Paula Surridge

Ed Davey's next stunt surely

Ed Davey's next stunt surely

a cartoon of a man in a lab coat and tie saying we have bigger problems ALT: a cartoon of a man in a lab coat and tie saying we have bigger problems

I really can't fathom how everyone has managed to get worked up about what image is on a bank note most of us rarely use.

Lots of polling out this week, and it is very variable (I think across them three different parties in 2nd place). This is really helpful for understanding the process and for looking for differences in methodology - though differences in sample quality are of course a whole other conversation.

I mean two away goals it isn't impossible...

At least I didn't get round to that bet on Spurs winning CL and being relegated in the same season.

Maybe we should just let them, preferably while those who think they can wrestle a bear do so trackside.

Can't wait for proper cricket to start, I want my picnics in the sun as reward for all the nets sessions I've taken my son to since October.

Spent much of last evening perplexed as you why Sky were running a visit Abu Dhabi ad...eventually figured out I was watching a recording from a few weeks ago 🤦

Any #historians out there with any possible interest in public opinion from 1935 to now? I would be very grateful for anyone willing to chat about how to help historians discover materials in the polling archive. All topics: politics, policy, health, culture, religion #skystorians

Fantastic Ralph, congratulations 🎉

Equally surprised and delighted to win this!

I'm the same, hate it when there are obvious errors and no VAR but it does feel like there needs to be something similar to 'Umpires call' where the margin is very tight.

Today was not the day to see a song lyric and think 'Oh I haven't listened to The Final Cut in a while'

I wonder if he would be quite so keen if he saw the data on admissions by ethnicity.

A great example of 'catches win matches' - two superb boundary catches for India and a drop by England the difference 🏏

Before the Blue sky crowd left, those on the right were often very happy to roll out 'Twitter is not Britain' but now it mostly agrees with them they seem to have forgotten this completely

A little like watching Spurs last season - can't say I'm not entertained

I was very happily impressed yesterday...just no need for this today

This is not really the afternoon viewing I was hoping for 🏏

It is the standard BPC wording on uncertainty - and from what I know of the BPC I imagine it was extremely difficult to find something that was both accurate enough and acceptable to all members.

It isn't helpful to you or I, but it does signal uncertainty to someone without any statistical training and ought to disuade journalists from talking about changes of 1-2% as if they are shifts in the public mood.

The key is there is no calculation being done here, an error level for a sample size has been taken as an estimate and applied to all groups. They are using this (taken from BPC website) and showing it graphically

Completely correct for a statistical margin of error but that isn't what they are showing, they are using a fixed +/- as described in the footnote and I think following the wording that was agreed with the BPC. It helps to signal uncertainty but is very unhelpful for people teaching statistics!

Thank you I will look into this.

Which is exactly why Labour got off on completely the wrong foot with the WFA they didn't grasp the values signal it sent and that values impact economics too.

Striking that Reform have now overtaken Labour as the party people would most like to vote against - very much matches what we heard in Gorton with many voters primary concern less merits of Lab/Green but who could best stop Reform.

My year 12 son just sat at dinner and said he was 'so excited for the next general election' - my work here is done 😀

I thought they were all for stopping benefits for people who don't contribute?

Oh no @yougov's website seems to have had a refresh and it's just about impossible to find things. Though in the case of today's tables I think actually impossible cos they (not unreasonably) aren't up yet?