KarSteN Haustein's Avatar

KarSteN Haustein

@khaustein

Human | Climate Scientist | Meteorologist | Stormchaser | Queer @unileipzig | ex-@ecioxford | @S4F | YIMBY | he/him ๐Ÿณ๏ธโ€๐ŸŒˆ๐Ÿณ๏ธโ€โšง๏ธ๐Ÿฆ„ ๐Ÿ’• #bekind #diversity #equality #empathy #inclusivity #fightfascism #WakeTheFuckUp!! #TeamJoyResistance https://thueringen-weltoffen.de

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02.10.2023
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Latest posts by KarSteN Haustein @khaustein

I think this story is a really good example for people to look at when it comes to understanding bias at NYT. It's not that the reporter, Dana Rubinstein, says anything outright false. But the framing, word choices, etc., add up to an unprofessional and biased account.

10.03.2026 17:17 ๐Ÿ‘ 6325 ๐Ÿ” 1237 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 49 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Fig. 3: Critical temperature thresholds for Antarctic ice basins.
Bottom panel: burning embers showโ€”for each of the 18 Antarctic ice basinsโ€”the percentage of long-term (equilibrium) sea-level relevant ice volume loss compared with the respective initial ice volume, at different levels of global warming (in ยฐC above pre-industrial temperature levels, interpolated between full degrees). White diamonds mark the one-degree temperature interval of the strongest decline (ice loss per degree of warming, see also Fig. 2). In some basins, two critical temperatures yielding peak volume loss are foundโ€”this can be interpreted as the respective basin having two tipping points. Top panel: sea-level potential for each basin, given by the initial modelled sea-level relevant ice volume in metres sea-level equivalent.

Fig. 3: Critical temperature thresholds for Antarctic ice basins. Bottom panel: burning embers showโ€”for each of the 18 Antarctic ice basinsโ€”the percentage of long-term (equilibrium) sea-level relevant ice volume loss compared with the respective initial ice volume, at different levels of global warming (in ยฐC above pre-industrial temperature levels, interpolated between full degrees). White diamonds mark the one-degree temperature interval of the strongest decline (ice loss per degree of warming, see also Fig. 2). In some basins, two critical temperatures yielding peak volume loss are foundโ€”this can be interpreted as the respective basin having two tipping points. Top panel: sea-level potential for each basin, given by the initial modelled sea-level relevant ice volume in metres sea-level equivalent.

Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under global warming
Winkelmann+
doi.org/10.1038/s415...

"A first threshold, potentially as low as 1โ€“2โ€‰ยฐC above pre-industrial levels, triggers the long-term collapse of ~40% of marine ice volume in West Antarctica"

10.03.2026 20:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 14 ๐Ÿ” 8 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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White House plan to break up iconic U.S. climate lab moves forward Bidders have lined up to take over pieces of the National Center for Atmospheric Research

My latest for @science.org on the fraught future of NCAR as NSF's deadline nears. It can still go so many ways.

10.03.2026 21:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 43 ๐Ÿ” 35 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
Graphic with busy car congested road. Text says car dependency is the opposite of freedom. Mobility freedom comes from mobility choices. Ad is from the Urban Truth Collective.

Graphic with busy car congested road. Text says car dependency is the opposite of freedom. Mobility freedom comes from mobility choices. Ad is from the Urban Truth Collective.

How about those gas prices? Brutal, huh?

You know what really costs us all a lot?

Car dependency.

#UrbanTruth

09.03.2026 18:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 125 ๐Ÿ” 35 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

A new report from @climatecentral.org is out today on U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters in 2025: www.climatecentral.org/report/us-bi...

There's also a preview on some upcoming analysis and product enhancements coming to this disaster-cost research in 2026 ๐Ÿ“ˆ

09.03.2026 21:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 48 ๐Ÿ” 17 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Bundesregierung: Merz und Reiche: Das ist das Klima-Albtraumpaar Die Wirtschaftsministerin zerstรถrt systematisch die Energiewende und sucht die Zukunft in der Vergangenheit. Das ist verantwortungslos.

www.sueddeutsche.de/meinung/merz...

10.03.2026 06:39 ๐Ÿ‘ 275 ๐Ÿ” 103 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 11 ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
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Heating oil prices in the UK have trebled in a week. 2 million homes, no price cap protection, no warning.

Heat pumps + solar are multiple times more efficient, donโ€™t require an oil tank and oil deliveries and are an insurance against such frightening price spikes.

10.03.2026 07:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 253 ๐Ÿ” 76 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10 ๐Ÿ“Œ 8
Emissions (grams of CO2 per kilowatt hour) from North Sea gas vs LNG imports. Source: Carbon Brief analysis

Emissions (grams of CO2 per kilowatt hour) from North Sea gas vs LNG imports. Source: Carbon Brief analysis

Factcheck: North Sea gas is not โ€˜four times cleanerโ€™ than LNG imports | @daisydunne.carbonbrief.org @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org #CBarchive

Read here: buff.ly/IoMIeUt

09.03.2026 10:24 ๐Ÿ‘ 1527 ๐Ÿ” 451 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 60 ๐Ÿ“Œ 18
Map of North America with Canada in blue (cold) and USA in red (warm). Colours refer to departures from the long-term climate average.

