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Adriana Caicedo

@adricaicedo

🇨🇴Economist

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08.10.2023
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Latest posts by Adriana Caicedo @adricaicedo

Las encuestas son el mejor producto periodístico electoral y los medios no saben qué hacer con ellas. Nosotros sí. Cocinando pronósticos electorales con herramnientas open source y estadística bayesiana

Pronósticos electorales🗳️ con @receta-electoral.bsky.social

recetas-electorales.netlify.app/about.html
#Colombiaelije #EleccionesColombia

01.03.2026 09:33 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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🥑 Ajiaco2 Un nuevo intento por hacer un modelo generativo para la primera vuelta

Hay #recetaselectorales en 2026. Mejoradas.

Comenzamos con el #Ajiaco2: Un modelo generativo para la primera vuelta que tomó años ensamblar bien.

recetas-electorales.netlify.app/elecciones/2...

01.02.2026 09:17 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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The US struck Venezuela and captured President Nicolas Maduro, who was taken out of the country, President Trump said. It is the first such direct intervention by the US in Latin America since the invasion of Panama in 1989 reut.rs/4qsMC72

03.01.2026 10:06 👍 157 🔁 86 💬 32 📌 36
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Middle Names

Why is the moon so bright ? spotify.link/YnqUJ35lrXb

13.10.2025 19:49 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

🎵If I lay here
If I just lay here
Would you lie with me and just forget the world?

23.07.2025 20:24 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The #BeyondGDP Global Alliance has been officially launched!
#FFD4

@oecd-ocde.bsky.social @unctad.bsky.social #SEGIB @exterioresgob.bsky.social will work together on integrating multidimensional metrics into international cooperation frameworks.

▶️Stay tuned..!

03.07.2025 13:55 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Understanding country income: World Bank Group income classifications for FY26 Every year on July 1, the World Bank Group updates the classification of world economies into four income groups based on the previous year's GNI per capita. This classification impacts development ai...

Costa Rica has officially moved from the “upper-middle income” to the “high income” category.

Key in the debate of going #BeyondGDP is understanding income categories and the impact that moving from category to the next has on international finance.

blogs.worldbank.org/en/opendata/...

02.07.2025 19:28 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The next step is discussing how to use #BeyondGDP metrics to channel development finance!

🔍Check-out the paper that maps #BeyondGDP initiatives and beings forward policy recommendations.

🔗 one.oecd.org/document/COM...

02.07.2025 11:22 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

🔍Check-out the paper!

👉"Integrating Beyond-GDP Metrics into National and International Financing Frameworks"

🔗 one.oecd.org/document/COM...

02.07.2025 11:12 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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#Didyouknow there are more than +110 initiatives by NGOs, national governments and international organisations that promote going #BeyondGDP?

▶️Most initiatives have surged after 2015 as dashboards to measure progress and development differently.

#FFD4

02.07.2025 11:12 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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US abandons Financing for Development conference The Trump administration's withdrawal sets the stage for the broader U.N. membership to approve a declaration for formal adoption in Spain.

"This outcome shows the resolve of the rest of the world to move forward with or without the U.S.”

Multilateralism keeps moving forward despite challenges.

#FFD4 Outcome document sets the path for boosting investments, international cooperation and aid.

www.devex.com/news/us-aban...

02.07.2025 06:51 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Stay tuned for the Sevilla Platform for Action Announcement on the 𝗕𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗴 𝗚𝗗𝗣 𝗚𝗹𝗼𝗯𝗮𝗹 𝗔𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲!

▶️ The Alliance will work on integrating multidimensional metrics #beyondGDP into national and international policy and cooperation frameworks

📅 3 July, Initiative Announcement Room, FIBES 1 #FfD4

01.07.2025 20:36 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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01.07.2025 19:11 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
New approaches for renewed international cooperation: ‘Insights for the Beyond GDP Global Alliance’ Led by Spain, the OECD and the UN, with institutional partners, are holding a side event on “Insights for the Beyond GDP Global Alliance”, that will help shape the future focus, scope and work of the ...

📢Join the event on the #BeyondGDP Global Alliance
#FfD4

Countries need new metrics to assess development progress and drive cooperation.

🌍New Approaches for Renewed International Cooperation: Insights for the Beyond GDP Global Alliance
📅2 July, 10:30
📍Seville Room 19

www.oecd.org/en/events/20...

01.07.2025 19:08 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 1
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Spot on The Economist's cover this week

24.04.2025 13:48 👍 168 🔁 47 💬 1 📌 2
S&P 500 for the last five trading days, ending April 9. Shows a drop then a recovery a few days later.

S&P 500 for the last five trading days, ending April 9. Shows a drop then a recovery a few days later.

US 10 year Treasury note yields over the last five days, ending April 9. Shows yields rising and not recovering.

US 10 year Treasury note yields over the last five days, ending April 9. Shows yields rising and not recovering.

Stocks rose after Trump partially pulled back on tariffs, recovering most of the losses his tariff announcement caused, but bonds did not.

US Treasuries calmed after Trump pulled back, but didn't recover recent losses.

The global loss of trust in the US, and the safety of US assets, remains.

