The job title "farmer" has always been intentionally slippery in how most Americans use it.
But in the occupational stats, it's people who own the farm. (They may own all the land, rent some, or event rent all of it, but the farm is still their business that they own & operate.)
New post: Can AI Replace Social Science Researchers? (No. No it can't. Come on, now.)
davekarpf.beehiiv.com/p/can-ai-rep...
In every Republican presidency of my lifetime there's been a recession and a new war in the Middle East.
It would all be very unpopular if you could convince people it was happening
uld you support or oppose abolishing ICE? (%) Somewhat or strongly supportNot sureSomewhat or strongly oppose U.S. adult citizens 39 Party ID Democrats 14 Independents 35 Republicans 68
Per The Economist/YouGov, half of Americans support ABOLISHING ICE.
Literally, "abolishing."
yougov.com/en-us/articl...
New post!
Many Americans hold contradictory opinions on the same policies. Question wording effects can swing opinions by 20+ points on immigration, the budget, and transgender rights.
That's a problem for people who interpret polls for a living.
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/many-ameri...
I would have thought the people with Ph.Ds in Math and Statistics and Economics might have accounted for this externality.
21%
@nytimes.com
www.nytimes.com/2026/02/28/u...
There should be an Earth for people who don't hate all living things
This War Will Destabilize The Entire Mideast Region And Set Off A Global Shockwave Of Anti-Americanism vs. No It Won’t
I can't fucking believe we're doing this again.
The entire Democratic strategy debate — "moderate" or move left? fight or compromise? — is based on a misreading of data. Voters don't think Dems are too progressive; they think Dems are weak. The actual math on what to do about this isn't even close!
New: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...
the Mamdani $30/hr snow shovel thing is so mindblowing. your tax dollars at work, to enrich your fellow citizens who need it most and immediately improve safety & living conditions for all. and THAT'S what the billionaire class wants you to fear?
the party that wants to require ID to vote abruptly invalidating a thousand people’s IDs overnight seems like a pretty giant flashing red light
1. Major news on trans youth care. The American Psychological Association has reaffirmed its full support for its 2024 guidelines supporting trans youth car.e
It provided documentation showing Jesse Singal mischaracterized their position in the NYT.
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Came across the phrase "cognitive DDOS" to describe our present culture.
Understood instantly what it meant.
Many people quoting it, first saw it cited here: crookedtimber.org/2018/03/21/l...
(The proposition that there are in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind; out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.)
Gary Larson: In my cartoon I invented Cow Tools as a cautionary tale
Cows: At long last, we have created the Cow Tools from classic newspaper comic Cow Tools
I'm constantly trying (/failing) to get this point across.
If you're a trained expert in a field, then it may be worthwhile to question the scientific consensus of your peers.
If you're not, the scientific consensus is absolutely the best you can do and it's arbitrary foolishness to disregard it.
Fascism is here and yet we insist on continuing to make things. Keep creating. It's so important. Do not let the fascists colonize your imagination or curtail your creativity.
Authors say it could be reverse causation (but also it's moderated by age of first use, so brain development is another likely story)
The tariffs will continue until morale improves.
Some may be saying, “yes, we knew this”, but we don’t really know know until we see data like these.
And something we may not have known that this paper shows is that once a person gets into the right wing silo, we’ve lost them. Changing to the chronological feed does not bring them back.
I can’t believe you lefty Luddites hate tech so much that you embrace mRNA vaccines, heat pumps, electric bikes, hybrid work, renewable power (and awesome advancements in storage), space telescopes, and hot/cold running water but reject the planet destroying plagiarism enrich the worst people bots!
BREAKING: The Department of Education has ended its directive that attempted to restrict diversity, equity, and inclusion efforts in schools nationwide.
This is a victory for academic freedom and education equity.
Me as a child: it must be very hard to become a CEO and be very hard work once you get the job
Guy obviously on drugs speaking at a conference: the next five years of the economy should be about a dream I had where a dog spoke to me
Someone has sure already made this observation but the fact they can convert all those empty warehouses into prison camps means they could have converted them into housing, community centers, job training centers or, hell, libraries or schools all along. It’s always a matter of will not resources.
Babbage, 1830, discussing the problem that scientists selectively report findings that they want to be true.
Confirmation bias is a strong human tendency. This is why we need to design science in a way that prevents conformation bias from leading us away from the truth.
Don’t reflexively let your AI do your thinking for you (similar to Fabrizio Dell'Acqua’s finding about falling asleep at the wheel)
Paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
AI is the exact opposite of Woody Guthrie's guitar
I bet if you just did a simple survey, not one American in 10K would be able to accurately tell you the current level of immigration to the US, whether that level is up or down from the previous decade, what countries are most represented among immigrants, or what current US immigration policy is.
