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Investment, Equity (on Wall Street), Macro Research background. ~10 years of experience in markets, supporting investors in succeeding. Join 5000+ FREE subscribers at https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/
⚠️US ECONOMY HAS:
1) Record $18.6 TRILLION in US household debt.
2) 717 BIG bankruptcies in 2025, the most in 15 YEARS
3) $458 BILLION Budget deficit in the first 2 months of Fiscal Year 2026, the 2nd-largest ever.
4) $38Tn Public DEBT - record👇
For the week ending December 19, key events are:
- US Non-farm payrolls for October and November on Tuesday
- US Retail Sales for October on Tuesday
- US CPI Inflation Data for November on Thursday
- US Consumer Sentiment for December on Friday👇
🔥Central bank gold demand continues to SURGE:
World central banks acquired +53 tonnes of gold in October, the most in a year.
Gold purchases have nearly TRIPLED in just 3 months.
Central banks have now bought gold on net for 14 months straight.👇
‼️China's exports to the US are PLUMMETING:
China's shipments to the US plunged -28.5% YoY, the biggest drop since August.
This also marks the 8th consecutive monthly decline of at least 10%. 👇
🚨US bottom earners are feeling the MOST PAIN in the world's largest economy:
Wage growth for the bottom 25% of earners has fallen to the lowest in 8 years.
It has remained below the wage growth of the top 25% for nearly 2 years. 👇
⚠️The US consumer sentiment has rarely been this DEPRESSED:
The US Consumer Sentiment Current Conditions assessment fell to an ALL-TIME LOW.
This is likely the worst perception of the US economy since the 1930s Great Depression. 👇
🚨US technology stocks have NEVER been this big:
The S&P 500 Information Technology and Communication Services sectors’ market cap hit a RECORD 47%.
This is now 4 percentage points higher than the estimated peak of the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. 👇
⚠️US leading economic indicators are experiencing a historic NEGATIVE RUN:
The US Leading Economic Index (LEI) FELL to the lowest in 11 YEARS.
The index has declined for +3 years now, the longest streak since the Financial Crisis. 👇
⚠️This is INSANE:
US semiconductor stocks’ 12-month forward (expected) profit margin exceeded 40% for the 1st time in at least 20 YEARS.
At the same time, the group's forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio rose above 10x, the highest in 2 decades. 👇
🔥Silver is out of its league this year:
Major asset performance year-to-date in 2025:
Silver +113%
Rare Earths Stocks +87%
Uranium Stocks +75%
Gold +63%
Emerging Markets +31%
Global Stocks Excluding USA +27%
Nasdaq 100 +20%
S&P 500 +16%
Bitcoin -3%👇
⚠️Oracle's risk of default is absolutely EXPLODING:
Oracle's 5-year Credit Default Swap exceeded 140 basis points, for the first time since the GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS.
The stock has dropped -40% over the last 3 months. 👇
🔥The majority of the largest gold ETF gains have been recorded OUTSIDE US trading hours:
Since the $GLD ETF introduction in 2004, the buy-and-hold strategy has delivered a +790% return, according to Bespoke.
Buying at the open and selling at the close saw only a +5% increase.
🚨Is Oracle the new Cisco from the Dot-Com burst?
Oracle's last-12-months free cash flow fell to –$13.2 BILLION, the lowest EVER.
It is expected to rise to -$28 BILLION by the end of Fiscal Year 2026, according to Barclays.
Oracle also expects ~$50 billion in CapEx for 2026…
⚠️ Silver market mania is an UNDERSTATEMENT:
The China Silver Futures Fund was trading +12% above the actual value of the silver it is supposed to track.
Investors are buying the fund much faster than the silver behind is rising, a sign of SPECULATION. 👇
⚠️This is one of the most expensive markets in US history:
The S&P 500 is trading at 23x forward P/E, the highest since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble burst.
Interestingly, the equal-weighted S&P 500 forward P/E is now higher than during the Dot-Com frenzy.
Incredible.
🔥🔥 Global Markets Investor's portfolio has returned +64% since January 2024.
During the March-April 2025 market turmoil, major US indexes fell nearly -20%, while the GMI's portfolio gained +5%.
Find out how below and access exclusive market data.👇
🔴China dominates global nuclear expansion:
China has 30 reactors under construction, more than the next 9 countries combined.
India follows with 6, Russia with 5.
No reactors are planned in the US.
The rush to satisfy skyrocketing energy demand is being led by China.
‼️Central banks rate cut pace has been historic:
World central banks have slashed rates 121 times in 2025 and 198 times in 2024, bringing total 2-year cuts to 319, the most since the 336 cuts in 2019 and 2020.
This also marks the 2nd-fastest easing since the Financial Crisis.
⚠️The Fed will buy a lot of US government debt:
The Fed is set to buy ~$40 billion of T-Bills from Dec 12 to Jan 14 through its so-called reserve management purchases.
According to BofA, the Fed is projected to buy $35–$55 billion a month, or ~$550 billion in total in 2026.
🚨Investors are DUMPING US technology stocks:
US technology funds posted ~$2 BILLION in OUTFLOWS over the last 2 weeks, the highest since February.
This comes after several weeks of the largest weekly inflows on record.
Is this profit taking or the start of a bigger trend?
⚠️China is DUMPING US Treasuries:
China has sold $32 BILLION of US government bonds in 3 months, bringing its total to $700.5 billion, the lowest in 17 YEARS.
China’s holdings have declined +$600 billion since 2013.
China is diversifying from USD 👇
🔥Chinese investors are RUSHING into gold funds:
Chinese gold ETFs recorded $4.5 billion in net inflows last month, the highest since April.
Their total assets under management hit $29 billion, the highest for any October on record.👇
🔥Silver is out of its league this year:
Major asset performance year-to-date in 2025:
Silver +113%
Rare Earths Stocks +87%
Uranium Stocks +75%
Gold +63%
Emerging Markets +31%
Global Stocks Excluding USA +27%
Nasdaq 100 +20%
S&P 500 +16%
Bitcoin -3%👇
🔴HOLY COW:
Japan’s regional banks’ unrealized losses on their domestic bond holdings hit a RECORD -¥3.3 trillion in Fiscal Q2 2025.
As Japan’s government bond yields rise their value drops, and as a result, paper losses are skyrocketing👇
🔥Tether gold holdings are SKYROCKETING:
Tether's total gold reserves hit a record 116 tonnes in Q3 2025.
This DOUBLED over the last 2 quarters as the company aims to diversify its assets.
In Q3, Tether accounted for ~12% of central bank buying.👇
🔥Gold and silver are moving out OF CHINA:
Silver stockpiles at Shanghai Futures Exchange warehouses FELL to 715 tons, lowest in 9 YEARS.
Gold inventories at the Shanghai Gold Exchange FELL to 519 tons, lowest in 10 YEARS.
This is a HISTORIC SQUEEZE. 👇
⚠️Foreigners are again DUMPING US equities:
European-domiciled US equity ETFs saw over -$2 BILLION in outflows over the last month, the most since H1 2025.
This may serve as a proxy for foreign holdings..👇
🚨The world's 3rd-largest bond market is BREAKING:
The 2-year Japanese government bond yields hit 1.0% for the 1st time since the FINANCIAL CRISIS as expectations of another rate hike jumped.
The market sees over 80% chance of a hike on Dec. 19. 👇
