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Seahawk Nerd

@seahawknerd

Bringing mathematical thinking to all things Seattle Seahawks. Results are retrospective; process-based analysis is more predictive of future outcomes.

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And then there's Keaton Mitchell. Averaged 8.7 yards per touch as a rookie in 2023. 6.8 over his career so far. Supremely efficient in a limited role.

11.03.2026 18:38 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Dameon Pierce is available as well.

Had 1100 yards as a rookie in 2022. Had 176 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries in his last game in 2024. Chiefs picked him up off waivers in 2025 and didn't play him as he dealt with a quad injury and KC was out of the playoff race.

11.03.2026 18:32 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Free agent RBs

Najee Harris (Achilles)
2024: 263 att, 4.0 ypc

Antonio Gibson (ACL)
2024: 120 att, 4.5 ypc

Jerome Ford (shoulder)
2024: 104 att , 5.4 ypc

Miles Sanders (knee)
2025: 117 att, 5.9 ypc

Rachaad White
2025: 132 att, 4.3 ypc

Brian Robinson Jr.
2025: 92 att, 4.3 ypc

11.03.2026 18:25 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Ebbing

10.03.2026 18:02 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Pre-Shaheed trade, the Seahawks 11 personnel run game was 31st in success rate and 31st in EPA per play.

With Shaheed, 11th in success rate and 7th in EPA per play.

10.03.2026 17:48 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

We'll see how the numbers shake out when the dust settles, but I don't think doing both of those contracts was ever on the table for Seattle. Not that they couldn't do it technically, but rather that they prefer to have flexibility with the remaining cap space, not just for 2026 but 2027 as well.

10.03.2026 17:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Kenneth Walker: 3 years, $45M
Rashid Shaheed: 3 years, $51M

There's a good argument that Shaheed's presence had more to do with Seattle's success in the run game down the stretch than Walker's.

Add in the kick returns, and I think the Seahawks made the right call here.

10.03.2026 17:30 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

It's best viewed on desktop but you can also use it on mobile, though things tend to get a little more condensed. If you are using it on your phone, I recommend rotating your screen to landscape mode for optimal use.

And of course feel free to share suggestions/feedback!

26.02.2026 00:46 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

There is now a Seahawk Nerd website!
seahawknerd.shinyapps.io/nfl-draft-boar…

Here you will find an NFL Draft Consensus Board with a visualization tool for the range of rankings on each prospect.

You can sort by position, search by name, choose how many players to show, and more! And it's free!

26.02.2026 00:45 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Here are the best and worst picks by the Seahawks in the 2025 draft, from the perspective of whether each selection was a "steal" or a "reach" relative to consensus rankings.

Emmanwori and Zabel essentially cancel each other out. Martinez and Horton were excellent Day 3 steals.

27.04.2025 01:55 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Using consensus big board rankings prior to the draft, we can evaluate how much value each team got from its draft selections and trades. Here's how each team did:

27.04.2025 01:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

10 most accurate big boards on Day 1:

Pro Football Network (0.60)
Tankathon (0.59)
The Huddle Report (0.58)
Consensus Median (0.57)
Consensus Adjusted Average (0.57)
Consensus Average (0.53)
Fantasy Pros (0.52)
Draft Board Guru (0.51)
Daniel Jeremiah (0.44)
The Ringer (0.42)

25.04.2025 06:23 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Well, the manifesto is finally complete. 11 weeks, 11 positions, and 55 draft targets for the Seahawks.

If anyone out there is looking for a podcast guest, wants to do a mock draft together, needs a Seahawks representative for a live stream, etc., my DMs are open!

16.04.2025 04:22 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

bsky.app/profile/seah...

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Luke Newman, Michigan State
6034, 308
PFF's highest pass blocking grade on play action. 9.86 RAS. Left guard.

Thomas Perry, Middlebury
6026, 310
Shrine Bowl standout. 8.38 RAS. Left guard/center.

