Ethan Emery

Windy windy windy!

Wind gusts between 45-67mph have been observed in the last 12 or so hours across the Miami Valley!

Here’s the latest as of 9 a.m.

A few light rain showers today, otherwise it’ll be mostly cloudy & warm! @wdtn2.bsky.social

I’m here for it!! ❄️😍

Bad timing though for holiday shoppers!

WINTER STORM WATCH for Miami Valley from Saturday AM through Sunday AM

Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations 3-6” possible. ❄️

DAYTON OH Dec 9
Climate Report:
High: 41
Low: 15
Precip: 0.0"
Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"
at Tue, 09 Dec 2025 21:50:44 +0000 via IEMbot
Additional Details Here.

2.8” of snow on Tuesday in Dayton with 0.6” happening Monday night, giving us an event total of 3.6”, about what we expected from that system!

We’ve got very light snow tonight into Thursday morning (less than 0.5”) and perhaps a few flurries Friday afternoon.

Headline is COLD next several days! 🥶

Blustery winds, bone-chilling cold and winter weather are on the way!

Click the link to read more and watch the latest #StormTeam2 #CertifiedMostAccurateForecast! @wdtn2.bsky.social #ohwx #daytonwx #daywx

Wind gusts up to 50 miles per hour possible on Wednesday in the Miami Valley 👀 #ohwx

3.6” of snow today at Dayton - impressive for early November!

Some locations in the Miami Valley received over 4” of snowfall while many had 2-3”

Image 1

While this weekend's snow isn't expected to amount to much, now's a good time to check to make sure your process for managing your school/church/business closings is up to date. Need help? Email us at webdesk@wdtn.com

If you're having a hard day, just stop and remember this. ❤️

A street with fallen power lines and scattered debris, likely due to a recent storm, under a clear blue sky. A person is seen in the distance walking towards a toppled utility pole blocking the road.

Two workers in reflective vests unloading boxes from a truck.

Damage to a house with its roof partially destroyed and covered with a tarp.

A large pothole in the foreground with a damaged utility pole leaning over it. Several power lines are hanging low. The scene also includes damaged fencing and fragments of materials scattered around. In the background, buildings and cloudy skies are visible.

Hurricane Melissa tore through Jamaica as a Category 5 storm, leaving behind heartbreaking destruction. The Jamaica Red Cross prepositioned relief supplies before the storm, and teams are now supporting shelters and operating ambulances to respond to health emergencies.