Map of North America with Canada in blue (cold) and USA in red (warm). Colours refer to departures from the long-term climate average.

Wyld and super rare zonal winter / spring division (in terms of temperature anomaly) - coincidentally following geographical borders (by and large).

www.karstenhaustein.com/climate

09.03.2026 21:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 25 ๐Ÿ” 9 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Hi everyone.

If every single one of you seeing this post considered clicking โ€œfollowโ€ on our new account/movement, @urbantruth.bsky.social, our work would start regularly reaching a BIG audience, and thatโ€™s KEY to us having the REAL IMPACT we hope this initiative will have.

Thanks for considering!

09.03.2026 02:48 ๐Ÿ‘ 205 ๐Ÿ” 84 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9 ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
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As an IR professor, it's depressing that this is outperforming all others as the best theory of US foreign policy

09.03.2026 21:12 ๐Ÿ‘ 10011 ๐Ÿ” 2428 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 167 ๐Ÿ“Œ 107
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The Vegas Loop carried 16,400 passengers per day during the expo.

For context, Londonโ€™s Elizabeth Line carries ~800,000 per day.

Even Victorian steam trains in 1860s London moved 3โ€“4ร— more people per hour than Elon.

In case you didnโ€™t already know: cars in tunnels arenโ€™t the future of transitโ€ฆ

09.03.2026 21:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 128 ๐Ÿ” 30 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 5

Mein Beitrag fรผr den @klimareporter.bsky.social mag nicht รผberall auf freudige Zustimmung stoรŸen. Aber dafรผr ist er auch nicht geschrieben.

Er soll vielmehr eine neue Dynamik in eine Bewegung bringen, in der sich zur Zeit nicht mehr viel bewegt.

Das Ziel: Zurรผck zur Wirkung! Aber lest selbst.

09.03.2026 14:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

exakt. Nennt sich 'asymmetric norm enforcement'. Wir mรผssen vielmehr รผber politische Psychologie reden.

09.03.2026 14:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And here is my take (amongst others): www.sueddeutsche.de/wissen/studi... (paywalled)

hint ;) archive.ph

09.03.2026 14:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 8 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Climate change is speeding up โ€” the pace nearly doubled in ten years Earth is now warming at a rate of around 0.35 ยบC per decade, fresh analysis finds.

Here is what the journal Nature has to say about our paper on the increasing rate of #globalwarming:
www.nature.com/articles/d41...

09.03.2026 14:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 170 ๐Ÿ” 83 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
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Biocubes visualization of everything on earth

GroรŸe Liebe an alle, die sich die Mรผhe geben, komplexe Gedankengรคnge oder Konzepte visuell verstรคndlich umzusetzen. Habe gerade diese tolle Website gefunden und will euch das nicht vorenthalten: biocubes.net

Falls man sich je gefragt hat, wie die Masse an Plastik im Vergleich zu anderem aussieht.

07.03.2026 16:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 12 ๐Ÿ” 6 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
a picture of a huge, low, heavy cloud of black oil over Tehran

a picture of a huge, low, heavy cloud of black oil over Tehran

This is the cloud of oil currently hovering over Tehran, released when the US bombed the city's oil depots. A stew of particulate matter, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, benzene, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, heavy metals & volatile organic compounds is raining down into the city right now. 1/2

09.03.2026 12:41 ๐Ÿ‘ 421 ๐Ÿ” 292 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12 ๐Ÿ“Œ 35
Number of heatwave days per summer identified based
on the criterion of at least 3 consecutive days with SAT exceeding the 90th percentile over at least 30% of Western Europe, coloured by the corresponding RMM-VAE regime

Number of heatwave days per summer identified based on the criterion of at least 3 consecutive days with SAT exceeding the 90th percentile over at least 30% of Western Europe, coloured by the corresponding RMM-VAE regime

New paper out in @ioppublishing.bsky.social :

One specific southerly-flow regime accounts for the vast majority of heatwave days in Western Europe. Also, 70% of the observed โ€˜excessโ€™ warming (relative to global mean) is attributed to an increase in this ... (1/2)

iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

09.03.2026 12:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Time series plot depicting predicted Nino 3.4 region ocean temperature anomalies from the latest (Mar 2026) ECMWF ensemble. It depicts an extremely rapid rise in such temperatures, from modest negative anomalies to strong positive anomalies, by mid-summer 2026--indicative of a transition from weak-moderate La Nina conditions to moderate-strong El Nino conditions over just a few months.

Time series plot depicting predicted Nino 3.4 region ocean temperature anomalies from the latest (Mar 2026) ECMWF ensemble. It depicts an extremely rapid rise in such temperatures, from modest negative anomalies to strong positive anomalies, by mid-summer 2026--indicative of a transition from weak-moderate La Nina conditions to moderate-strong El Nino conditions over just a few months.

Whew.

All signs are increasingly pointing to a significant, if not strong to very strong, El Niรฑo event. I'll have more to say in coming weeks & months, but for now I'll just say that this is increasingly likely to become a major regional-to-global climate driver in 2026-2027.