Nash Jones, Texas State
6040, 320
Coachable NFL qualities. 8.78 RAS. Left guard.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Willie Lampkin, North Carolina
Height: 5106, Weight: 279
Unprecedented size but awesome tape. Versatile run blocker with potential development into a fullback.

Garrett Dellinger, LSU
Height: 6046, Weight: 320
9.76 RAS but overextends and loses balance. Developmental left guard.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Jackson Slater makes sense for the Seahawks as an outside zone weapon with the strength to hold the point of attack off the snap as well. His consistency as a pass protector suggests a ceiling not yet reached, and his technical miscues are fixable with his IQ and better coaching.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Jackson Slater creates some of his best tape springing outside runs with counter concepts and pin-pull action. In pass protection, he has a nice jump set with the upper body power to knock back and/or lock onto opponents, confirmed by 30+ reps on the bench at the combined.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Over 2023 and 2024 combined, Jackson Slater allowed not a single sack and only 1 QB hit. He's smart, tough, and quite frankly too good for the FCS. He's more ready for the NFL than it might seem at first glance. He's a competitive learner that has been improving year over year.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

If you remember my love for Mason McCormick last year, you'll find no surprise Jackson Slater is on this list. Slater is another multi-sport athlete who went to a small school and was remarkably consistent as a left guard over several years, logging more than 2,500 snaps.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Jackson Slater, Sacramento State
Projection: 4th Round

Height: 6030
Weight: 318
Broad: 108

Pros:
- Dense core with strong arms
- Large range and burst off the line

Cons:
- Discipline and balance suffer from over-eagerness in space
- Unrefined hand usage in pass protection

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Jared Wilson makes sense for the Seahawks because he is suited for a system that plays as much zone as possible, due to a lack of size and power limiting his ability in the phone booth. He plays with excellent leverage and flexibility with good balance as a moving blocker.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Jared Wilson was finally the premiere center in 2024, logging 810 snaps, mostly pass blocking, allowing only 5 hurries, 1 QB hit, and of course 0 sacks. His footwork is impressive and shows up in his quickness on angles. He set the record for 40-yd dash top speed among centers.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Jared Wilson calls his mother his backbone, citing all she sacrificed for him and his three brothers. He credits her for his mental toughness and work ethic that allowed him to earn a starting center role at Georgia after a rocky start and uphill battle in the tough program.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Jared Wilson was a 3-star recruit from North Carolina who received offers from many top ranked programs and ultimately chose to join the Bulldogs. He came in as a guard and was immediately humbled by Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter in practice reps over a formative first two years.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Jared Wilson, Georgia
Projection: 2nd Round

Height: 6031
Weight: 311
Broad: 112

Pros:
- Extremely agile, master of the three R's (react, recover, redirect)
- Locks onto blocks with hands

Cons:
- Limited experience/processing consistency
- Susceptible to heavy, powerful tackles

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Tate Ratledge makes sense for the Seahawks because of his vast experience in a varied scheme and his special personality. He scored a 9.98 RAS and offers a high ceiling as a right guard. If durability becomes a factor, Seattle does have Christian Haynes, who makes a fine backup.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Tate Ratledge had a shoulder injury in '22, a knee injury in '23, and an ankle injury in '24, but this did not stop him from playing over 2,000 snaps at a high level with that classic trench nastiness. Coaches rave about his love of the game and teammates adore him as a captain.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Tate Ratledge was the starting right guard by his second year, but his season ended as quickly as it started when he suffered a Lisfranc injury in the first quarter of the opener. He returned in 2022 and won a championship with Georgia and was First Team All-SEC in 2023 and 2024.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Tate Ratledge is a Southern kid from Chattanooga who grew up in Georgia playing football, basketball, and track & field. Few know that he actually won 3rd place in a shotput state championship. In football, he not only played offensive line, but also defensive line and punter.

16.04.2025 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0