000WTNT33 KNHC 281458 CCATCPAT3 BULLETINHurricane Melissa Advisory Number 29...CorrectedNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL1320251100 AM EDT Tue Oct 28 2025Corrected Tropical Storm Warning section to add Turks and Caicos ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 MELISSA ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL INJAMAICA......CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND STORM SURGE OCCURRING ONTHE ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...17.9N 77.9WABOUT 40 MI...60 KM SE OF NEGRIL JAMAICAABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SW OF GUANTANAMO CUBAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH...295 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...892 MB...26.34 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Cuba has issued a Hurricane Warning for theprovince of Las Tunas and a Tropical Storm Warning for the provinceof Camaguey. The Meteorological Service of the Bahamas has discontinued theHurricane Watch for the Turks and Caicos islands. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...* Jamaica* Cuban provinces of Granma, Santiago de Cuba, Guantanamo,Holguin, and Las Tunas* Southeastern and Central Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* Haiti* Cuban province of Camaguey* Turks and Caicos Islands A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expectedsomewhere within the warning area. Residents in Jamaica shouldremain in a safe shelter. In the warning area in Cuba and theBahamas, preparations to protect life and property should be rushedto completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions areexpected somewhere within the warning. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Melissa.Watches could be required later today or tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitorproducts issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK----------------------At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Melissa waslocated near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 77.9 West. Melissa ismoving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turntoward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expectedlater today, followed by a faster northeastward motion on Wednesdayand Thursday. On the forecast track, the core of Melissa isexpected to make landfall on Jamaica during the next couple ofhours, move across southeastern Cuba early Wednesday morning, andmove across the southeastern or central Bahamas later on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 185 mph (295 km/h) with highergusts. Melissa is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-SimpsonHurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is expected before Melissa makes landfall on Jamaica. Melissa is expected to reach Jamaica and southeastern Cuba as an extremely dangerous major hurricane, and it will still be a strong hurricane when it moves across the southeastern Bahamas. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from thecenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles(315 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 892 mb (26.34 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------Key messages for Melissa can be found in the Tropical CycloneDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. WIND: Catastrophic hurricane-force winds are spreading over Jamaica within the eyewall of Melissa. Total structural failure is likely near the path of Melissa, especially in higher elevation areas where wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains could be up to 30 percent stronger. Do not venture out in the eye as winds will rapidly increase within the backside of the eyewall. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in eastern Cubathis afternoon, with hurricane conditions expected in the hurricanewarning area starting tonight into Wednesday morning. Tropical stormconditions are expected in Haiti later today and Wednesday. Hurricane conditions are expected in the southeastern and centralBahamas on Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected andhurricane conditions are possible in the Turks and Caicos Islands onWednesday. RAINFALL: Melissa is expected to bring rainfall of 15 to 30 inchesto portions of Jamaica and additional rainfall of 6 to 8 inches withlocalized maximum to 12 inches for southern Hispaniola throughWednesday, with storm total local maxima of 40 inches possible.Catastrophic flash flooding and numerous landslides are likely. For eastern Cuba, storm total rainfall of 10 to 20 inches, withlocal amounts to 25 inches, is expected into Wednesday resulting inlife-threatening and potentially catastrophic flash flooding withnumerous landslides. Over the Southeast Bahamas, rain is expected to develop later todayand continue into Wednesday. Total rainfall of 5 to 10 inches isexpected to result in areas of flash flooding. For the Turks andCaicos rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected. Heavy rainmay begin to affect Bermuda Thursday night. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated withMelissa, please see the National Weather Service Storm TotalRainfall Graphic, available athurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge is likely along thesouth coast of Jamaica today. Peak storm surge heights could reach9 to 13 feet above ground level, near and to the east of where thecenter of Melissa makes landfall. This storm surge will beaccompanied by large and destructive waves. On the northwest coastof Jamaica, near Montego Bay, there is the possibility of 2 to 4feet of storm surge above ground level. There is a potential for significant storm surge along the southeastcoast of Cuba late today or Wednesday. Peak storm surge heights could reach 8 to 12 feet above normal tide levels, near and to the east of where the center of Melissa makes landfall. This storm surgewill be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Storm surge of 5 to 8 ft above normally dry ground is possible inthe southeastern Bahamas on Wednesday, and 2 to 4 ft above normally dry ground in the Turks and Caicos Islands on Wednesday. Minor coastal flooding is expected along the coast of Haiti. SURF: Swells generated by Melissa are expected to affect portions ofHispaniola, Jamaica, eastern Cuba, and the Cayman Islands during thenext day or two, likely causing life-threatening surf and ripcurrent conditions. These swells will reach the Bahamas, the Turksand Caicos Islands, and Bermuda later this week. Please consultproducts from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY-------------Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$Forecaster Beven

Hurricane Melissa 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

Hurricane Melissa 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

Atlantic Hurricane Melissa Advisory Number 29...corrected (corrected) issued at Tue, 28 Oct 2025 14:59:04 +0000
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 MELISSA ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN JAMAICA... ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND STORM SURGE OCCURRING ON THE IS...
Additional Details Here.

For discussion later via @subletteweather.com

Catastrophic winds, flooding rainfall and storm surge is occurring and will continue.

Latest: www.nhc.noaa.gov#Melissa

#Melissa making landfall in Jamaica shortly. Ties for 3rd strongest hurricane in the Atlantic by pressure (892 mb), 2nd by wind speed (185 mph).

