My view of the supercell approaching OKC.
@aliciambentley
Atmospheric scientist // Global model evaluator at the NWS Environmental Modeling Center // Ph.D., M.S., B.S. from UAlbany // Yoga, NY sports, wine // Restaurant Reviewer // Opinions are mine www.AliciaMBentley.com πWashington, DC
My view of the supercell approaching OKC.
A large cone tornado sits in the background of a rural stretch of storage buildings. Chyrons showcasing radar information sit at the bottom of the frame
A snapshot of the tornado tearing through the NE side of Kankakee, IL. This image comes from Cory Gerkin's live stream of the ongoing severe weather outbreak.
Congratulations!!!
A tornado was confirmed by the National Weather Service in south Michigan (Union City)
Source: www.facebook.com/share/v/188U...
Footage coming out of Union City, Michigan of the violent tornado that just hit the area.
The lake seen in this clip is frozen.
Footage provided by @WSLPIG on X.
#severewx #wxsky
Attached is a special sounding launched from College Station, TX at 2033Z March 6th, 2026 valid at 21Z. Data has been sent to be assimilated, and the TEMP data should hopefully show up on the new University of Wyoming soundings page. @nws.noaa.gov
A screen capture of the Fairview β, OK tornado from Jeromy Carter.
Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding possible across the central U.S. tonight through Saturday. Here is more information for Friday's threat.
March 2-3rd, 2012:
A massive outbreak of over 70 tornadoes impacted the Central and Southern US. 25 were significant (EF2+), two violent EF4s. Forty-one people were killed, several hundred more were injured, and over $3 billion in damage was produced.
1/N
This snow band is an all-timer, likely producing a foot of snow in just 3-4 hrs.
Supported by incredible lift w/in the ascending branch of the frontogenetic circulation, it follows that this band wonβt weaken but will contract. Whoever remains in that contraction will likely see 3+β of snowfall.
A major winter storm is expected to bring heavy snow, high winds, blizzard conditions and coastal flooding across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast today into Monday as a low-pressure system rapidly intensifies off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Nearly impossible travel and power outages are expected.
NWS has updated their alerts for the storm:
* Beltway area is now under a Winter Weather Advisory.
* A more significant Winter Storm Warning for areas W, N, E, and SE of Beltway area, where NWS expects heavier snow that could reach or exceed 5"
* Blizzard Warning on the Eastern Shore (yikes!!)
An approaching storm will bring precipitation to Pacific Northwest this weekend. Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the Southeast today into this evening. A winter storm is forecast to bring heavy snow and high winds to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Sunday into Monday.
Posting this 12Z snowfall forecast for DC with the big* caveat that the GFS (blue line) is an outlier among the various other global models (and clearly among the gray GEFS members). GFS brings a strong storm closer to the Mid-Atlantic coast, with most other models being weaker and further offshore.
Fire Weather Outlook - Map showing critical weather conditions across Texas, Oklahoma, and portions of Missouri, Colorado, and New Mexico.
Fire Weather Outlook for Friday - Map showing critical weather conditions across Texas and New Mexico.
Critical fire weather conditions remain a concern Today and Friday (Feb. 20) across the Southern Plains due to dry vegetation, low humidity, and gusty winds.
π΄Be extremely careful with open flames
π΄Never toss lit cigarettes on the ground
π΄Always follow burn bans and regulations
weather.gov/safety
Strong winds caused the Ranger Road and Stevens fires to experience rapid growth across the Oklahoma panhandle and into southern Kansas, seen this afternoon by the JPSS weather satellites.
The Ranger Road Fire, the larger of the two wildfires, burned over 15,000 acres today.
@aliciambentley.bsky.socialβs standardized anomalies in the sea level pressure for 0600 UTC tell the tale quite well. A large area of 3 to 4+ sigmas below climatology for this time of year.
I found my Valentine! π π
The ice skating team from Poland had a pierog (singular) plushie, and I think I may need to buy a few and have pierogi pillows in the future! π΅π±
oh. my. God!
Icy sunset over the Potomac at Violettes Lock today π§π
@capitalweather.bsky.social
The last two work days have been some of my most productive in a LONG time. I felt like I could plot anything! I hope that this feeling sticks around for a while. I've missed blocking off the whole day to do nothing except code. π»
Just in case you missed this at AMS, big changes are coming! ππ
An exceptional winter storm that has the Carolinas, eastern TN, and northeast GA in its sights will produce a swath of heavy snow, including potential blizzard conditions along the NC coast this weekend.
Update: Oxford campus at the University of Mississippi will be closed through Sunday, Feb. 8, "due to the extreme impact and ongoing recovery efforts from the recent ice storm and severe winter weather."
Main simulations from major computer models show weekend coastal storm developing too far south & east to produce substantial impacts from snow in DC Area. However, just a slight adjustment to west would increase snow threat.
More info at this link: www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2026...
UPDATE:
Rail service ends at midnight, and overnight bus service will continue to operate.
Tomorrow, rail service will start at 5 a.m. with a 10-20 min frequency. Bus will operate a normal schedule on routes that are able to run. Metro Access willΒ operate all trips.
Watch, Warning, Advisory map with approximate population numbers associated with each hazard.
A powerful winter storm is set to sweep across the eastern twoβthirds of the country this weekend. Stay weatherβaware by checking updates from weather.gov and following guidance from your state and local officials.
00Z HRRR forecasted flat ice accumulations are downright scary. Maximum ice corridor from TX to TN and another maximum in N GA through S Appalachia look to be areas that will see the worst of it with extensive tree & power grid damage. These areas also tend to have high socioeconomic vulnerability.
The latest Key Messages detail the latest information regarding the impending winter storm set to produce far-reaching impacts from the Southern Rockies to the Northeast. The top graphic displays the Probabilistic Winter Storm Severity Index which depicts the probabilities for experiencing at least Moderate Impacts. Moderate Impacts speak to potential for hazardous travel conditions and some infrastructure impacts. The bottom image shows, of those probabilistic areas, which winter weather hazard (snow or freezing rain) is the most likely hazard in that area. High-Impact & Far-Reaching Winter Storm A significant, long-duration winter storm is threatening over 160 million Americans with widespread heavy snow, sleet, and freezing rain from the Southern Rockies to New England, lasting from Friday through Monday. Extremely cold air will follow, prolonging dangerous travel and infrastructure impacts into next week. Widespread Heavy Snow Heavy snow is likely across a broad region from the Southern Rockies and Plains through the Mid-Atlantic and into the Northeast. Snowfall totals exceeding 12 inches are likely across the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast. Widespread travel disruptions are likely. Catastrophic Ice Accumulation Widespread freezing rain and sleet are expected south of the primary snow axis, affecting parts of the Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley, the Southeast, and southern Virginia. Significant to locally catastrophic ice accumulations are likely, with the potential for long-duration power outages, extensive tree damage, and extremely dangerous or impassable travel conditions. Extended Impacts In wake of the storm, communities from the Southern Plains to the Northeast will contend with bitterly cold temperatures and dangerously cold wind chills. This will prolong hazardous travel and infrastructure impacts into next week. Preparations should be completed as soon as possible, & forecasts closely monitored for updates.
Over 160 million people are under winter hazards associated with the impending major winter storm. Disruptive snowfall is likely from the Rockies to the Northeast, including dangerous ice from the ArkLaTex to the Mid-Atlantic. You can find a detailed forecast at weather.gov.
Here's the latest...