Agustin Markarian

Which groups win policy under each party? - Niskanen Center Agustin Markarian finds that different groups see their policy preferences better represented depending on which party is in power.

Which groups win policy under each party?

Whites under Republicans, minorities under Democrats
New #ScienceOfPolitics podcast/transcript with Agustin Markarian
www.niskanencenter.org/which-groups...

🚨NEW WORKING PAPER🚨 Why are many Latino immigrants *not* naturalizing, learning English, and participating in American politics? We provide new theory and evidence across 3 surveys and an instrumental variables approach to show how migration motives shape immigrant integration. tinyurl.com/3expvu8e

Read Jack and I's APSR article! TLDR: we present theory and causal, externally valid, evidence demonstrating anti-LGBTQ+ violence provokes prosocial attitudes toward LGBTQ people, but this is a fleeting effect due to salience loss, event framing, and countervailing societal heteronormativity

(with apologies that I've posted this a few times before. Now that it's published, expect me to be annoying with it -- but as we wait for SCOTUS to potentially harm what remains of the VRA, understanding what happened last time is very important!)

As we all wait for Callais to come down, our piece showing that Shelby County increased the racial turnout gap in most of the covered parts of the country has cleared the replication check and is incoming at JOP.

Gutting the VRA was bad, actually.

This is an important paper at @apsrjournal.bsky.social. It's not exactly surprising that racism undermines effective representation, but it is well and carefully done. Congrats to @markarianga.bsky.social, @jacobhacker.bsky.social, @maclockhart.bsky.social, and Hajnal

doi.org/10.1017/S000...

Counterintuitively, Black Americans receive worse representation relative to Whites when Black Americans make up a larger share of a state pop., suggesting racial threat matters. Indeed, we find average, local White racial resentment strongly predicts representation gaps. 4/4

These patterns hold when we control for income, age, ideology, and PID. In other words, Republicans represent White Republicans better than Republicans of color. Analyzing legislators’ behavior, we find similar patterns and more... 3/n

Perhaps surprisingly, we find limited gaps on aggregate. However, we find large gaps by partisan control. When Republicans govern, White Americans get what they want on policy more than racial minorities. But Democrats governed for longer during this period. 2/n

Our new @apsrjournal.bsky.social is out! We study whether policy and congresspeople are more responsive to White Americans than racial minorities, matching individual level opinion to policy outcomes and roll call votes on 134 issues using 500K survey responses from 2016-2022. 1/n

Inertia and status quo bias have stopped me from doing this, but I’ve been sharing the same thought. 40% of papers are bad AI, 40% are just bad, and I’m to burnt out by the bad papers to fairly grade and provide feedback on the remaining 20%.

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library We examine how the timing of local elections affects the success of minority candidates, who remain woefully underrepresented in public office. We build on research showing that concurrent elections ...

My new
@ajpseditor.bsky.social
article w/ V. Kogan
& Z. Hajnal is now out.

We show that Latinos are likelier to run for local office and win in cities that switch to on-cycle elections in CA. Election consolidation improves descriptive representation.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...