Strongest Atlantic hurricanes on record (based on pressure)

1. Wilma - 882mb (mid Oct. 2005)
2. Gilbert - 888mb (mid Sept. 1988)
3 Melissa - 892mb (late Oct. 2025)
3. Labor Day ‘35 - 892mb (early Sept. 1935)
4. Milton - 895mb (early Oct. 2024)
5. Allen - 899mb (early Aug. 1980)

How climate change is fueling Hurricane Melissa's ferocity The warming of the world's oceans caused by climate change helped double Hurricane Melissa's wind speed in less than 24 hours over the weekend, climate scientists said Monday.

It’s late October and we’re talking about records with hurricanes in the Caribbean.

It’s undoubtedly related to anthropogenic climate change.

www.pbs.org/newshour/sci...

Details from the National Hurricane Center, who are working tirelessly (& during a shutdown, mind you) on updates:

Latest public advisories on Melissa:

www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...?

I’m sick to my stomach seeing this for the people of Jamaica… Hurricane Melissa is tied for the third strongest Atlantic hurricane on record (892mb) and the 10am winds were sustained at 185 mph with gusts over 200mph. #Melissa #HurricaneMelissa

The 2pm ET public update advisory for Hurricane Melissa has the central pressure down to 906 mb with peak winds of 175 mph. This makes Melissa the 10th strongest hurricane in record in the Atlantic Basin.

Category 4 Hurricane Melissa threatens catastrophic flooding in Jamaica and Haiti Melissa has intensified into a category 4 hurricane and could develop further to become a category 5 as it approaches Jamaica.

Melissa has intensified into a category 4 hurricane and could develop further to become a category 5 as it approaches Jamaica.

NOAA’s National Weather Service Winter Outlook has been released.

This outlook shows the likely temperature and precipitation the U.S. could experience during meteorological winter (December 1, 2025 through February 28, 2026) and drought conditions through January 31, 2026.

A graphic with text overlaid on the U.S. La Niña winter impact map. The text reads: "A weak La Niña is less likely to result in typical La Niña winter impacts. However, it could still influence the 2025-26 winter season."

A map of North America showing the typical weather patterns during a La Niña winter. A blue arrow shows the polar jet stream dipping southward over the northwestern U.S., bringing colder and wetter conditions to the Pacific Northwest and northern U.S. A "blocking high pressure" system is shown off the West Coast. The southern U.S. is shown with warmer and drier conditions.

While La Niña is currently expected to remain weak, it could still influence the 2025-26 winter season. See what a typical winter La Niña pattern looks like across the U.S.

For more information visit cpc.ncep.noaa.gov.
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A bar chart titled "ENSO Probabilities, Issued October 2025." It shows the percent chance of La Niña (blue), Neutral (gray), and El Niño (red) conditions for different three-month seasons from September 2025 to July 2026. The chart indicates a high probability of La Niña in the fall, decreasing over time, while the probability of neutral conditions increases beginning in January 2026.

La Niña conditions are expected to continue through the December 2025 to February 2026 timeframe. A transition to ENSO-neutral conditions, meaning neither El Niño nor La Niña conditions, is most likely in the January 2026 to March 2026 timeframe.
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A graphic announcing the issuance of a La Niña Advisory on October 9, 2025. The text reads: "La Niña conditions have been observed in the tropical Pacific Ocean and are expected to continue through the December 2025 to February 2026 timeframe."

A graphic showing a map of the Pacific Ocean with sea surface temperatures. A rectangular box labeled "key monitoring region" highlights a band of cooler-than-average water along the equator, indicating La Niña conditions.

A La Niña Advisory has been issued, meaning that La Niña conditions have been observed in the tropical Pacific Ocean.
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FROST ADVISORY in effect for the #MiamiValley tonight!

Details below in the link! #ohwx #daywx #daytonwx

Yup. Got it. Not going to do it, either.

S/O @onelegbrynn.bsky.social for being the first post to pop up on my feed this morning 😂

Do football players really need pads and a helmet?

Stay weather aware regardless, because we’re now in a new weather pattern that favors daily chances of unsettled weather. Today’s feature will be moderate downpours and gusty winds.

Happy fall, y’all!! #ohwx #daywx #daytonwx