05.03.2026 23:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 418 ๐Ÿ” 192 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 20 ๐Ÿ“Œ 31
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Big dawg El Niรฑo coming this summer and fall! This is a bit science-yโ€ฆ but easy. So follow along. You are looking at a vertical cross section of the tropical Pacific Ocean at the Equator with depth downward deep into the ocean. Left side is west near Asia. Right side is east near South America 1/

06.03.2026 13:23 ๐Ÿ‘ 171 ๐Ÿ” 82 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12 ๐Ÿ“Œ 12
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Thirty years of glacier grounding line retreat in Antarctica | PNAS The Grounding Line (GL)—the transition from ice grounded on the continent and ice afloat in the ocean—is a sensitive indicator of glacier stability...

A multiple-satellite study of Antarcticaโ€™s grounding line area show a loss of 12,820 km2 over the last 30 years. Grounding lines are the contact points where continental ice sheets anchor to the seabed, slowing their flow into the oceans.
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

#Antarctica #sealevelrise

05.03.2026 09:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 35 ๐Ÿ” 18 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Urban Truth Collective: Straight Talk About The Joy Of Cities In An Age Of Disinformation โ€” Streetsblog USA The Three Tenors of Urbanism explain their latest effort: The Urban Truth Collective.

PLEASE HELP US SHARE THIS: โ€œWeโ€™ve let the lies be far too successful, and thatโ€™s significantly hurt our cities. No more.โ€

Itโ€™s our blunt NEW @usa.streetsblog.org op-ed sharing why weโ€™ve created @urbantruth.bsky.social. SPOILER: We need to call out the lies and tell the truth much more persuasively!

05.03.2026 18:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 203 ๐Ÿ” 103 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 10

Important results! Tyre abrasion increases various health risks. The catch: EVs are not going to change that! Speed restrictions and prioritisation of active modes of mobility do!

05.03.2026 20:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Urban Truth Collective: Straight Talk About The Joy Of Cities In An Age Of Disinformation โ€” Streetsblog USA The Three Tenors of Urbanism explain their latest effort: The Urban Truth Collective.

NEW: โ€œWeโ€™ve let the lies be far too successful, & thatโ€™s significantly hurt our cities. No more.โ€

@grantennis.bsky.social @tomflood.bsky.social & I have a blunt new @usa.streetsblog.org op-ed telling the story of why weโ€™ve created @urbantruth.bsky.social.

Please help share it! @nyc.streetsblog.org

05.03.2026 14:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 75 ๐Ÿ” 24 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Before (2022) / After (2026) the recent pedestrianization and greening of Rue de Gravelle in the 12th arrondissement of Paris

05.03.2026 16:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 72 ๐Ÿ” 17 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
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Welcome! You are invited to join a webinar: The Iran War and the Climate Emergency. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the webinar. War makes climate change worse in many ways, and vice versa. The US-Israel attacks on Iran that began over the weekend have killed hundreds of civilians and sent oil prices soaring, but this war also ...

Happening in 30 minutes! Should be a very interesting conversation, esp with @ninalakhani.bsky.social there. (and no, no one is saying that emissions are more important than lives, that's a false dichotomy).

us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...

05.03.2026 16:34 ๐Ÿ‘ 22 ๐Ÿ” 14 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Line graph time series of February Arctic sea ice extent for every year from 1850 through 2026. Two datasets are compared in this time series. The Walsh et al. 2019 reconstruction is shown with a solid blue line. The NSIDC Sea Ice Index v3 is shown with a dashed red line only for the satellite era. There is large interannual variability and a long-term decreasing trend over the last few decades.

Line graph time series of February Arctic sea ice extent for every year from 1850 through 2026. Two datasets are compared in this time series. The Walsh et al. 2019 reconstruction is shown with a solid blue line. The NSIDC Sea Ice Index v3 is shown with a dashed red line only for the satellite era. There is large interannual variability and a long-term decreasing trend over the last few decades.

February #Arctic sea ice extent since the year 1850 - comparison now updated through 2026. Climate change leads to declines in ice during all months of the year, not just around the minimum.

I have a couple of other sea ice reconstructions on my website too: zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...

05.03.2026 12:59 ๐Ÿ‘ 52 ๐Ÿ” 20 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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BREAKING: New York City reports the lowest levels of shootings, shooting victims, and murders ever recorded for the first two months of a year. Major crime is down nearly 8% citywide, burglary hit a record low, and retail theft dropped 25%

04.03.2026 15:54 ๐Ÿ‘ 26292 ๐Ÿ” 5621 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 696 ๐Ÿ“Œ 478

Neue Vogelschlag-Meldeapp in Leipzig:

โ€žDie Daten dienen als Grundlage, um ein erhรถhtes Vogelschlagrisiko an Gebรคuden nachzuweisen. So kรถnnen Immobilienbesitzer SchutzmaรŸnahmen zum Vogelschutz einrichten, Behรถrden hilft es, diese anzuordnen.โ€œ

05.03.2026 07:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1