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11.03.2026 17:45
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Analysis: It's T-48 hours until a potential snowstorm along the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coast, yet forecasters are struggling with some epic computer model disagreements. I take you behind the scenes to explain what's going on: www.cnn.com/2026/02/20/w...
Not ready for the hype and social media excitement around the 00z ECMWF. Give it a few days please.
The latest on the major winter storm and extreme cold expected later this week.
So, I LOVE this WPC site that just showed up for comment in a PNS. www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/urrd/
Hydrangeas are happy this summer. 😎
[Delayed Report] On Jul 31, at 5:20 PM EDT, 1 ENE Mount Airy [Carroll Co, MD] Emergency Mngr reports Flash Flood. *** 1 Fatal *** 13 yr old boy swept into storm drainage. #mdwx Link
Flooding fatality from today’s storms in central MD. Reported that a child was swept away while playing outside. 😢 www.wmar2news.com/local/child-...
Sykesville Mesonet up yet?
The summer of flooding continues… ☔️⛈️
🌍 M8 earthquake near 136 km ESE of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Russia at 2025-07-29 23:24 UTC
More info:
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000qw60
Neat! ☔️🌧️🚣
The ERO from last night for better context…
Over 13” of rain last night in IL.
Pattern has been ripe for more flash flooding… this time in the Ohio Valley and Midwest. Could be some big rainfall totals somewhere over the next few days.
Unfortunately two fatalities associated with flash flooding in NJ yesterday. Reminder that most flash flooding fatalities in the U.S. are associated with vehicles.
Heavy rain and rush hour traffic going about as you’d think it would in the DC area this evening.
Thankfully this graphic is scheduled to have a facelift next week! Can’t guarantee all the heat areas will go away…
*lightning bug
IEMBot Image TBD
LWX issues Flash Flood Emergency [flash flood: observed, flash flood damage threat: catastrophic] for Greene [VA] till May 14, 12:45 AM EDT Link
Significant flash flooding event starting to unfold across central VA.
Marty!!
Growing wildfire southeast of Shippensburg, PA this afternoon. Seems to be located in a large wooded area.
(these results are an outcome of federal investments in research and people over many years.)
NOAA Weather Prediction Center Excessive Rainfall Outlooks all valid for 2-3 April 2025. The outlooks were very consistent in their location and the observed flooding occurred essentially right in the locations where the outlooks showed the highest probabilities.
NOAA Weather Prediction Center Excessive Rainfall Outlooks all valid for 3-4 April 2025. The outlooks were very consistent in their location and the observed flooding occurred essentially right in the locations where the outlooks showed the highest probabilities.
NOAA Weather Prediction Center Excessive Rainfall Outlooks all valid for 4-5 April 2025. The outlooks were very consistent in their location and the observed flooding occurred essentially right in the locations where the outlooks showed the highest probabilities.
NOAA Weather Prediction Center Excessive Rainfall Outlooks all valid for 5-6 April 2025. The outlooks were very consistent in their location and the observed flooding occurred essentially right in the locations where the outlooks showed the highest probabilities.
We often (rightly) see maps like these showing how good SPC convective outlooks are; let's also give some kudos to WPC for some outstanding excessive rainfall outlooks for this event. Especially impressive are the day 5 outlooks, giving advance notice of prolonged excessive rainfall and flood risk.
Flood/flash flood reports as well as top rainfall reports going back to last Wednesday. Over 15 inches in parts of western Kentucky. ☔️🌧️
FFE for Little Rock, AR
First FFE from the Paducah office for this event.