@andyscollick
Strategic foresight: future security environment, defence policy, defence planning, warfare development regarding the climate change, energy, defence nexus | Former adviser to Ukraine's military | PhD in sustainability science (complex adaptive systems)
Pedro Sánchez about von der Leyen's speech: "The world of yesterday is a world without rules. The dilemma isn't about an old order versus a new order, but an international order versus an international disorder. The world is changing, but the EU's values and principles shouldn't change."
This is a jaw-dropping indicator of the shrinking sphere of US hegemony. Just wild.
New 2025 data shows solar energy continues to dominate! 54% of new electric capacity in the US was solar, and solar and storage together were 79%.
Fig. 3: Critical temperature thresholds for Antarctic ice basins. Bottom panel: burning embers show—for each of the 18 Antarctic ice basins—the percentage of long-term (equilibrium) sea-level relevant ice volume loss compared with the respective initial ice volume, at different levels of global warming (in °C above pre-industrial temperature levels, interpolated between full degrees). White diamonds mark the one-degree temperature interval of the strongest decline (ice loss per degree of warming, see also Fig. 2). In some basins, two critical temperatures yielding peak volume loss are found—this can be interpreted as the respective basin having two tipping points. Top panel: sea-level potential for each basin, given by the initial modelled sea-level relevant ice volume in metres sea-level equivalent.
Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under global warming
Winkelmann+
doi.org/10.1038/s415...
"A first threshold, potentially as low as 1–2 °C above pre-industrial levels, triggers the long-term collapse of ~40% of marine ice volume in West Antarctica"
US solar installation: Down 14% between 2024 and 2025.
Chinese solar installation: Up 14% between 2024 and 2025.
Last year China installed more than 7 times more solar capacity than the US. So much for energy dominance...
How many school girls did that US Tomahawk missile kill? At least 168 children and 14 teachers, according to CNN.
An end to the Iran war could trigger Israel to extend its operations in south Lebanon
Nanoplastics dominate the North Atlantic: researchers estimate surface levels exceed macroplastics by over 15 megatonnes. Pollution detected at all depths.
Germany‘s Minister of the Environment: „Instead of betting on the Fata Morgana of nuclear (energy), we bet on better, safer, and more affordable renewables. I reject spending more tax money on new risk reactors“
Conventional nuclear has long lost on cost.
I know it is hard to believe, but people stuck in a conflict can be angry at the various sides at the same time and resist any alignment.
So you can be Lebanese, hate Hezbollah and have zero illusions about Israel.
As the war in Iran takes center stage, there is only one winner: Russia.
Profiting from rising energy prices and the diversion of military capabilities and benefiting from the reduced attention to the Ukrainian front.
The Finance Minister said there has been ‘not enough’ diversification in how #Ireland and Europe sources its #energy since the war in Ukraine. (RTÉ News)
'Who do you think you are kidding Mr Putin...'
I wrote about whether the UK should establish a new Home Guard.
My answer? Not really - but we should focus on a Civil Defence organisation instead.
Today, at the side event of the United Nations Human Rights Council in Geneva, I made it clear: Russia is desperate to damage Europe. Its operations in Africa are hybrid warfare aimed at fueling instability, driving migration flows northward & weakening EU unity. Europe must act!
☀️ Climate change is a real and dangerous threat to our prosperity and our safety. We must take immediate and coordinated action.
Those areas most affected and usually the poorest and least able to adapt.
CBS reports that the US has already lost 11 Reaper drones in Iran.
These are not made to be operated against enemies with working air defences…
www.cbsnews.com/live-updates...
This administration……🤦♂️
EISEN: How do you see this war ending?
WITKOFF: I don't know
Witkoff: "Look, Israel is a one bomb country. One bomb takes them out. That's why it's so existential to Israel."
QUINTANILLA: Do we think the Russians have shared intel about US military assets, and if so, why would we be giving waivers on oil sanctions?
WITKOFF: I can tell you that on the call with POTUS, the Russians said they have not been sharing. That's what they said. We can take them at their word.
Blumenthal after getting briefed on Iran: "We seem to be on a path toward deploying American troops on the ground in Iran to accomplish any of the potential objectives here. There's also the specter of active Russian aid to Iran putting in danger American lives ... China also may be assisting Iran"
India securing additional LNG supplies from non-Middle Eastern sources - government source reut.rs/4bBi2na
❗️President Zelensky has signed a law mandating the construction of shelters in all new residential buildings and infrastructure facilities as part of reforms to the national civil protection system. #Ukraine
This flippant response is absolutely unacceptable from the Commander in Chief.
11 days into Trump's war with Iran and he still cannot give the American people a clear answer on why he started this war and how long it will last.
"The Department of National Defence says it has safeguards in place to prevent intelligence from being shared with elements of the U.S. military that have carried out numerous lethal strikes on small boats in the Caribbean."
Presumably b/c it views the strikes as illegal.
www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
www.irishexaminer.com/news/politic...
🇮🇪 ' enthusiastic' about a second interconnector with 🇫🇷
Energy supply and security will be improved with the commissioning of the first inconnector in 2028.