09.04.2025 20:33 👍 1086 🔁 274 💬 50 📌 28

Why would you move your manufacturing to America when next week the tariffs might half, or disappear, or double, or grow wings and fly, or be turned into a goblin, or become an emotion, or

09.04.2025 20:40 👍 5827 🔁 1045 💬 107 📌 38
Two front pages of the Economist. The first is dated October 25, 2024 and says “The Envy of the Workd” and has dollars bill rocketing into the sky in celebration of the US economy.
The second front page is dated this week April 5th. It’s headline is “Ruination Day” and pictures Trump sawing a hole in the group the shape of the US.

Two front pages of the Economist. The first is dated October 25, 2024 and says “The Envy of the Workd” and has dollars bill rocketing into the sky in celebration of the US economy. The second front page is dated this week April 5th. It’s headline is “Ruination Day” and pictures Trump sawing a hole in the group the shape of the US.

22 weeks apart.

03.04.2025 10:23 👍 3881 🔁 1584 💬 50 📌 79
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The New US Tariff Regime Will Have Its Greatest Impact in Developing Countries Yesterday, President Trump announced a sweeping change to US trade policy, imposing tariffs larger than those enacted under the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act that helped deepen the Great Depression. US…

"This is bad news for the US and its trading partners. But the biggest impact on quality of life will be in developing countries that account for a small part of the US trade deficit."

Brian Webster & @charlesjkenny.bsky.social on US tariffs & developing countries:

04.04.2025 23:00 👍 5 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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How to provide evidence in turbulent times Hostility to researchers’ analysis is undermining reasoned policymaking

… a plentiful supply of ideas about what serves the public good, for the time when they are once again in demand.»

A must read article by @dianecoyle1859.bsky.social

www.ft.com/content/bf6e...

03.04.2025 11:30 👍 15 🔁 6 💬 0 📌 0
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How to provide evidence in turbulent times Hostility to researchers’ analysis is undermining reasoned policymaking

« “Only a crisis — actual or perceived— produces real change. When that crisis occurs, the actions that are taken depend on the ideas that are lying around.” By all means let’s continue producing evidence, but we must also ensure +

www.ft.com/content/bf6e...

03.04.2025 11:30 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0
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🔴 EN DIRECT
Droits de douane : l’Union européenne va taxer les services numériques américains, assure la porte-parole du gouvernement

Lire : bit.ly/3XHdHaO

03.04.2025 07:27 👍 63 🔁 21 💬 8 📌 3
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Reciprocal tariffs: you won’t believe how they came up with the numbers There is some method to the madness — it’s just a nonsensical method

😵‍💫 "Here’s what the White House and its crack team ... seems to have done: Take the 🇺🇸 goods trade deficit with any particular country, and divide it by the total amount of goods imported from that country. Cut that % in half, and there’s the 🇺🇸 "reciprocal” tariff rate."
www.ft.com/content/e025...

03.04.2025 08:28 👍 4 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0

Universities, colleges and higher education institutions in Europe. Many in the forefront of scientific research are included. Choose which ones you want to follow from this starter pack.

#university #universities #colleges #highereducation #science #research #academic #europe #starterpack

25.02.2025 07:29 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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Tomorrow the US Administration imposes the heaviest taxes since the 1930s on Americans who buy imports.

In this new brief from @ucsandiego.bsky.social, leading economists Evenett & Muendler estimate the harm to US workers in all 50 states—>

econweb.ucsd.edu/muendler/dow... | cc @piie.com

04.03.2025 03:00 👍 95 🔁 46 💬 4 📌 7
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No hay sorpresa. Privar de ayuda a 🇺🇦 es parte de la estrategia 🇷🇺, que apostó por la victoria de Trump. La burda encerrona a Zelensky en la Casa Blanca solo buscaba justificarlo ante los medios. No será paz real ni justa, sino armisticio tras la derrota. También lo será para 🇪🇺. Fuente: bit.ly/45qnzYY

04.03.2025 04:32 👍 9 🔁 8 💬 0 📌 0
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Se acabó la fiesta, la última columna de Tatiana Andia Este 26 de febrero falleció la profesora Tatiana Andia, rodeada de su familia. Una de sus últimas voluntades fue publicar esta columna

Tatiana Andia abrió el camino en Colombia sobre el derecho a morir dignamente. Admiración total www.elespectador.com/salud/se-aca...

27.02.2025 08:09 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Donald Trump threatens to impose 25% tariffs on EU goods US president warns levies will target auto sector and be applied ‘generally’

There is one good response to these nonsensical, indiscriminate tariffs:

Tariffs for oligarchs!

If Tesla wants to keep having access to the EU market, then Musk should have to pay tax in the EU

www.ft.com/content/2f02...

26.02.2025 20:38 👍 174 🔁 46 💬 2 📌 6
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Diana Uribe, historiadora: “En Colombia nos falta un relato muy grande del país: el de las mujeres” La académica publica ‘Mujeres a través de la historia’, un libro sobre el origen del patriarcado en el que cuestiona momentos del pasado en el que lo femenino fue narrado por los hombres

💬 Entrevista | Diana Uribe, autora de Mujeres a través de la historia’: “La representación que tenemos las mujeres en la divinidad y lo sagrado tiene muchísimo que ver con el rol y el papel de la mujer en la sociedad” https://dozz.es/1gjvt4

17.02.2025 14:10 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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The report included historical GDP estimates since 1820. @ourworldindata.org has done an amazing job in visualising this data📈⬇️

ourworldindata.org/grapher/gdp-...

16.02.2025 08:40 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0