Madeleine Sumption's Avatar

Madeleine Sumption

@msumption

Director of Migration Observatory @ University of Oxford. I research migration policy, mostly in the UK

1,170
Followers
152
Following
57
Posts
09.12.2024
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Madeleine Sumption @msumption

Preview
253. The truth about immigration - who is coming and who is leaving? Spotify video

Our director @msumption.bsky.social went on the Rest is Money to talk about her new book plus how migration affects public finances, employers, and UK workers. Catch up here open.spotify.com/episode/3dqC...

23.02.2026 10:50 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

There's 25% off pre-orders today and tomorrow here

www.waterstones.com/book/what-is...

19.02.2026 12:09 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
What is immigration policy for? - UK in a changing Europe Madeleine Sumption looks at immigration policy and the surrounding debate and explains the inherent competing policy objectives and trade-offs.

Preview of my new book here, courtesy the lovely folk at @ukandeu.bsky.social

ukandeu.ac.uk/what-is-immi...

19.02.2026 12:05 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Video thumbnail

What is immigration policy for?

Our wonderful director, @msumption.bsky.social, answers this question in her new book.

You can pre-order Madeleine’s book using the code FEB26 for 25% off. Offer ends 20 Feb.

πŸ”—https://www.waterstones.com/campaign/february-pre-order-offer #WPreorder

18.02.2026 13:31 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
What is immigration policy for? - UK in a changing Europe Madeleine Sumption looks at immigration policy and the surrounding debate and explains the inherent competing policy objectives and trade-offs.

"But the inevitable trade-offs immigration policy presents mean that the reality is messier and more complicated than it might initially seem."

πŸ“– @msumption.bsky.social looks at what immigration policy is for and explains the trade-offs ahead of her forthcoming book

πŸ”— ukandeu.ac.uk/what-is-immi...

18.02.2026 11:07 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

25% discount on my new book today and tomorrow, for anyone interested in an accessible overview of why immigration is difficult and unpopular

18.02.2026 12:59 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Hong Kong BN(O) Migrants Panel Survey Wave 2 Result Seminar Discover Wave 1 & 2 findings of the BN(O) Panel Survey on 11 Feb 2026. Panels on community and research findings. Join us for insights!

Five years on: Hong Kong migrants to the UK under the HK BN(O) visa scheme.

Findings from our @ukri.org funded survey,led by Tak Wing Chan (UCL), with me, @msumption.bsky.social @benbrindle.bsky.social

Wed, 2pm, at UCL

Register here:

www.eventbrite.com/e/hong-kong-...

09.02.2026 08:36 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Well indeed. The reason non-uk nurses aren’t coming to the UK any more is that the NHS stopped recruiting them.

27.12.2025 02:30 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I think I heard @jburnmurdoch.ft.com say this increase is down to a a change in the way the numbers are calculated rather than a major shift in migration patterns.

19.11.2025 17:40 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

New data provides fascinating insights into outcomes of recent refugees granted status between 2015 and 2020

Both asylum (ARR) and resettled refugees (RR) struggled in labour market, but particular the latter - likely reflecting that many were selected based on vulnerability

link to data in reply

26.09.2025 14:10 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

Useful new stats from Home Office on how asylum applicants travel to the UK

Significant increase in applications from people on visas (mostly work, study or visit), not just small boats

Also large differences by nationality: Pakistani and Bangladeshi applicants much more likely to come on visas

21.08.2025 13:19 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I think the "it's all about Brexit" argument has been overstated but I also suspect that UK access to Eurodac could make a reasonably significant difference

18.08.2025 08:52 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

There has been some interesting, more recent qualitative evidence that being refused in Europe or not wanting to be moved within the EU under Dublin rules has become a significant reason for coming to the UK, but very hard to know the scale of this phenomenon

18.08.2025 08:52 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

➀ UK will prioritise applications for transfers to UK (criteria not specified)
➀ Ppl deemed a security threat can’t be transferred in either direction
2/2

06.08.2025 09:25 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
UK/France: Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys [CS France No.2/2025] This treaty was presented to Parliament in August 2025.

