯

10.03.2026 11:02 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Truer words were never spoken

09.03.2026 23:30 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Two dose-response functions. When probabilities of exposure are not homogeneous across units,
we can only partially identify the expected average outcomes from the average outcomes by exposure β€” even when the exposure map is correctly specified; see Corollary 11.2 β€” as shown here using data from Cai et al. (2015). AFEOs by exposure (left) only partially identify the EAO curve (right). Lines indicate bounds on the EAO, with red lines being the bounds when outcomes are assumed to be monotonic under exposure levels. Error bars and bands are 95% confidence intervals.

Two dose-response functions. When probabilities of exposure are not homogeneous across units, we can only partially identify the expected average outcomes from the average outcomes by exposure β€” even when the exposure map is correctly specified; see Corollary 11.2 β€” as shown here using data from Cai et al. (2015). AFEOs by exposure (left) only partially identify the EAO curve (right). Lines indicate bounds on the EAO, with red lines being the bounds when outcomes are assumed to be monotonic under exposure levels. Error bars and bands are 95% confidence intervals.

I'm giving the upcoming Online Causal Inference Seminar, this Tuesday 11:30am Eastern.

I'll be talking about different dose–response functions you might want to estimate when treatment effects may spill over from one unit to another.

Tune in & ask questions!
sites.google.com/view/ocis/home

09.03.2026 23:15 πŸ‘ 36 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I really should have watched more of them in my early adulthood. Alas, I did not

09.03.2026 23:27 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Ostensible kid shows do, in fact, have a ton of hilarious jokes

09.03.2026 23:26 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER

09.03.2026 23:18 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

The vocabulary differences between disciplines are always fascinating

09.03.2026 23:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I find it odd that it didn't get caught. Money well spent, it seems

09.03.2026 17:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

My assumption is that it got added in at the last minute, after the rest of the article had been properly translated.

Making fun of the processes is fine, but some of the mocking seems to be about the language itself, which is where my issue is.

09.03.2026 16:58 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I agree the journal can be mocked. But a lot of the mocking seems to focus on the language, which is what is bothering me

bsky.app/profile/ding...

09.03.2026 15:42 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I agree on both parts. But a lot of the mocking is about the language.

09.03.2026 15:37 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I fully agree. I am sensitive to the mocking here because that is roughly how I sound when I speak or write French.

09.03.2026 15:33 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/stat...

09.03.2026 15:24 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

While the editing here failed, a bunch of this sounds like poor-quality translation. I don't think it deserves the mocking it's getting

09.03.2026 15:22 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 0

I fully expect AI review (or at least AI triage) to become a thing.

I also expect a continued proliferation of low-quality (not predatory, to be clear) journals.

09.03.2026 14:24 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I suspect the current system will continue in its current form with relatively minor tweaks (in, will not be destroyed). Most likely reputable journals will increase quality requirements and become much more discerning in what they send out for review and choose to publish.

09.03.2026 14:21 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I know I keep harping on this, but I think it's important

bsky.app/profile/step...

09.03.2026 14:03 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

On the whole an interesting thread about the academic publishing system

09.03.2026 14:01 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

*academic science as a social system

Lots of science as process and science as output happens outside the academy, and it will keep doing so.

bsky.app/profile/phil...

09.03.2026 14:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The system will adapt. Another way to think of it is like a twinkie: surprisingly robust and capable of surviving a nuclear war (not necessarily a compliment).

09.03.2026 13:55 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Oh, I agree with your point. I just dislike that these types of questions are held up as, "LoOk at ThE ShEepLe"

09.03.2026 12:26 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I feel like I need to scream from my soapbox that these questions would not be asking the same thing

09.03.2026 12:21 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man in a gray shirt is holding a can of soda and says `` time is a flat circle . '' Alt: a man in a gray shirt is holding a can of soda and says `` time is a flat circle . ''

At one point everyone was obsessed with millennials

09.03.2026 12:13 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Blood Diamond is a good movie.

09.03.2026 01:41 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0