Text of the UK-France small boats treaty published. Key points:

➀ Process to take up to 3 months from arrival in UK
➀ Doesn’t apply to unaccompanied minors
➀ FR can refuse to accept specific ppl back & will give aggregated data on reasons for refusals... 1/2

www.gov.uk/government/p...

06.08.2025 09:25 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

I’ve always wondered how employers & workers split the cost of UK immigration fees

Here it is for Skilled Worker visas from a Home Office survey of sponsors

Surprisingly little variation by industry/employer size (in underlying data tables)

www.gov.uk/government/p...

01.08.2025 09:46 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The sadist assault on the β€˜Coldplay couple’

unherd.com/2025/07/the-...

19.07.2025 21:04 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Nice paper on Australian regional visas, which push migrants to live outside of major metro areas

Ppl on regional visas much more likely to stay in the 'regions' if they were in cities, not remote/rural areas

Middle-aged migrants w kids most likely to stay put

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

16.07.2025 16:33 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Makes sense given that the argument that refugees provide significant economic benefits are actually substantively not particularly convincing

14.07.2025 10:16 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Interesting paper: survey experiment finds US public are unconvinced by economic arguments in favour of admitting refugees, more convinced by moral arguments

Legal arguments only convincing on the left

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

@sblinder.bsky.social

14.07.2025 10:16 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Is the British government is really going to be able to co-ordinate with industry to replace migrant workers with domestic ones?

@johnspringford.bsky.social asked @msumption.bsky.social this and much more on the latest episode of the #CERpodcast.
Listen here: www.cer.eu/media/cer-po...

10.07.2025 11:02 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
UK-France and UK-EU cooperation on small boat arrivals: what are the options? - Migration Observatory This Q&A discusses the evidence related to UK-EU co-operation on asylum and unauthorised migration.

Plenty of recent speculation about whether a UK-France deal on small boat returns will be announced this week.

Would such a deal bring down arrivals? And what are some other options for improved cooperation with France and the EU?

New commentary πŸ‘‡

migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/co...

09.07.2025 11:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I am writing a policy pamphlet. Here are all the ways to demonstrate I don't really have a policy answer, that I need to avoid:

a. You call for a "national conversation or debate"
b. You suggest that what is needed is β€œa change in culture”
1/

08.07.2025 12:41 πŸ‘ 260 πŸ” 57 πŸ’¬ 22 πŸ“Œ 17
Video thumbnail

Our Director @msumption.bsky.social on Today Programme this morning talking about why the care visa has been so difficult to manage

Full interview 00:50 minutes into the programme: www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...

04.07.2025 12:42 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Ah ok that makes more sense. Thanks!

03.07.2025 08:11 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks
There’s also a small and slightly random looking list of rqf3-5 workers explicitly prevented from switching employers, right? (Including reiki healers…)
Any idea why?

02.07.2025 21:25 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Immigration lawyers: am I right in thinking that Statement of Changes says a) mid-skilled workers coming on the Temp Shortage List; & b) ppl switching in-country to care jobs DO still have path to ILR, at least for the moment?
@colinyeo.bsky.social @jonkingh.bsky.social @johnvassiliou.bsky.social

02.07.2025 20:43 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Pleased to share my new article in Migration Studies @MigrationJrnl on why it’s so much harder than it sounds for government to select the β€œbest and brightest” migrants

I illustrate using the example of two widely criticized 'investor visa' programmes
academic.oup.com/migration/ar...

02.07.2025 10:25 πŸ‘ 32 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

I think part of the problem is that our official statistical ethnicity categories are badly designed: by using the word 'British' they mix ethnicity and citizenship in a confusing way. This is unusual internationally. Ethnicity is different from citizenship

20.06.2025 20:27 πŸ‘ 37 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Closure of loophole to keep terrorists and extremists out of the UK A law has been introduced to prevent British citizenship being reinstated to people considered a national security risk following a successful initial appeal.

"This narrowly focussed bill... makes no change to a person’s existing right to appeal any decision to remove their British citizenship, and doesn’t widen the reasons for which a person could be deprived of their citizenship", the Home Office says www.gov.uk/government/n...

19.06.2025 15:13 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0